Monday, February 27, 2012

Death Spiral: ‘Greece Stranded, Won’t Survive’

As Spain tightens its belt in the face of more cuts, the troubles reverberate across southern Europe. For more on developments in the region advisor Patrick Young talks to RT from Poland.

 

Tips for Surviving the Second Phase of this Global Economic Crisis and Future Financial Armageddon

The two below videos pretty much sum up what I have to say so I will not add too much here other than the following couple of points. Number one, please note that while the first video is new, the second video below is a couple of years old and the contest giveaway promotion is no longer valid. Secondly, for the minority of people out there that will continue to make the ridiculous assertion that the gloom and doomers are slowing the recovery of the economy with our persistent realistic take on the global economy, please note my following preemptive rebuttal. Firstly, I prefer the label “realist” as a more apropos label than “gloom and doomer”. Most of us that have remained realists for the past six years or so have a very public track record through public blog posts and public interviews. I guarantee that if you check our track records versus the so-called “professionals” and eternal, rose-colored tinted glass-wearing optimists like Paul Krugman, Nouriel Roubini, Barry Knapp (Barcalys Capital), Liz Ann Sonders (Charles Schwab), Abby Joseph Cohen (Goldman Sachs), Ben Bernanke etal, we have a far superior track record of being right at a very high percentage regarding our macro-economic calls while the aforementioned list has been wrong in nearly every single one of their incessant calls for stock & real estate market recoveries and employment statistics for six years straight.
Read More @ TheUndergroundInvestor.com









Hyper Report...



Exclusive: State Department quietly warning region on Syrian WMDs
http://thecable.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/02/24/exclusive_state_department...

Debt Doomsday May Come Sooner than Expected
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0212/73260.html

Geithner: 'Privilege of Being an American' Is Why Rich Need Higher Taxes
http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/geithner-privilege-being-american-why-ric...

$200 Oil Coming As Central Banks Go CTRL+P Happy
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/200-oil-coming-central-banks-go-ctrlp-happy

Censored earthquake - Midwest to Southeast USA shakes - Wiped data
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bd0qAVI6x4Y

How to delete your Google browsing history in three simple steps
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2105435/Three-simple-steps-del...

Wyoming House Advances Doomsday Bill
http://trib.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/wyoming-house-advan...



A picture is worth trillions of words

noreply@blogger.com (Patrice Lewis) at Rural Revolution - 59 minutes ago
A reader sent this. For those who believe the soothing assurances that our economy is just peachy, perhaps they should view these schematics. It puts things in perspective. __________________________ A $100 bill. Ten thousand dollars ($10,000). Approximately one year of work for the average human on the earth. A million dollars ($1,000,000). 92 years' worth of work for the average person on earth. Not a very big pile. One hundred million dollars ($100,000,000). Fits nicely on an ISO/Military standard sized pallet. One billion dollars ($1,000,000,000). One trillion dollars ($... more »

 

 

Monetary Expansion: Side Effects

Admin at Marc Faber Blog - 3 hours ago
The lower class members of the society and the middle class, they suffer because of the rising food and energy prices, whereas the well-to-do people do very well because they own equities and other assets. - *in Bloomberg* *Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.* more »

 

 

Confidence Will Turn Infinite into Finite Liquidity

Eric De Groot at Eric De Groot - 3 hours ago
The game of kicking the (economic) can down the road without consequences has been assumed for years. The growing gulf between economic perception and reality makes social consequences more visible with each passing day. Jim commentary, When Does Notional Value Become Real Value?, is far more than some hypothetical discussion. Damage to balance sheets is so severe that infinite liquidity,... [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]] more »

 

 

QE 3 Is Already Taking Place, Look At The Federal Reserve`s Balance Sheet

Admin at Jim Rogers Blog - 4 hours ago
We already have QE 3. Get out the Federal Reserve‘s balance sheet. You’ll see that they’ve been pumping up – you can see unadjusted M2 is going through the roof. Look at their balance sheet. All sorts of assets are suddenly appearing on their balance sheet. Where did they come from? They didn’t come from the Tooth Fairy; they came because they’re in there buying in the market as fast as they can. There Is QE 3 already. They don’t call it that but it’s there. – *in Reuters* *Jim Rogers is an author, financial commentator and successful international investor. He has been frequently ... more »

 

 

What Is the 'Spot Price' of Gold and Silver?

 

 

Can Silver Keep Up Its Polished Performance?

Precious metals have been one of the best-performing asset classes of 2012 – with silver being the star performer.
by Garry White, Telegraph.co.uk:

Last week the silver price leapt by 6.4pc to $35.395 an ounce, bringing the total gains for the year to a very impressive 27pc.
In the year to date, platinum prices have risen 22pc, gold prices are 13pc ahead, with palladium bringing up the rear with a gain of 8.5pc. Precious metals have put the 6.5pc rally in the FTSE 100 this year in the shade, but can the gains continue, particular in silver?
Silver is one of the most volatile of all the precious metals. In the last 12 months it has been as high as $48.44 and hit a low of $27.10. The price is now almost in the middle of this 12-month range.
One measure of the relative under or over-valuation of silver is the gold:silver ratio.
Read More @ Telegraph.co.uk

 

 

Plosser Says Fed MBS Purchases May Be Breach Into Fiscal Policy

by Joshua Zumbrun, Bloomberg.com:
Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Plosser said that central bank purchases of mortgage-backed securities may be an inappropriate foray into policy that should be conducted by the U.S. Treasury.
“When the Fed engages in targeted credit programs that seek to alter the allocation of credit across markets, I believe it is engaging in fiscal policy and has breached the traditional boundaries established between the fiscal authorities and the central bank,” Plosser said according to prepared remarks of a speech he’s giving in New York today.
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and the Federal Open Market Committee are debating a new round of mortgage bond purchases to help boost the housing market and the economy.
“Central banks and monetary policy are not and cannot be real solutions to the unsustainable fiscal paths many countries currently face,” Plosser said on a panel at the University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business 2012 U.S. Monetary Policy Forum. “The only real answer rests with the fiscal authorities’ ability to develop credible commitments to sustainable fiscal paths.”
Read More @ Bloomberg.com

 

 

LTRO 2 101: Top-Down

With the second version of the ECB’s enhanced LTRO (back-door QE) starting tomorrow, there has been a great deal of speculation on what the take-up will be, what banks will do with the funds they receive, and more importantly how will this effect global asset markets. SocGen provides a comprehensive top-down analysis of the drivers of LTRO demand, the likely uses of those funds, and estimates how much of this will be used to finance the carry trade (placebo or no placebo). Italian (25%) and Spanish (20%) banks are unsurprisingly at the forefront in their take-up of ECB liquidity (likely undertaking the M.A.D. reach-around carry trade ) and have been since long before the first LTRO. On the other side, German banks have dramatically reduced their collective share of ECB liquidity from 30% to only 6%. SocGen skews their detailed forecast to EUR300-400bn, disappointing relative to the near EUR500bn consensus – and so likely modestly bad news for risk assets. Furthermore, they expect around EUR116bn of this to be used for carry trade ‘revenue’ production which will however lead to only a 0.6% improvement in sectoral equity levels (though some banks will benefit more than others), as they discuss the misunderstanding of LTRO-to-ECB-deposit facility rotation. We, however, remind readers that collateralized (and self-subordinating) debt is not a substitute for capital and if the ECB adamantly defines this as the last enhanced LTRO (until the next one of course) then European banks face an uphill battle without that crutch – whether or not they even have collateral to post. Its further important to note that LTRO 2 cannot be wholly disentangled from the March 1-2 EU Summit event risk and we fear expectations, priced into markets, are a little excessive.
Read More @ ZeroHedge.com

 

 

Is Housing an Attractive Investment?

by Charles Hugh Smith, ChrisMartenson.com:

In a previous report, Headwinds for Housing, I examined structural reasons why the much-anticipated recovery in housing valuations and sales has failed to materialize. In Searching for the Bottom in Home Prices, I addressed the Washington and Federal Reserve policies that have attempted to boost the housing market.
In this third series, let’s explore this question: is housing now an attractive investment?
At least some people think so, as investors are accounting for around 25% of recent home sales.
Superficially, housing looks potentially attractive as an investment. Mortgage rates are at historic lows, prices have declined about one-third from the bubble top (and even more in some markets), and alternative investments, such as Treasury bonds, are paying such low returns that when inflation is factored in, they’re essentially negative.
Read More @ ChrisMartenson.com

 

 

Dow 80,000? It All Depends on Interest Rates

 

IAEA Ex-Head: ‘CIA Feeds US Bad Info On Iran Nukes’

UN nuclear watchdog IAEA has been closely cooperating with the world’s spy agencies, including on Iran, for years, former head of the agency, Hans Blix, told RT.





Riksbank Denies IMF Data Showing Sweden Gold Reserves Up Sharp 18.3 Tons in January

from GoldCore:
Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,765.00, EUR 1,316.18, and GBP 1,113.28 per ounce.
Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,778.50, EUR 1,328.23, and GBP 1,125.412 per ounce.
Gold ticked higher initially in Asia before seeing slight price falls and that weakness has continued in European trading with gold lower in most currencies.
G20 nations rebuffed calls from the euro area to boost the IMF’s bailout fund and this may have contributed to the slip which was also seen in Asian and European equities, U.S. index futures, oil and other commodities.
Markets await US home sales which come out at 1500 GMT. Investors expect the ECB to inject another massive half a trillion euros to banks in the 2nd tier of a three year long-term financing operation in the vain hope that this will allow European finance minister’s to solve the debt crisis.
Read More @ GoldCore.com




Overnight Sentiment Negative Following Failure To Boost IMF Rescue Fund

Overnight sentiment is significantly negative, with stocks, bond yields, risk currencies lower after G-20 over the weekend refused to increase IMF funding. The result is an end to the buoyant market sentiment of recent days which has seen the Dax down 1.2%, bund, UST yields lower, and US futures lower. As many had expected, the G-20 has rebuffed EU leaders’ request for more assistance, which in turn has placed the onus on Germany to find a way to resolve its internal conflict vis-a-vis a Greek bailout, ironically as many believe that it is Germany who more than anyone wants Greece out. This happens as the Bundestag votes today on second aid package today; Merkel’s government must decide whether to back plans at this week’s summit to combine EFSF and ESM. In other news, tomorrow the ECB will call for bids for the second 3 Year LTRO tomorrow, with results announced on February 29. And with the ECB’s deposit facility at €477 billion, it is rather clear that the banks will park the bulk of new proceeds with the ECB once again, where it will continue to be a negative carry trade, earning 0.25% at a cost of 1.00%. And somehow this is favorable for the European sovereign bond market, which continues to ignore the various layers of subordination it is now working under. We expect the market revulsion to this flaw to be violent when it comes, and will result in a rapid and sudden divergence between the various subordinated tranches of sovereign bonds. Read More @ ZeroHedge.com




Why Freedom?

by Tibor Machan, The Daily Bell:

Freedom Revived
Few can deny that human beings care about liberty. There are, of course, different senses in which the term “liberty” is used. One sense of it means being without obstacles in life; another, to be able to develop fully with as little hindrance as can be achieved through collective action; or, again, to have the chance to obtain from others their surplus wealth and labor-power.
The sense of the term employed in classical liberal political theory, usually interchangeable with “freedom,” has meant the condition that obtains when one is not intruded upon by other human beings who can choose how they will treat other people.
My main focus here will be on this last sense of the concept “liberty,” the sort of liberty that can obtain among human beings. The sort of liberty at issue concerns what we can do something about by an act of mere will or self-discipline, namely, not intruding on each others’ lives, not encroaching upon one another’s sovereignty. I will also touch on another topic that is related to this sort of liberty, namely, free will or the human capacity to act on one’s own initiative, without being driven to behave by forces apart from oneself. These two notions of liberty or freedom are both vital to human living as well as closely related.
Read More @ TheDailyBell.com




Gas Prices Signal Tsunami of Inflation

from Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com:

A good friend of mine, who has family living abroad, called me this weekend. One of the first things out of his mouth was about his sister in London and how she was dealing with “terrible inflation.” No doubt he was talking about the spike in gasoline prices that have risen to more than $8 a gallon. (The official inflation rate in the UK is around 3.6%, but I’m sure the numbers over there are as reliable as the inflation numbers in the U.S. where fuel and food are not counted in the so-called “core” inflation.) Part of this price spike is due to Iran cutting off crude oil shipments to the EU recently, but part of it is the fact the UK has been engaging in quantitative easing (QE), or money printing, to help its ailing economy and insolvent banks. Just in the last few weeks, it announced another $50 billion in QE. The UK is not alone as most Western countries are engaging in QE to prop up an insolvent system bloated on bad debt.
“Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon.” This famous quote from Nobel Prize winner Milton Friedman really says it all about what is happening to fuel prices and inflation. The Federal Reserve is creating trillions of dollars in new currency to paper over the meltdown of 2008 and stave off a sovereign debt crisis in Europe. Oil is priced in dollars; so, of course, fuel prices are rising around the globe. An article on Zerohedge.com, last Friday, predicts oil hitting $200 a barrel in the next 5 years, but I think we will hit that mark much sooner. The post unabashedly said, “The sole reason why crude prices are surging . . . is because global liquidity has risen by $2 trillion in a few short months, on the most epic shadow liquidity tsunami launched in history in lieu of QE.” (Click here for the complete Zerohedge.com story.)
Read More @ USAWatchdog.com



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