Greece Falls Into 'Death Spiral': Rising Debt, No Growth
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Things About To Turn Violent Again - Greece May Mobilize Police Against Striking Students And Teachers
Even as the three bureaucratic stooges from the Eurogroup mumbled something or another about kicking the Greek can down the road in the just concluded press conference indicating that Finland will indeed get the Greek collateral its desires, only it will be in the form of worthless Greek bonds that can not be touched for 15 or so years, we have a feeling that Greek society may soon take matters into its own hands, and with quite a terminal outcome at that. According to Kathimerini, the Deputy Education Minister Evi Christofilopoulou (henceforth known simply as Lud-E-Chris) has "suggested" that the police be mobilized to break up "hundreds of sit-ins at schools on Monday a few hours after hundreds of pupils protesting cutbacks clashed with riot officers in central Athens." And if people think that our own version of occupational protests is troubling, just wait until a country's protesting student body comprehends that its country has just sicced the police force against it.US Closes 2010-2011 Fiscal Year With $14,790,340,328,557.15 In Debt, $95 Billion Jump On The Day, $1.2 Trillion Increase In One Year
America has now officially closed the books on the 2010-2011 fiscal year. It is only fitting that the last day of the year saw the settlement of all outstanding and recently auctioned off debt. The result: a surge of $95 billion in total government debt overnight, and a fiscal year closing with the absolutely unprecedented $14,790,340,328,557.15 in debt. Net net, in the past fiscal year, the US has issued a total of $1.228 trillion in new debt and has accelerated over time. At a rate of $125 billion per month, total US debt to GDP will pass 100% in just over a month. Incidentally, one may inquire about the benefits of centrally planned fiscal stimulus (cough Solyndra cough): the US economy added over 3$ trillion in debt in the past two years and the stock market is almost back to where it was back then. Perhaps it is about time someone demanded that all those lunatics who say that issuing debt for the sake of growth (and pushing the S&P higher of course) be finally locked away in perpetuity, and the key dropped into the deepest volcano in Mordor.Harvey Organ, Monday, Oct 3, 2011
Belgian's Biggest bank in Trouble/Europe and the Dow Plummet/gold and silver diverge
Market Snapshot: Financials Flop, Credit Collapses, S&P Closes At 2011 Lows
The
S&P cash made new lows for the year as we aggressively probed
lower into the close and penetrated Doug Kass's bottom from Aug 9th with
cash and futures closing below 1100 back to 13 month lows, with the
pain spreading wide following rumors of hedge fund blow ups. Financials
led the dance and just could not get a break all day despite the early
perfectly fadable cheerleading from Cramer et al. Credit markets were a
disaster with red everywhere and notable gaps suggesting some
desperate reaching for hedges/unwinds as index overlays started to
disengage from single-names. TSYs saw an enormous day as 'Twist'
started with 30Y -18bps and 10Y -16bps and both investment grade and
high yield bonds were net sold - something we have not seen for a
while. Instead of its normal sideways plod after Europe closes, FX
markets continued to weaken dramatically against the USD with only JPY
holding stronger while EUR broke to a 1.31 handle. Gold and Silver
managed decent gains (the former outperforming the latter) as oil and
copper lost 2-3% on the day. Stocks remain slightly expensive relative
to where credit currently trades.Papandreou Planning Retirement, FT Deutschland Reports
According to the German edition of the FT, G-Pap is once again using the R-card (that would be resigning-cum-retiring) - the last time he did this was back in early July when he had to persuade the government to vote for the July 21 Greek bailout #2. He was bluffing then. He is likely bluffing now, although if he isn't, it means game over for Greece and probably for the European dream, not to mention united currency. From FT: "[G-Pap] has been trying for months to keep his country from bankruptcy - Tens of thousands of Greeks are against the austerity policies of the government on the barricades. No wonder the prime minister is thinking of throwing the rocks." Since this is google translation, we assume "throwing rocks" is loosely translated as getting the f#*$ out of Dodge while the getting is good, while the private jet still has fuel and while the gold is still in the cargo hold.Copper Set To Tumble After CME Hikes Copper, Platinum Margins Once Again
It appears the US has decided to apply a scorched earth policy to China. While we are seeing flashing headlines that the Senate just passed a China currency bill 79 to 19 (we don't know what is in the bill yet), we doubt it will be something that China will be too pleased with, as most likely there will be some language about currency manipulation and/or some such typical politician propaganda. What is more troubling is that the CME just made sure the tens if not hundreds of billions of Chinese copper collateralized Letters of Credit just lost even more value following yet another margin hike in Copper, which raised initial and maintenance margins by 15%. If China perceives US actions as provocative (and it made very clear that US overtures in Taiwan already are), we may just see an 'oopsie' moment tomorrow when the Mainland decides to offload a few billions in US Treasurys. And the cherry on top was a 28.6% margin hike in Platinum: a direct warning to gold and silver longs once again.Mitsubishi UFJ Releases Rescue Attempt Of Morgan Stanley: Time For Orkimedes Of Omaha To Take Another Bath?
Just because outright denials by Dick Bove, Alliance Bernstein, Credit Suisse, Jim Cramer and Wells Fargo were not enough to prevent a rout of Morgan Stanley stock after someone dared to point out one simple observation, here comes the 2008 deja vu when the Asians had to step up and protect their "strategic alliance" partners, also known as deeply underwater investments. We expect another Eureka moment from the Orkimedes Of Omaha (and grand tax vizier) shortly.John Paulson Is Not An American Airlines Investor... But Here Are The Top 25 Holders Who Have Gotten Crushed Today
As most know by know, a flurry of rumors that American Airlines may be on the verge of bankruptcy not only took down the stock by about 40% at one point today, but was halted around 6 times following repeated consecutive circuit breaker triggers. Yet none of that is material at all to the biggest holders in the stock, and especially those analysts at their companies who recommended AMR, and are all about to be summarily sacked. While John Paulson is not an investor in AMR, other "balls to the wall" funds like Appaloosa, with 5.6 million shares, are. Below is the full list of top 25 entities losing about a third of their notional on AMR today.Make or Break-Chartology
10/03/2011 - 17:13
10/03/2011 - 15:28
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