by Hubert Moolman, SilverSeek.com:
I think that buying silver today is like buying gold for $554 an ounce. Let me explain: As I am writing, silver is currently trading at about 65.2% (32.6/50) of its 1980 high. If gold was trading at 65.2% of its 1980 high, it would be trading at $554 (0.652*850).
Now, I really like gold, even at today’s price of $1 738, but why should I pay $1 738, if I can get it for $554 by buying silver and then exchanging it for gold when the gold/silver ratio is at an extreme (in favour of silver). The reason for this logic comes from the fundamental relationship between gold and silver as explained in my previous article.
For my argument to be valid, silver has to outperform gold over my investment period, and at least equal gold’s performance relative to its 1980 high. That is, for example, if gold reaches five multiples of its 1980 high ($4250), then silver should do the same ($250), in this example, giving us a gold/silver ratio of 17.
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I think that buying silver today is like buying gold for $554 an ounce. Let me explain: As I am writing, silver is currently trading at about 65.2% (32.6/50) of its 1980 high. If gold was trading at 65.2% of its 1980 high, it would be trading at $554 (0.652*850).
Now, I really like gold, even at today’s price of $1 738, but why should I pay $1 738, if I can get it for $554 by buying silver and then exchanging it for gold when the gold/silver ratio is at an extreme (in favour of silver). The reason for this logic comes from the fundamental relationship between gold and silver as explained in my previous article.
For my argument to be valid, silver has to outperform gold over my investment period, and at least equal gold’s performance relative to its 1980 high. That is, for example, if gold reaches five multiples of its 1980 high ($4250), then silver should do the same ($250), in this example, giving us a gold/silver ratio of 17.
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ECB cuts rate, has no bigger bond-purchase plan
Eric De Groot at Eric De Groot - 1 hour ago
The ECB, unlike the Fed, is unable to create money as needed during a
crisis. Any aggressive expansion of the bond-purchase plan will force a
highly public recapitalization of the ECB. A public recapitalization places
confidence at risk, so in steps the Fed to purchase bonds and supply
liquidity as the lending of last resort. Why do you think Geitner is
traveling around Europe saying Europe is...
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Up and Down we Go - where we stop nobody knows
Trader Dan at Trader Dan's Market Views - 2 hours ago
Yesterday gold was anticipating a stronger policy response coming out of
the upcoming meeting in Brussels dealing with the sovereign debt crisis in
the Eurozone. That brought buying back into a host of markets as well with
equities rallying and the risk trades back on in full force. Today? Well,
that was yesterday.
Once current ECB President Draghi basically squashed the idea of large bond
purchases by the ECB, the market promptly threw away everything it put on
yesterday totally reversing the risk trades as disappointment that the
liquidity punch bowl was not going to be spiked as ... more »
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