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Trump Urges His Supporters To Sell Stocks, Warns Of "Very Scary Scenarios" For Investors...
Now that we are exactly three months away from the November 8
election, if Trump wants to really boost his electoral chances, a market
crash right now be certainly most welcome by his campaign. Which may
be why Trump today urged his supporters to get out of
equities as "interest rates set by the Federal Reserve are inflating
the stock market" and warned of "very scary scenarios" for investors.
Fitch finds that a reversion of rates to 2011 levels for $37.7 trillion worth of investment-grade sovereign bonds could drive market losses of as much as $3.8 trillion..
"... one would expect this scenario to happen once every ~10,000 years. The fact that we see this type of behavior demonstrates market inefficiency—in this case driven by hedging of option exposure. Quite literally, the market was pinned. Over the past 3 weeks, the
amount of call options exceeding put options (in terms of gamma
exposure) averaged almost $40bn (per 1%), which is the largest call to
put gamma imbalance ever observed."
By suggesting the U.S. might not honor its NATO commitment to fight Russia for Estonia, our foreign-policy elites declaimed, Trump has undermined the security architecture that has kept the peace for 65 years. More interesting, however, was the reaction of Middle America. Or, to be more exact, the nonreaction. Americans seem neither shocked nor horrified. What
does this suggest? Behind the war guarantees America has issued to
scores of nations in Europe, the Mideast and Asia since 1949, the bedrock of public support that existed during the Cold War has crumbled.
Donald Trump "is unfit to be President" according to President Obama who challenged congressional Republicans who have criticized their presidential nominee to disavow his candidacy... "What does this say about your party that this is your standard bearer?"
Moments ago, with the market in need of a catalyst to avoid
breaching the dreaded 2,150 support level (as explained earlier by JPM's
Marko Kolanovic), it got that and more, when a WSJ story, ostensibly
leaked by the paper's traditional Goldman-based M&A source, hit
about a takeover of Biogen by Merck and Allergan, sent the stock
soaring, now higher by over 8%, to a market cap of $71 billion.
After every other major US health insurance provider admitted
to generating substantial losses on Obamcare, earlier today Aetna became
the latest to report that its annual loss on Obamacare plans would be
more than $300 million. More ominously, Aetna joined the biggest US
health insurer UnitedHealth in reviewing how, if at all, it would
continue providing ACA services in the 15 states it's currently in.
Clinton does not understand that a policy of endless interventionism has brought us to our knees and made us far weaker.
Does she really expect us to be the policemen of the world with $20
trillion in debt? Likewise, Republican candidate Donald Trump misses the
point. He promises to bring back jobs to America without any
understanding of the policies that led to their departure in the first
place.
"Making America great" is about unleashing the nation’s capitalists again.
It’s an expression that prosperity is not bestowed by the state but won
by the kind of builders, investors, innovators and workers that The
Donald fancies to be the essence of Trump Inc. To that extent, Donald Trump could be regarded as an incipient anti-statist.
While this might seem like an overly generous characterization, it is a
measure, alas, of the degree to which the bipartisan “policy”
consensus against him has congealed around what is essentially a
Keynesian axiom of endless macroeconomic intervention and “stimulus”.
"The government should have never extended [us] so much debt for jobs that are in low demand."
Though millennials have tended to explicitly reject capitalism at ballot boxes around the world, their embrace
with Pokémon Go betrays an unexpected acceptance of inequality as well
as a penchant for playing the odds in red-in-tooth-and-claw competition.
According to our friends at TrimTabs, contrary to speculation
that "money remains on the sidelines", far from the "most hated rally
ever", the month of July saw a near-record $43.0 billion in new cash
added to bond, commodity, and equity exchange-traded funds in July, the
biggest monthly inflow since December 2014, when these funds hauled in
$50.7 billion.
Jean-Claude Juncker, head of the European Commission, is most
famous for a 2011 quote about the Greek financial crisis, during which
he stated: "When it becomes serious, you have to lie." But
that’s just one of many disturbing statements from the man. Clearly,
this is a very sick and twisted human being, but it gets worse… Juncker
has revealed he has a little black book called ‘Little Maurice’ in
which he lists the names of people who have “betrayed” him.
Well that escalated quickly. Having toyed with the $39-handle yesterday, this morning's plunge has erased those stops.
“I don’t care much about Warren Buffett...he’s a Democrat. He’s been a Hillary fan for a long time, and I think that’s fine. Hillary’s a disaster.”
One day after about a 100 protesters gathered in Lower
Manhattan Monday, calling for an end to police brutality and the firing
of NYPD Commissioner William Bratton, they got just what they wanted
and moments ago NYPD Commissioner, news broke that Bill Bratton is set
to resign later today according to ABC.
Mayor Bill de Blasio is expected to announce Bratton’s departure
today, along with his succession by NYPD chief James P. O’Neill.
If the goal of the EBA Stress Tests was to reassure investors
and regain confidence that 'all is well' in Europe's increasingly
fragile and systemically interconnected banking system, then it has utterly failed.
The broadest European bank stock index is now down 7% from the
post-stress-test spike highs, Italian banks are at record lows and being
halted (despite Renzi's promises), Commerzbank is struggling with
capital raise chatter, and Deutsche Bank and Credit Suisse are tumbling
after being booted from the Stoxx 50.
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