Sunday, June 17, 2012


As Syriza Concedes Defeat, EURUSD Forgets To Soar - Is A Spanish "Bail Out" Market Response In The Works?


In a perilous replay of the Spanish bank "bailout", the proxy for bailout sentiment, the EURUSD pair, was up 61 pips to just under 1.2700... and that's it. Naturally, if the world suddenly thought Europe was "fixed", Spain notwithstanding, one would imagine the reaction by the FX market would be just a little more invigorated than merely confirming that what is playing out (namely the lack of a definitive Greek government) has already been priced in. And yet here we are...




And Now... Let's Play Chicken

It is "no government" in Greece for the moment, playing chicken over the bailout terms, playing chicken over new money for Greece as their economy continues to deteriorate and as they amount they owe now, much less any new money, cannot be paid back under any scenario that anyone can concoct. The headlines may well drive the markets' reaction briefly but "watch out below" will be what takes hold as it must because that assumption is based upon facts and not hype.





Pasok Throws A Monkey Wrench Into Coalition Discussions

As reported in the previous post, the Greek PASOK party of former PM G-Pap may have thrown a grenade into coalition discussion, following an announcement by Katerina Diamantopoulou that Pasok will not join into a coalition government with ND unless Syriza also joins said coalition. Which Syriza stated moments ago it would not do. The question then comes whether ND can form a government (150+ seats) with any of the other remaining parties (up to and including neo-nazi New Dawn or the communists... why is there no Pirate party in Greece?). The answer is most likely not, but not before some serious horse trading shows that the second Greek elections has achieved nothing, and the world now has to look forward to a 3rd Greek election round, some time in August, and then another, and then another, until no more assets are left to be plundered from the state which will have no head for a long time. Incidentally, just as we predicted on May 3 in "Previewing The First Of Many Greek Elections"





French Socialists Win An Absolute Majority In Parliament

While everyone is focusing on Greece, we have news from France:
  • FRENCH SOCIALISTS WIN ABSOLUTE MAJORITY IN PARLIAMENT, CSA SAYS
  • FRENCH SOCIALISTS WON 320 SEATS, CSA SAYS; MAJORITY IS 289
  • FRENCH SOCIALISTS WON'T NEED TO RELY ON LEFT FRONT, GREENS: CSA
So... does that mean that the recently reduced minimum retirement age wil be cut again, thank you Germany?
 

 

Greek Election Results - A House Divided

 

No One's Asking the REAL Question That Matters for the EU...

Phoenix Capital...
06/17/2012 - 17:18
  While everyone else is focusing on the Greek elections, the REAL issues pertaining to the EU (namely where the funding for Spain’s bailout as well as future bailouts will come from)...



testosteronepit
06/16/2012 - 23:21
Four months before the election. And yet, a horrendous migration across the Pacific



Bruce Krasting
06/17/2012 - 09:27
Happy Father's Day!


On the Brink: Russia Announces It Will Send Warships to Syria

by Kurt Nimmo, Info Wars:
On Friday, the Russian General Staff announced it will send warships from the Black Sea Fleet to the Syrian coast. The deployment will protect the Russian logistics base in Tartus, Syria.
Russia has historically maintained a strong bilateral relationship with Syria. Its only Mediterranean naval base for the Black Sea Fleet is located in the port of Tartus.
“Several warships of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, including large landing ships with marines aboard, are fully prepared to go on the voyage,” the General Staff told Itar-Tass.
In late May, Russian and Western media reported that the Russian-flagged bulk cargo vessel Professor Katsman docked at the Syrian port of Tartus and delivered weapons to the al-Assad regime. The Ford Foundation funded NGO Human Rights First also made the claim. Amnesty International, a Soros funded NGO, has called on the Russian government to cease the transfer of arms to Syria in compliance with UN Security Council recommendations.
“Either the U.S. intelligence service works poorly or they have a poor knowledge of geography,” a source with the Russian General Staff remarked in response to the allegation.
Read More @ InfoWars.com




Ron Paul Wins 21 of 25 Iowa Delegates and 21 Out of Virginia!

from Matlarson10:
 
 

Obama: The Biggest Government Spender In World History

by Peter Ferrara, Forbes:
The U.S. has never before had a President who thinks so little of the American people that he imagines he can win re-election running on the opposite of reality. But that is the reality of President Obama today.
Waving a planted press commentary, Obama recently claimed on the campaign stump, “federal spending since I took office has risen at the slowest pace of any President in almost 60 years.”
Peggy Noonan aptly summarized in last weekend’s Wall Street Journal the take away by the still holding majority of Americans living in the real world:
“There is, now, a house-of-cards feel about this administration. It became apparent some weeks ago when the President talked on the stump – where else? – about an essay by a fellow who said spending growth [under Obama] is actually lower than that of previous Presidents. This was startling to a lot of people, who looked into it and found the man had left out most spending from 2009, the first year of Mr. Obama’s Presidency. People sneered: The President was deliberately using a misleading argument to paint a false picture! But you know, why would he go out there waiving an article that could immediately be debunked? Maybe because he thought it was true. That’s more alarming, isn’t it, the idea that he knows so little about the effects of his own economic program that he thinks he really is a low spender.”
Read More @ Forbes.com




Are We in Revolutionary Times?

by Victor Davis Hanson, National Review
Legally, President Obama has reiterated the principle that he can pick and choose which U.S. laws he wishes to enforce (see his decision to reverse the order of the Chrysler creditors, his decision not to enforce the Defense of Marriage Act, and his administration’s contempt for national-security confidentiality and Senate and House subpoenas to the attorney general). If one individual can decide to exempt nearly a million residents from the law — when he most certainly could not get the law amended or repealed through proper legislative or judicial action — then what can he not do? Obama is turning out to be the most subversive chief executive in terms of eroding U.S. law since Richard Nixon.
Politically, Obama calculates that some polls showing the current likely Hispanic support for him in the high 50s or low 60s would not provide enough of a margin in critical states such as Nevada, New Mexico, and Colorado, or perhaps also in Florida and Virginia, to counteract the growing slippage of the independent vote and the energy of the clinger/tea-party activists. Thus, what was not legal or advisable in 2009, 2010, or 2011, suddenly has become critical in mid-2012. No doubt free green cards will quickly lead to citizenship and a million new voters. Will it work politically?
Read More @ NationalReview.com




Sick Of The Manipulation Of Your Shares?

by Jim Sinclair, JS Mineset:
Dear CIGAs,
Have you had enough of the manipulation of your gold and silver shares? The more noise we make the closer we come to getting the light shined on these evil people.
Complain about the raids of your investments by short sellers if you have witnessed it.
Hi Jim,
Looking at quite a few issues this afternoon, this same phenomenon occurred with huge volumes right at the close or even trading after the close. THIS is the biggest, most blatant and in your face manipulation since this whole fiasco started. I entered the PM arena in 1998 and thought that I had seen it all. Apparently not! Of course, we will not hear anything from the regulators but we must yell louder and louder. To suffer in silence is madness and cowardly.
CIGA Bill
Read More @ JSMineset.com




In The News Today


Greece chooses austerity over Euro withdrawal, as latest exit polls suggest voters back pro bail-out parties By Craig Mackenzie and Tom Gardner
PUBLISHED: 08:25 GMT, 17 June 2012 | UPDATED: 20:27 GMT, 17 June 2012

  • Exit polls predict no out-right winner of Greek election
  • Parties pledged to keeping Greece in Eurozone appear to have enough votes to form coalition
  • Conservative New Democracy party set to win 30.5per cent of vote or 129 or parliament’s 300 seats with leader proposing unity government
  • Anti-austerity radical leftist party SYRIZA came second gaining huge support with 26 per cent of the vote
  • Leader of prospective third placed socialist PASOK proposes coalition government of four top parties – including anti-bailout radical left
  • But good news… Greece beat Russia at Euro championship
  • Bad news… they may face favourites Germany in the quarter final
A Eurozone meltdown appears to have been narrowly averted as the latest Greek election results show voters have backed parties vowing to keep the country in the single currency.
Although no party appears to have won enough seats in today’s election to form a new Greek government on its own, incoming results indicate the country’s two traditional and pro-Euro parties – New Democracy and PASOK – will have enough seats to form a coalition together.
But the radical leftist SYRIZA party – which has vowed to tear up the terms of an EU/IMF bailout package keeping Greece from bankruptcy, potentially sending the country crashing out of Europe’s single currency – has gained massive support with the second highest vote.
With 37.4 per cent of the vote counted, official results showed the conservative New Democracy with 30.5 per cent of the vote, ahead of the radical anti-bailout Syriza party’s 26 per cent and the pro-bailout socialist PASOK with 12.9 per cent.
Leader of the pro-bailout New Democracy Antonis Samaras immediately proposed forming a pro-euro coalition government.
He said: ‘The Greek people today voted for Greece to remain on its European path and in the eurozone.’
He added that voters chose ‘policies that will bring jobs, growth, justice and security’.
He spoke as leader of second placed Syriza Alexis Tsipras conceded the election.
More…





Realtime Foreign Exchange › Euro/US Dollar (FOREX:EURUSD)
http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=forex_eurusd
1.2700 +0.0064 (+0.51%)
2012-06-17 15:29:59, 0 min delay
clip_image001


Pro-bailout party declares victory in Greek election – ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation) Updated June 18, 2012 06:50:34
Greece’s centre-right New Democracy party has declared victory after Sunday’s parliamentary elections, easing fears of a chaotic exit from the eurozone.
Early results had New Democracy winning nearly 30 per cent of the vote, which would give it 128 seats in the 300-seat parliament because of a 50-seat boost given to the victor under the Greek electoral system.
Coalition talks are now expected to start later today, with the most likely ally being the socialist Pasok party, which seems to have won 33 seats.
The anti-austerity radical leftist Syriza party came second with about 26 per cent of the vote after galvanising widespread anger against the cuts imposed by an unpopular multi-billion bailout deal with the European Union and the International Monetary Fund.
"Today the Greek people expressed their will to stay anchored with the euro, remain an integral part of the eurozone, honour the country’s commitments, and foster growth," New Democracy leader Antonis Samaras said this morning.
"This is a victory for all Europe.
More…


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