Thursday, June 7, 2012


Fitch Follows S&P, Slashes Spain By 3 Notches To BBB, Only Moody Is Left - Step 3 Collateral Downgrade Imminent

First it Egan-Jones (of course). Then S&P. Now Fitch (which sees the Spanish bank recap burden between €60 and a massive €100 billion!)joins the downgrade party of rating agencies that have Spain at a sub-A rating. Only Moody's is left. What happens when Moody's also cuts Spain to BBB or less? Bad things: as we explained on April 30, when everyone has Spain at BBB or less...

 

Why You Should Be Excited About National Bankruptcy...

One of the great absurdities of our modern financial system is that a nation living within its means, i.e. spending less than what it confiscates in tax revenue, is no longer the norm. Living within your means is now considered ‘austerity’. And unfair. Whether in the UK, Europe, or North America, many voters have become so accustomed to the government’s massive role in the economy, they can’t begin to imagine how it could be scaled back. The more insolvent governments become, the more they’re going to be forced to axe all the things they can’t afford. We’re already starting to see this in places from California to England that can no longer hide from their fiscal reality. With the government monopoly out of the way, the private sector will mop up every service that it can turn a profit on– trash collection, security, fire, prisons, libraries, etc. This forces competition, higher quality service, and lower prices for everyone. The people who protest against austerity, or think it’s a tragedy when a courthouse closes down due to budget constraints, are really missing the larger point: the sooner this corrupt house of cards collapses, the better off we’ll all be.





How Long Until EURCHF Is Re-Pegged To 1.10?

Swiss National Bank currency reserves just topped CHF300bn in May for the first time on record. As SocGen notes this jump from a mere CHF66bn in April is the second largest rise since August last year - right before the SNB put in place the 1.20 cap in EURCHF. The increase in reserves is not a major surprise after EURUSD plummeted over eight big figures last month and the SNB was left with no choice but to step up its EUR purchases in order to defend the cap. However, the size of the increase may cause fresh political consternation as the cost of unlimited foreign currency purchases continues to climb and a definitive resolution of the euro crisis is still remote. What worries us more is the market's 'hedging' of a tail-risk event in Europe has driven risk-reversals in EURCHF (a way of understanding the bullish/bearish bias in FX options prices) that implies a 1.10 level for EURCHF which is somewhat incredibly supported by an analysis of the variation in ECB and SNB balance sheet changes. As the threat of capital controls looms large and Swiss 2Y rates press back towards -30bps, we wonder how long until a new 'equilibrium' cap is adjusted down to 1.10.



Some Gold Mining Shares Have Become Very Inexpensive

Admin at Marc Faber Blog - 32 minutes ago
I'm not sure that Gold will not make a new high this year, but I think we've bottomed out and some gold mining shares have become very, very inexpensive compared to the reserves they have. And I think that in the current environment where it is clear that the worse the economy becomes the more the money printers will be at work, that to own a currency whose supply can not be increased at the will of some clowns that occupy the central banks is a desirable investment. - *in Yahoo Finance* * * Related: Newmont Mining (NEM), Barrick Gold (ABX), Goldcorp (GG), SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD);... more » 
 

Bailout optimism drives world stock rebound

Eric De Groot at Eric De Groot - 1 hour ago
While emotional interpretations, such as "bailout optimism drives world stock rebound" generate clicks, they're most often the kiss of death for traders and investors when acted upon. The balance between risk-on and risk-off currently favors the latter. This relative movement of capital between markets supports this assertion. For example, the up and down trend in the gold to... [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]]




BTFD...(buy the f---ing  dips)

Gold Plunges As Bernanke Speaks: China Is Most Grateful

It would appear that the asset-class most sensitive to the next round of renewed money-printing by the Fed - that implicitly seems to provide stock investors with some belief that their USD-numeraire priced holdings should go up in price - is dropping fast and pricing out hope of a 'New QE' anytime soon. As The Bernank speaks and offers nothing more than a Draghi-reinforcing check-to-the-government around the poker table of global macro, Gold is plunging. The biggest beneficiary of the Bernanke soliloquy so far is China, which has managed to get a new cheaper entry point on Bernanke's latest attempt to talk down Gold while keeping stocks up (because rising input costs courtesy of oil apparently only impact the gold bottom line). After importing 100 tons in physical gold (not GLD) in April, the country will be even happier to buy far more at lower, not higher prices.




Industry Watch: Peter Grandich “Gold Will Take Out Its High From Last Year”


Al Korelin chats with Peter Grandich at the 2012 World Resource Investment Conference in Vancouver BC about the future of gold, the conventional stock markets, and the fed going into a ‘crisis easing mode’.



The real cost of not owning gold



from, Gold Money:
Bloomberg recently published an illustrative slideshow titled “The Real Cost of Owning Gold”. As usual when dealing with precious metals, in an attitude that is widespread among the mainstream financial press, the tone is dismissive, disdainful and almost mocking of those that advocate ownership of hard assets – and especially gold.
The reasons for this hostility are fairly obvious. First, ignorance: precious metals have been out of fashion for over 30 years, and financial analysts (average age 35) know little about them. Most would have came of age, professionally and intellectually speaking, during the early part of the last decade – at a time when gold investors were the crazy-old uncles of the investment world: deemed irrelevant and backward-looking by fashionable opinion.
Read More @ GoldMoney.com




ECB Non-Action Speaks Louder Than Words



by Bill Fleckenstein, Financial Sense:

Overnight markets were higher, with European equities gaining ground, both before and after the ECB basically did nothing, to the tune of a couple percent (debt markets were a little bit heavier). Though Draghi did say that he was ready to act, I would have expected markets to react rather negatively to the inaction today, but that was not the case. Perhaps that indicates that there is maneuvering behind the scenes for more ECB easing. If they don’t do something soon it will not only be a big problem, it will mean the ECB is the odd man out, as most likely the Bank of England is ready to act, along with the Fed.
More Fed Aversion to the Mean
We will learn more about how Bernanke views the situation tomorrow when he testifies before Congress, but the Fed’s current favorite leak conduit, Jon Hilsenrath, ran a column in yesterday’s Wall Street Journal that made it pretty clear Ben & Co. are leaning in the direction of QE3.
Read More @ Financial Sense.com




Greece Gets “Corzined” In Its Fruitless Pursuit of Euro Unity, Sans Its Own Sovereignty As Simple Arithmetic Sets In Again

by Reggie Middleton, BoomBustBlog.com:
Remember, I warned readers to Beware The Overly Optimistic Greek Speculators As Icarus Comes Crashing Down To Earth! I gave subscribers (click here to subscribe) explicit proof that another Greek default was right around the corner. That’s right! Direcly after the Greek default in March of this year!!!! Subscribers, see Greek debt restructuring maturity extension blog – March 2012 (Global Macro, Trades & Strategy). And in today’s MSM fare: Greece Warns of Going Broke as Tax Proceeds Dry Up
As European leaders grapple with how to preserve their monetary union, Greece is rapidly running out of money
Nikos Lekkas, a government official, said banks had hindered his efforts to collect back taxes. 
Government coffers could be empty as soon as July, shortly after this month’s pivotal elections. In the worst case, Athens might have to temporarily stop paying for salaries and pensions, along with imports of fuel, food and pharmaceuticals.
Read More @ BoomBustBlog.com




Trade Dollar Intentions Went Wrong

[Ed. Note: Here's a fascinating look at the history of the first US bullion silver coin, the Trade Dollar. Unlike today, it was minted at a time when there was more silver than people knew what to do with!]
by Paul M. Green, Numismaster.com:
It is actually surprising that someone has not been on the television marketing an historic bullion coin set featuring one silver American Eagle and one Trade dollar. Issued over a century apart, the two share the common traits of being large silver coins of the United States that traded at bullion levels. Moreover, such a promotion might well make more aware of the Trade dollar and its fascinating story.
In fact, the story of the Trade dollar really goes back well beyond the production of the first Trade dollar for there is very little doubt that had there been no excess silver there might well have never been a Trade dollar. So we go back to 1859 and the first major silver strikes in what we now know as Nevada.
It is hard to imagine too much silver being a problem as most of us would love to have that problem, but too much silver is actually a problem if you happen to own a silver mine and you and your fellow mine owners have more silver than you can use.
Read More @ Numismaster.com




Meltdown Watch: Spain calls for new tax pact to save euro

Madrid calls for Europe-wide plan but resists ‘humiliation’ of national bailout
from The Guardian:
Spain is warning that Europe‘s single currency will unravel unless its leaders decide within weeks to centralise budget and tax policies in the eurozone and agree on a strategy to pool responsibility for failing banks.
As Spain’s prime minister, Mariano Rajoy, came under mounting international pressure to accept the eurozone’s fourth national bailout in two years, the government in Madrid angrily rejected the demands, insisting that it did not need rescuing. With fears of a euro meltdown having rapidly shifted from Greece to Spain, Rajoy is pleading for a direct eurozone rescue of his country’s banks, to avoid the humiliation attached to requesting a national bailout.
Sources familiar with the Spanish government’s thinking said its negotiating position was that the fundamental quandary facing the eurozone was not Spain, but a European failure of leadership in persuading the financial markets that the euro would be defended at all costs.
Read More @ Guardian.co.uk




The Madness of the Market

By Greg Canavan, DailyReckoning.com.au:
‘Stocks surge on stimulus hopes,’ says The Sydney Morning Herald.
‘Stimulus hopes spur stock, commodities rally,’ opines Reuters.
‘U.S. Stocks Rise Most Since December on Stimulus Hopes,’ the Wall Street Journal declares.
The saying ‘once bitten, twice shy’ doesn’t seem to apply to financial markets. We can’t remember the number of times ‘hopes of a stimulus package’ sent the market soaring, only for it to be disappointed by the actual effect of said economic stimulus 2-6 months later.
So what is it this time; the collective wisdom of the market or the madness of crowds?
How about the madness of the market?
The market ain’t what it used to be. The retail investor has had enough. Term deposits or cash look good. Bond funds (nearing all-time highs) are more popular than ever. High frequency trading (HFT) is an increasingly dominant force.
Read More @ DailyReckoning.com.au




China Investment Corp Cuts Exposure to Europe Drastically, Fearing Euro Zone Break Up

By Matthew Sparks, The Telegraph:
China Investment Corp, the sovereign wealth fund, has cut its exposure to Europe drastically and sees a growing risk of a break-up of the eurozone, according to reports in the Wall Street Journal. The fund planned ahead and withdrew its exposure to the eurozone periphery without incurring any losses. Chairman Lou Jiwei told the paper:
Quote
There is a risk that the euro zone may fall apart and that risk is rising. Right now we find there is too much risk in Europe’s public markets.
Read More @ Telegraph.co.uk




Blatant Corporate Media Propaganda Inciting Hatred of Syria to Justify Intervention

by Eric Blair, Activist Post
It’s more obvious everyday that propaganda is getting more blatant, more in our face. Mostly we just assume it has always been there but it’s usually cleverly subtle. Not lately though. It’s blood in your face time especially in regards to the “conflict” in Syria.
This struck me for several reasons which I’ll get into; but first, this is at least the third time they’ve plastered their front page with this propaganda in the last couple of weeks.  These blood-soaked headlines always lead to an Associated Press story, or, in this case, Reuters.
It’s difficult to even know where to begin breaking down the blatant propaganda tactics used here. Let’s ignore the gory red paint splatters on the Syrian flag, as that one is pathetically obvious.
Read More @ Activist Post




Initial Claims “Beat Expectations”, As Whopping 105 THOUSAND Lose Extended Benefits

from Zero Hedge:
While it is a number which nobody will care about today, especially if it is better than expected, initial claims printed at 377K on expectations of 378K, the first beat of expectations in 5 weeks. Of course, the claims number next week will be revised to over 380K. Why? Because, as now happens every single week, last week’s initial claims number was revised higher from 383K to 389K. As a reminder, last week this number was expected to print at 370K. So only a 19K miss when all is said and done. But at least the mainstream media has its bullish for general consumption headline: “Initial Claims drop by 12,000″ even as market participants realize this is still QE-promoting. Continuing claims printed at 3,293K, missing expectations of 3,250K, and down from an upward, of course, revised 3,259K. But the most disturbing observation is that in one week alone, a whopping 104,600 people hit the 99-week cliff, and stopped collecting extended unemployment benefits, the most since December 2011, as those on EUCs dropped by -45,808 while those on Extended benefits dropped by a astounding -58,829. As a reminder, Zero Hedge first noted that shortly 700,000 people will no longer be collecting any unemployment benefits. Here is to hoping those off the dole, are at least collecting disability in the USSA as otherwise these are tens of billions in lost purchasing power.
Read More @ Zerohedge




Precious Metals Volatility Achille’s Heel of Mines, Bullion Distributors & Retailers?

from Silver Vigilante:
Whilst I pondered the dynamics of the bullion market as I have come to understand it, as an avid purchaser of mainly silver, I cannot come to any other conclusion regarding price volatility and business operations than this: the volatility experienced by the precious metals markets over the last two months about could not have been good for hedging a business.
There is no way a company that slings precious metals’ 24 hours a day can properly hedge themselves against the volatility. Even if you are perfectly hedged at one moment, future price movement to the downside could spell diminished fiat income to your business. You can buy-and-sell and buy-and-sell all day, but if the asset which you are slinging consistently trends down, then your inventory at any given time is falling in price. The silver you buy on a Friday, for example, could be down 5% on Monday. Can this be perfectly hedged against? Sure, if you’ve got six figure capital – at least- to spend on the proper order management and point of sale system.
Read More @ Silver Vigilante




Fed & ECB Petrified, This is Exactly What Will Trigger More QE

from KingWorldNews:
With tremendous volatility in global markets, the question everyone wants to know the answer to is: When will we see QE3? Today Michael Pento told KWN he doesn’t think that “Banana Ben Bernanke is ready to push the panic button right now.” Pento, of Pento Portfolio Strategies, also told KWN readers exactly what five things to look for that will trigger QE3. Here is what Pento had to say about the situation: “Unfortunately, in Pavlovian fashion, investors have been taught that any time the market has a hiccup, that the Fed would come in there and rescue them. It happened with the housing crisis, and before that with the Nasdaq bubble.”
Michael Pento continues @ KingWorldNews.com




Big Pharma: Getting away with murder

by Craig Stellpflug, Natural News:
If a study comes up negative for your favorite drug, just don’t publish it! 68 percent of all drug studies are swept under the carpet to keep those pesky side effects from being reported. Only 32 percent of studies come up positive, and a lot of those studies are “shortened” to limit the long-term findings. Studies cut short were found to overestimate the study drug’s effectiveness and miss dangerous side effects and complications by an average of 30 percent. This would explain the amazing 85 percent drug study success rate in the hands of Big Pharma according to the Annals of Internal Medicine.
In some cases, shortened studies don’t just make a drug look more effective than it ever could be, but they also turn dangerous and ineffective meds into miracle drugs, according to a study in JAMA. Studies are often cut short when researchers get “overwhelmingly convincing evidence” of a drug’s effectiveness. If you want to make money with your drug, find an early spike in the data and run with it before the data dives. Get in, get the result you want, get out fast, and make lots of money.
Read More @ NaturalNews.com




George Soros Warns European Union is Going Down in 3 Months

by Gary North, The Market Oracle:
George Soros has laid it on the line. The eurozone will begin to break up, followed by the break-up of the European Union, within three months if the politicians do not come to an agreement to re-write the treaties and centralize power. No other figure has been this apocalyptic and this specific as to the timetable.
He sees this outcome as a catastrophe. I keep thinking: “Free at last! Free at last!”
Soros understands the price movements of currencies better than anyone else. This is how he became a multi-billionaire. He has used massive leverage – extremely high risk – to speculate in the currency futures markets, often taking the opposite side of trades with central banks. When a man has enough wisdom to beat the currency futures markets, I give him credit. He knows something about currencies.
Read More @ TheMarketOracle.co.uk




Can You Answer 25 Difficult Questions That The Mainstream Media Does Not Seem To Have Answers To?

from The American Dream:
The mainstream news just seems to get sillier and shallower with each passing day. Our world is becoming incredibly unstable, corruption is everywhere, we are on the verge of another massive economic crisis, government debt is absolutely exploding, war could erupt in the Middle East at any time and signs of deep social decay are everywhere and yet the mainstream media seems absolutely obsessed with reporting on celebrities and scandals. It would be nice if the mainstream media would do a lot more true investigative reporting and would actually try to answer some of the difficult questions that we are being faced with. Unfortunately, most of what passes for “news” these days is essentially just “infotainment”. That is one of the reasons why we have seen such a surge in the popularity of alternative news outlets in recent years. People are searching for the truth, and they know that they are not getting much of it from the mainstream media these days.
Read More @ EndOfTheAmericanDream.com




Russian ‘Open Ponzi’ Recruits 35 Million Members, Compares Scheme to Federal Reserve, Russian Pension Funds

from Silver Doctors:
Russia’s version of Bernie Madoff, Sergei Mavrodi (previously imprisoned for 4 years for a 1990′s ponzi scheme) has launched an ‘Honest Ponzi’ called MMM-2011, compared the scheme to the Russian Pension Fund and the Federal Reserve, informed investors that they WILL ONLY BE PAID WITH FUNDS FROM NEW INVESTORS, and has somehow recruited/scammed 35 million investors around the world.
Bloomberg asks the obvious question:
What’s the difference between today’s global finance system and a Ponzi scheme? This is the question that a 56-year-old veteran Russian financial scammer has been asking his victims.
Chillingly, he almost has a point.
Read More @ SilverDoctors.com



Polish That Turd – Jobs Report

[Ed. Note: A bit of comic relief and blatant propaganda provided by the Obamoney Administration.]
from The Daily Show with Jon Stewart:



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