Thursday, May 31, 2012


Santelli On Capital Flight And Bond Contagion

While it will be no surprise to any ZH reader (with our attention to Swiss 2Y rates) the world is undergoing a massive capital flight to safety. Rick Santelli gave this topic his special treatment today, pointing out that "capital is detouring - to avoid risk", and outlining just how big a 'crash' lower in yields we have seen among many of the supposedly safest sovereigns as money floods to safe-havens (including UK, US, Japan, Germany, and Holland). What is most important is that Rick outlines why we should care - when all around are yawning on about how cheap 'dividend' stocks must be given low interest rates - since it changes the nature of capital (the life-blood of our markets) from risk-taking to absolute safety-seeking - as he points out that "it isn't necessarily about our own economy's numbers, it isn't even about who we export to; it's the fact that if capital continues to get somewhat impaired, you'll have more data points as investors not only rethink about their capital but everybody rethinks everything in the capital structure that makes business go round."


Bank For International Settlements Making Gold Money: Gold 4 Cash Advertise Central Banks


from Silver Vigilante:
What makes the current situation in gold and silver so transparent is the narrative behind the markets. While the price propaganda in the markets tells potential buyers to stay away, The Basel Committee for Bank Supervision, part of the Bank for International Settlements, considers making gold a Tier 1 capital asset for commercial banks up from a Tier 3 asset.
The BCBS is a financial roundtable for a host of nation’s, who through this committee meet and devise world banking policies. From the BIS website:
The Committee’s members come from Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, Hong Kong SAR, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, the Netherlands, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom and the United States.
Read More @ SilverVigilante.com


 

IMF Begins Spain's Schrodinger Bail Out

Update: as expected, "IMF Says Spain Discussions Internal, No Talks With Spain"

Wondering what prompted the most recent "month end mark up" ramp in stocks? Look no further than the IMF, which one month after failing miserably to procure a much needed targeted amount of European bailout funds as part of Lagarde's whirlwind panhandling tour, hopes that markets are truly made up of idiots who have no idea how to use google and look up events that happened 4 weeks ago. So here it is: the Spanish bail out courtesy of the IMF. Well, not really. Because according to other headlines the IMF claims no plans are being drafted for a bailout. Why? Simple - if the IMF admits it is even considering a bailout, it will launch a bank run that will make the Bankia one seem like child's play, as the cat will truly be out of the bag. So instead it has no choice, but to wink wink at markets telling them even though it has been locked out from additional funding by the US, UK, Canada and even China, it still has access to funding from... Spain.




The Four Greek Election Scenarios

With any possible majority likely to be quite weak, and about two weeks to go, the outcome of this second election remains highly uncertain. While we're happy to leave the ever-changing chances of all the possible government combinations to the Greek political commentators (or media pollsters asking 1000 people), we think that the chances of a pro-bailout majority in parliament – at least for a short while – are slightly less than even at best. Morgan Stanley recently opined on the four possibilities with all centered on Syriza's actions.



Money flies out of Spain, regions pressured

Eric De Groot at Eric De Groot - 2 hours ago
While contagion continues to spread throughout the periphery of Greece, Spain, Portugal, and lesser degree Italy and Japan, it remains largely contained as capital flees towards the safety of the center. This dynamic won't hold for long. The center's growing inability service its existing debts will eventually force capital from the public to private sector. When that happens, likely... [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]]




Net Asset Value Premiums of Certain Precious Metal Trusts and Funds

 

 

Student Debt Bubble Delinquencies Surge

By now, the bubble in student loans is becoming more widely understood. The absolute level continues to rise significantly and growth is accelerating with 8% YoY growth just reported, via the WSJ. Of course the reasons are anathema but attending college on the back of hope of a better-paying job when everyone else is also attending college in that hope (thanks to endless student-loan funding from your helpful government) seems to be self-defeating as the supply of supposedly better-qualified workers into a stagnant economy will do nothing but reduce higher-end wages further? Of course this is over-simplified but as the rest of the country delevers, pays down credit cards, or BKs, those that remain jobless heading to college for a way out are now struggling also - as is clear from WaPo this last weekend where dropout rates are increasingly dramatically. What is more worrisome is that while every other class of debt, according to the New York Fed's data, is seeing delinquency rates dropping, Student Loans 90+ days delinquent surged in Q1 to 8.7% - near its peak crisis highs and remains above peak mortgage delinquency rates.







The Economic Bloodstain From Spain's Pain Will Cause European Tears To Rain
Reggie Middleton
05/31/2012 - 11:21
Just in case there's somebody left who still believes so, Spain is not going to make it. In addition, Spain will crack the EU and bring the art of true fundamental analysis back into the fold.  ...

 

 

SBSS 33. Systemic Risk and Mining Stocks

from TruthNeverTold :





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