Sunday, February 19, 2012

The ECB Has Opened Pandora’s Box

The European Central Bank, in a very misguided attempt to protect itself, has now opened Pandora’s Box. I doubt if they even realize what they have done; but they will, most assuredly they will. The consequences of their horrendous mistake will soon be upon them as institutions not coerced or forced into buying European sovereign debt will be leaving the playing field en masse as the realization dawns upon investors of just what has taken place. You cannot fool all of the people all of the time and the people that manage money for a living are not a forgiving group when governments try to supersede their lawful rights.




The Race To Debase In All Its Glory

Lest anyone forget what the real story is, here is a reminder. Thank you neo-Keynesian economics for making a mockery of non-scientific notation.

 

 

 

Iran Stops Oil Sales To British, French Companies

The geopolitical game theory escalates once again, as Iran, which four days ago halted exports to peripheral European countries took it up a notch, and has as of this morning halted sales to British and French companies. Reuters reports: "Iran has stopped selling crude to British and French companies, the oil ministry said on Sunday, in a retaliatory measure against fresh EU sanctions on the Islamic state's lifeblood, oil. "Exporting crude to British and French companies has been stopped ... we will sell our oil to new customers," spokesman Alireza Nikzad was quoted as saying by the ministry of petroleum website." Here is the actual statement from MOP.ir. As a reminder, on January 27 we said how Iran was about to "Turn Embargo Tables: To Pass Law Halting All Crude Exports To Europe." And so it has - now, the relentless media campaign about China isolating Iran in response to American demands has to be respun: recall that in early February Reuters told us that "China will halve its crude oil imports from Iran in March compared to average monthly purchases a year ago, as a dispute over payments and prices stretches into a third month, oil industry sources involved in the deals said on Monday." Apparently that may not have been the case, as there is no way Iran would have escalated as far as it has unless it had replacement buyers of one third of its crude. Incidentally, this is just as we predicted in "A Very Different Take On The "Iran Barters Gold For Food" Story." The end result of this senseless gambit by the west: Europe has less oil, the Saudi fable that it has endless excess suplies is about the be seriously tested, China has just expanded a key crude supply route, and Russia is grinning through it all as Brent prices are about to spike. Iran didn't invent chess for nothing.



Bill Gross Gets It







Guest Post: Mental Contortions Of A Printing Machine Operator


All the pseudo-scientific yada-yada on economic theory are just hollow bones thrown to journalists and pundits to have something to “chew” on and write about. The only thing that matters is the monetization of more and more government debt, and how to sell it to the public. Paul Krugman would argue that despite all the “quantitative easing” inflation has not really picked up. At zero percent interest rates, money has no preference – there is no opportunity cost of just “lying around” without interest. Investing money for 4 years for 0.15% return is not “riskless return” – it’s “return-less risk”. Perversely, the Fed has created a situation where raising interest rates would probably lead to inflation. It is boxed into ZIRP (zero interest rate policy) for infinity. Things will get serious once the Fed adopts a policy called N-GDP targeting. Instead of inflation, the Fed will try to “target” nominal GDP. If real GDP growth is zero, the nominal GDP growth will be made up entirely of inflation. Debt is a nominal unit, and it is supported by nominal GDP. In order to keep the ratio between GDP and debt halfway bearable, GDP must be inflated. It is a tax on everybody holding dollars, since the value of those will decline. Meanwhile, the Japanese are resorting to stealth interventions to break the Yen’s strength.    Currency wars have gone from “cold” to “hot”. The Fed’s printing of dollars is forcing other central banks to purchase them and selling their own currency in the hope of stemming their own currency’s rise. This makes them involuntary buyers of Treasury bills and bonds, making it easier for the US government to finance its deficit.





How To Play: Own Real Assets

Admin at Jim Rogers Blog - 48 minutes ago
My way of playing this is to own real assets like commodities. You now have the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the Federal Reserve printing money. The way to protect yourself at a time like this is to own assets. - *in CNBC * *Jim Rogers is an author, financial commentator and successful international investor. He has been frequently featured in Time, The New York Times, Barron’s, Forbes, Fortune, The Wall Street Journal, The Financial Times and is a regular guest on Bloomberg and CNBC.* more »

 

 

Japanese Economy: They Have Deleveraged And The Household Sector Is In Good Shape

Admin at Marc Faber Blog - 54 minutes ago
I think the Japanese economy isn't in such a bad shape. They have deleveraged and the household sector is in pretty good shape. - *in CNBC* Related, iShares MSCI Japan Index ETF (EWJ) *Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.* more »

 

Nutrition Nazis

noreply@blogger.com (Patrice Lewis) at Rural Revolution - 3 hours ago
Here's my latest WND column called Nutrition Nazis. If you read the comments which follow, it appears I annoyed more than a few people. (There was a typo in the original title which has since been corrected -- you'll see references in the comments). Since sending in the column on Friday, there have been more Nutrition Nazis at work, notably this article. This example, as my husband noted, is ugly. "They tell you the bag lunch isn't good enough," he noted. "They make your kids eat their slop and then send you a bill." Yep, Nutrition Nazis. And to those who object to the use of the ... more »

 

 

Insight: Japan slowly wakes up to doomsday debt risk

Eric De Groot at Eric De Groot - 4 hours ago

Japan should have awoke to their doomsday debt risk when the Yen (FXY ETF) traded above 97 in 2008. The sequence of failure will be as follows: (1) Europe, (2) Japan, and finally (3) the United States. Once the United States becomes the last man standing, it's will receive full attention from the wolf pack (global capital). Cycle dates and statistically significant short-side concentration... [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]]




On The Greek "Glitch", Systemic Instability And Skating On Water

When the prospect of a nation being unable to roll over a paltry few Euros of maturing debt is enough to galvanise the entire financial world into monetary excess exceeding anything imaginable as recently as late 2007, one must conclude that the markets are skating on the thinnest ice in their entire existence. But skate they are.





Germany, Greece Quietly Prepare For "Plan D"

For several weeks now we have been warning that while the conventional wisdom is that Europe will never let Greece slide into default, Germany has been quietly preparing for just that. This culminated on Friday when the schism between Merkel, who is of the persuasion that Greece should remain in the Eurozone, and her Finmin, Wolfgang "Dr. Strangle Schauble" Schauble, who isn't, made Goldman Sachs itself observe that there is: "Growing dissent between Chancellor Merkel and finance minister Schäuble regarding Greece." We now learn, courtesy of the Telegraph's Bruno Waterfield, that Germany is far deeper in Greece insolvency preparations than conventional wisdom thought possible (if not Zero Hedge, where we have been actively warning for over two weeks that Germany is perfectly eager and ready to roll the dice on a Greek default). Yet it is not only Germany that is getting ready for the inevitable. So is Greece.




Shadow Stats John Williams on the End of the Dollar
CrownThomas
02/19/2012 - 11:07
You're in a situation now where the rest of the world has increasingly lost confidence in the U.S. Dollar  



testosteronepit
02/18/2012 - 23:43
The BLS better have some tricks up its statistical sleeve.



In The News Today

Dear CIGAs,

The following is worth a review as the matter of the discussion will soon be taking place in the marketplace.

Breaking News: Ellis Martin Report-Jim Sinclair-The Impending Undeclared Default of 5 Major US Banks Submitted by ellmartin on Tue, 01/31/2012 – 00:41

The Ellis Martin Report Interview with Jim Sinclair – January 30, 2012
Click here to listen to the interview…




Jim Sinclair’s Commentary

Pushing and shoving can end up in a fight.

Iran stops oil sales to British, French companies
TEHRAN (Reuters) – Iran has stopped selling crude to British and French companies, the oil ministry said on Sunday, in a retaliatory measure against fresh EU sanctions on the Islamic state’s lifeblood, oil.
"Exporting crude to British and French companies has been stopped … we will sell our oil to new customers," spokesman Alireza Nikzad was quoted as saying by the ministry of petroleum website.
The European Union in January decided to stop importing crude from Iran from July 1 over its disputed nuclear program, which the West says is aimed at building bombs. Iran denies this.
Iran’s oil minister said on February 4 that the Islamic state would cut its oil exports to "some" European countries.
The European Commission said last week that the bloc would not be short of oil if Iran stopped crude exports, as they have enough in stock to meet their needs for around 120 days.
More…



Jim Sinclair’s Commentary
How is this for forward looking vision?





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Saturday, February 18, 2012

Tell A Lie Big Enough, Loud Enough And Long Enough And The Sheeplez Will Believe


Dear CIGAs,

Have you considered the States of the US Dollar Union have financial problems equal to and in many cases in excess of the States of the European Union?
Have you considered that as bumbling as it has been that Europe has admitted their problem?
As ineffective as those euro initiatives might be, some action is being taken, while the Union of States of the US Dollar are united primarily in kicking the financial can (together with the US Fed) down a road now at a DEAD END? I have demonstrated to you why the road is now at its dead end in the recent three interviews and three special emails.
Don’t be lulled to sleep by the utilization of the insult that calls certain members of the EU PIGS.
The dollar crowd has not even considered that they have a problem so no cure to the liquidity addiction of the dollar crowd is possible.
Sleep on with illustrations like the one below. You will get a rude awakening come June this year as international dollar utilization sunders badly, setting a major unexpected down trend for the dollar and gold’s greatest ever ascent.
It is not the euro that is being sucked down the whirlpool of loss of value based on loss of utilization. It is the US dollar that is in the greater danger of loss of value due to loss of utilization.
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Colorado Looking at Gold, Silver Currency

from HeraldExtra.com:
Worried that the U.S. dollar may not be good as gold, some Colorado lawmakers are pushing a bill to legalize gold and silver coins as usable currency.
The bill would not lead to folks carrying gold nuggets in their purses and would have little practical effect.
Rather the policy proposal from a small group of conservative lawmakers reflects anxieties about the nation’s financial stability, the domestic consequences of the European debt crisis and chronic deficit spending in Washington.
“There are lots of concerns about the U.S. monetary system,” said the bill’s sponsor, Republican Sen. Kent Lambert of Colorado Springs. “Individuals and states ought to be increasing their gold reserves. There’s no way to maintain the value of anything if countries start a race to the bottom by inflating their currency to get out of debt.”
Republican presidential candidate Ron Paul is among those who believe the nation should return to the gold standard, in which paper currency is guaranteed by precious metal.
Read More @ HeraldExtra.com





obama-lexicon-oval-office.jpg


FBI Latest Government Agency to Target Social Media





Judge Napolitano This Week



How the FED Steals Your Life

by M.N. Gordon, TheIntelHub.com:
Things are going haywire. Prices are shifting about in erratic and unpredictable ways. Take gas prices, for instance. Here in the Golden State we just paid $3.87 per gallon for the cheap stuff.
You’d think at that price the economy would be running red hot. But it’s not. In fact, according to Business Week, “demand in the U.S. is at its lowest point since 1997.”
What this means is demand for gas is at a 15 year low yet the price of gas has increased 8 percent since the end of 2011. How could that be?
Perhaps this has something to do with escalating saber-rattling between U.S. and Iran. Or, maybe, Iran’s threats earlier this week to cut oil sales to Europe. Certainly, if war is provoked with Iran oil could quickly spike to $150 per barrel.
Read More @ TheIntelHub.com




The Anti-Freedom Movement States Its (Worst) Case? … Austrians Vs. the Illuminati

from The Daily Bell:
 
Proof Libertarianism Is an Illuminati Ploy … So Jewish Supremacism can be retraced directly to the Austrian Economics’ main proponent himself (Murray Rothbard) … Libertarianism and Austrian Economics are not the products of maverick free thinkers. On the contrary, all leading proponents of the movement were highly connected individuals. In the early years the Volker Fund made available vast sums of money, because Austrian Economics was considered the right answer to communism, to maintain the dialectic the Money Power needs (also see: ‘Banker explained ‘Occupy America’ Scam’). Far from a fringe movement, Mont Pelerin Alumni collected no less than eight Noble Prizes. Alan Greenspan testified of its pervasive influence by saying in 2000: “the Austrian School have reached far into the future from when most of them practiced and have had a profound and, in my judgment, probably an irreversible effect on how most mainstream economists think in this country.” In this day and age when communism is no longer considered a threat, but with Marxism/Liberalism/Political Correctness a strong force in Western nations, Libertarianism has found a new lease of life as a way co-opting the resistance in the Alternative Media. The dialectic continues unabated. – Henry Makow

Dominant Social Theme: Freedom is government?

Free-Market Analysis: Social credit entrepreneur Anthony Migchels has authored a screed at HenryMakow.com entitled “Proof Libertarianism is an Illuminati Ploy.” He also thanks a fellow who has often provided controversial feedback here at the Daily Bell, “Memehunter.”
Read More @ TheDailyBell.com




Germany Drawing Up Plans for Greece to Leave the Euro

Plans for Greece to default, potentially leaving the euro, have been drafted in Germany as the European Union begins to face up to the fact that Greek debt is spiralling out of control – with or without a second bailout.
by Bruno Waterfield, Telegraph.co.uk:
The German finance ministry is actively pushing for Greece to declare itself bankrupt and to agree a “haircut” on the bulk of its debts held by banks, a move that would be classed as a default by financial markets.
Eurozone finance ministers meet on Monday to approve the next tranche of loans from the EU and the International Monetary Fund, designed to stave off national bankruptcy while the new Greek government puts the country’s finances in order.
But the severe austerity measures being demanded have caused such fury in Greece, and the cuts required are so deep, that Wolfgang Schäuble, the German finance minister, does not believe that any government would be able to implement them.
Read More @ Telegraph.co.uk




Michael Pento: CB’s Global Assault to Destroy All Paper Currencies

from King World News:
Today Michael Pento told King World News that central banks are in the process of destroying their paper currencies. Pento, who founded Pento Portfolio Strategies, also said it is incredibly important for investors globally to protects themselves in this environment. Pento had this to say about the situation: “This is the age of a globalized phenomenon, where central bankers around the world view the market forces of deflation as public enemy number one and inflation as the panacea for anemic growth.”
Michael Pento continues: Read More @ KingWorldNews.com




The Fight for Maine Is Far from Over





Maine Will Recount the Votes

 

800 People Turned Away from Massive Ron Paul Event in Vancouver WA

 

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John Williams: $8,890 Gold, $517 Silver & Hyperinflation Update

from King World News:
John Williams, of Shadowstats, discusses some extraordinary prices for gold and silver as well as giving an update on his hyperinflation watch. Williams also says that there is no recovery in the economy and inflation is picking up steam. Here is what Williams had to say about the situation: “Hyperinflation Watch: The upside pressure on oil prices, at the moment, largely is from escalating political tensions in the Middle East, not from significant new weakness in the U.S. dollar. Risk remains high, though, of a sharp sell-off in the U.S. dollar and dumping of dollar-denominated paper assets, particularly as the euro area crises come to head and the damages are absorbed, in due course, by the global financial system.”
Read More @ Kingworldnews.com




Worldwide Media Trumpets That the $6 Trillion in Seized Bonds are “FAKE”, But Can’t Explain the Federal Reserve “Treaty of Versailles” Chests and Boxes

As with the May Flash Crash, and the $134 Billion in “counterfeit” US Bearer Bonds seized from two Japanese individuals who were attempting to smuggle them into Switzerland from Italy, this $6 Trillion in “fake” Bonds story would be forced down the memory hole as well, were it not for the alternative media.
Zero Hedge is of course asking the exact right questions. Tyler Durden writes:
“While we reserve judgment on the authenticity of the bonds, what we wonder is whether the boxes were also fake. Because while we can understand why someone would counterfeit the Treasury paper itself, what we don’t get is why someone would go the extra effort to also create a “fake” compartment in which to store it. In this case a compartment that is property of the “CHICAGO FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM.” Perhaps Fed uberdove and Chicago Fed President Charles Evans will be kind enough to explain why Versailles Treaty Chicago Fed crates are floating around in Europe (and filled with $6 trillion in supposedly fake bearer bonds)?”
But rest easy, just forget about it. According to the AP in the attached video, “U.S. officials confirm the Bonds were counterfeit.” U.S. officials? WHO exactly is “confirming” they are “fake”? Proven counterfeiters Timothy Geithner? Ben Bernanke? Criminals!
As always, there is likely much more here than meets the eye – and much more than will be reported on by the main stream press-titute media. The world is on the brink of financial Armageddon, and as James Rickards has said WWW3 will be a monetary affair. I contend that in this case, whether theese Bonds are “fake” or authentic as we suspect they may be, we have all just witnessed the intercept of the monetary equivalent of a nuclear WMD.








Ten Unanswered Questions About The Second Greek Bailout

Open Europe has published a briefing note outlining the ten questions and issues that still need to be resolved in the coming weeks in order for Greece to avoid a full and disorderly default on March 20. The briefing argues that, realistically, only a few of these issues are likely to be fully resolved before the deadline meaning that Greece’s future in the euro will come down to one question: whether Germany and other Triple A countries will deem this to be enough political cover to approve the second Greek bailout package. In particular, the briefing argues that recent analyses of Greece’s woes have underplayed the importance of the problems posed by the large amount of funding which needs to be released to ensure the voluntary Greek restructuring can work – almost €94bn – as well as the massive time constraints presented by issues such as getting parliamentary approval for the bailout deal in Germany and Finland. While the eurozone also continues to ignore or side-line questions over the whether a 120% debt-to-GDP ratio in 2020 would be sustainable and if, given the recent riots, Greece has come close to the social and political level of austerity which it can credibly enforce.








China Cuts RRR By 50 bps Despite Latent Inflation To Cushion Housing Market Collapse

It was one short week ago that both Australia surprised with hotter than expected inflation (and no rate cut), and a Chinese CPI print that was far above expectations. Yet in confirmation of Dylan Grice's point that when it comes to "inflation targeting" central planners are merely the biggest "fools", this morning we woke to find that the PBOC has cut the Required Reserve Ratio (RRR) by another largely theatrical 50 bps. As a reminder, RRR cuts have very little if any impact, compared to the brute force adjustment that is the interest rate itself. As to what may have precipitated this, the answer is obvious - a collapsing housing market (which fell for the fourth month in a row) as the below chart from Michael McDonough shows, and a Shanghai Composite that just refuses to do anything (see China M1 Hits Bottom, Digs). What will this action do? Hardly much if anything, as this is purely a demonstrative attempt to rekindle animal spirits. However as was noted previously, "The last time they stimulated their CPI was close to 2%. It's 4.5% now, and blipping up." As such, expect the latent pockets of inflation where the fast money still has not even withdrawn from to bubble up promptly. That these "pockets" happen to be food and gold is not unexpected. And speaking of the latter, it is about time China got back into the gold trade prim and proper. At least China has stopped beating around the bush and has now joined the rest of the world in creating the world's biggest shadow liquidity tsunami.




S&P500 Q4 Profit Margins Decline By 27 bps, 52 bps Excluding Apple


What a difference a quarter makes: back in Q4 2011, in light of the imploding global economic reality, the only recourse equity bulls had to was to point out that corporate profitability was still at all time highs, and to ignore the macro. Fast forward a few months, when Europe's economic situation continues to deteriorate with the recession now in its second quarter, China's home prices have just slumped for a 4th consecutive month (forcing the PBOC to do only its second RRR cute since November), Japan is, well, Japan, yet where the US economic decoupling miracle is now taken at face value following an abnormally high seasonal adjustment in the NFP establishment survey leading to a big beat in payrolls and setting the economic mood for the entire month (with flows into confidence-driven regional Fed indices and the PMI and ISM, not to mention the Consumer Confidence data) as one of ongoing economic improvement. That this "improvement" has been predicated upon another record liquidity tsunami unleashed by the world's central banks has been ignored: decoupling is as decoupling does damn it, truth be damned. Yet the bullish sentiment anchor has flip flopped: from corporate profitability it is now the US "golden age." How long said "golden age" (which is nothing but an attempt to sugar coat the headline reality for millions of jobless Americans in an election year) lasts is unclear: America's self-delusion skills are legendary. But when it comes to corporate profit margin math, things are all too clear: the corporate profitability boom is over. As Goldman points out: with the bulk of companies reporting, in Q4 corporate profits have now declined by a significant 27 bps sequentially, and an even more significant 52 bps excluding Apple. 




When Debt Is More Important Than People, The System Is Evil

The ethics of debt, at least in the officially sanctioned media, boils down to: nobody made them borrow all those euros, and so their suffering is just desserts. What's lost in this subtext is the responsibility of the lender. Yes, nobody forced Greece to borrow 200 billion euros (or whatever the true total may be), but then nobody forced the lenders to extend the credit in the first place. Consider an individual who is a visibly poor credit risk. He would like to borrow money to blow on consumption and then stiff the lender, but since he cannot create credit, he has to live within his means. Now a lender comes along who can create credit out of thin air (via fractional reserve banking) and offers this poor credit risk $100,000 in collateral-free debt at low rates of interest. Who is responsible for the creation and extension of credit? The borrower or the lender? Answer: the lender. In other words, if the lender is foolish enough to extend huge quantities of credit to a poor credit risk, then it's the lender who should suffer the losses when the borrower defaults. This is the basis of bankruptcy laws--or used to be the basis. When an over-extended borrower defaults, the debt is cleared, the lender takes the loss/writedown, and the borrower loses whatever collateral was pledged. He is left with the basics to carry on: his auto, clothing, his job, and so on. His credit rating is impaired, and it is now his responsibility to earn back a credible credit rating....The potential for loss and actually bearing the consequences from irresponsible extensions of credit was unacceptable to the banking cartel, so they rewrote the laws. Now student loans in America cannot be discharged in bankruptcy court; they are permanent and must be carried and serviced until death. This is the acme of debt-serfdom.





A "Crystal Ball View Of Europe In 2022"


Zero Hedge has presented the work of Bulgarian modern artist Yanko Tsvetkov previously, both in 2010 and 2011. We are happy to see that his work which is meta irony on the weakest link of European culture: centuries worth of stereotype formation and development, has finally made its way into the mainstream media with the Guardian's "Stereotype maps: Is that what they think of us?" We are even happier to see that Tsvetkov has released a new one: a Crystal Ball view of Europe in 2022 which is his cartographic exercise in forecasting the political layout of Europe. While it is mostly an exercise in irony, we have to admit that the probability of him being spot on is high to quite high. We would however point out that by 2022 the "Europe Union" will be a satellite region of Russia, or as it will be better known then, Gazpromia.





Moody's Warns May Downgrade 17 Global Banks





A timetable for Greek Default?




The Upside of Government Default






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James Rickards: Paper, Gold or Chaos?

from ChrisMartenson.com:
History is replete with the carcasses of failed currencies destroyed through misguided intentional debasement by governments looking for an easy escape from piling up too much debt. James Rickards, author of the recent bestseller Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis, sees history repeating itself today – and warns we are in the escalating stage of a global currency war of the grandest scale.
Whether it ends in hyperinflation, in the return to some form of gold standard, or in chaos – history is telling us we can have confidence it will end painfully.
Read More @ ChrisMartenson.com





CME Group Places Bid for London Metal Exchange

from SilverDoctors:
The fallout (decline in trading volume) from the MF Global fiasco must be greater than ever we imagined. Less than 2 weeks ago the CME announced the launch of a clearing service for OTC London gold derivatives. Reports surfaced from Bloomberg today that the CME Group is now attempting to acquire the world’s largest metals futures market, the LME.
CME Group Inc. (CME) has made a bid for the London Metal Exchange as the world’s largest metals futures market plans a meeting next week to consider offers, according to a person with knowledge of the situation.
Read More @ SilverDoctors.com



Greece updates/Iran/High amounts of physical silver standing in February/

Good morning Ladies and Gentlemen: The boys decided on Friday that a raid was necessary and their motive is to try and quell physical demand for our precious metals.   The global financial scene is rapidly deteriorating and all citizens realize their paper currency is nothing but paper and seek the safe haven of physical gold and silver.  Bank runs are occurring daily especially in the weaker more »

 

 

Interpretations From Technical & Intermarket Analysis Depends On Perspective

Eric De Groot at Eric De Groot - 3 hours ago
The Dow Theory, as most interpretations in technical and intermarket analysis, depends on your perspective. While the transports have failed to lead and/or confirm higher highs in the Dow Industrials over the short-term, discriminating trader knows they’ve been leading the Industrials for years. For instance, the Dow Transports established new highs in 2011, while the Dow Industrials did not. ... [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]] more »

 

 

Obama wants cheaper pennies and nickels

Eric De Groot at Eric De Groot - 3 hours ago
As long as the standing Administration supports a stronger - meaning weaker dollar, those pesky little pennies and nickels will only get more expensive to produce. Eventually, Gresham’s law will release its citizen from shackles of expensive coins and paper notes to the freedom of the great cashless society provided by credit. After that, visionary citizens and fund managers will be allowed to... [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]] more »

 

 

A Good Chance That Japanese Stocks Surprise On The Upside

Admin at Marc Faber Blog - 4 hours ago

The most important for Japanese stocks, for them to perform well, is a weakening yen. I think the Japanese, like everybody else in this world, will print money and once they print money and the yen no longer strengthens, I think there's a good chance that Japanese stocks will surprise on the upside. - in CNBC *Related, iShares MSCI Japan Index ETF (EWJ)* *Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.* 




The Destruction of Savings by Inflation

by Alasdair Macleod, GoldMoney.com:
Dyanamite on dollarsIn the past, insurance companies and pension funds have been keen to advertise the benefit of compounding arithmetic for savings. Over the last 30 or 40 years the rate has been lifted by inflation, but to understand the cost inflation brings you have to consider the whole savings cycle: not just the accumulation stage, but also annuity values in retirement. Furthermore, the historical experience of a typical working life should be compared with a theoretical sound-money alternative.
Let us assume a man works for 40 years, during which time he invests a fixed amount annually. This is invested mostly in bonds for a return that gives him a lump sum on retirement. The marketing folk stop at that point, but we shall go on. This lump sum is applied to an annuity to give a fixed income for the retiree’s life expectancy. Let us also assume that $1,000 is invested annually, and we shall use the average return on the 10-year US Treasury bond as our yardstick. The result is shown in the table below under the heading of Paper Money.
Read More @ GoldMoney.com





Mercenary Geologist Mickey Fulp – January’s Bull Stampede into February – 02-17-2012

from The Financial Survival Network:

We sat down with Mickey Fulp and while there’s not a lot to be happy about, many markets have been going up since the first of the year. And as the old Wall Street Maxim says, So goes January, So goes the Year. And you have to take your profits while you can get them. But of course you always need to have a core holding of gold and silver. The rest is extra money that you’ve hopefully been able to grow during the course of a very tough couple of years. There’s absolutely no indication that anything has fundamentally improved of that any of the long standing, intractable problems have been solved, but Wall Street doesn’t seem very concerned about these issues. But you should be, because one day they’ll wake but it will be too late.
Copper’s been heading down a bit since January, seems the Chinese have been hoarding it. And perhaps the most surprising developments, the US approved two new nuclear power plants to be built in Georgia and the Germans are restarting several shut-in nukes. While nuclear power’s rebirth in the West has been greatly exaggerated, perhaps reality is now catching up. Uranium stocks haven’t had much of a move recently, but that could be changing.
All-in-all financial markets never surprise us with their unpredictability, and 2012 is proving no different.
Click Here to Listen to the Podcast




Wrongheaded UN Vote on Syria

by Stephen Lendman:

Ambassador Vitaly Churkin said one called on “all sections of the Syrian opposition to dissociate themselves from armed groups engaged in acts of violence,” and urged all countries act to prevent it.
Another rejected amendment called for withdrawing Syrian forces from conflict areas “in conjunction with the end of attacks by armed groups against state institutions and quarters of cities and towns.”
China’s deputy envoy Wang Min affirmed Beijing’s opposition to “armed intervention or forcing a so-called regime change in Syria.”
Russia, China, Iran, Venezuela, and other countries condemned it. Venezuela said it violated Syrian sovereignty and “promote(s) civil war on a large scale.”
Read More @ SJLendman.Blogspot.com





Technician Frank Barbera: Gold Stocks Ready for a Strong Advance

Also, Ryan Puplava with the Market Wrap-Up and Rob Bernard with the Fixed Income Report
from FinancialSense.com:
Popular technician Frank Barbera joins Jim on the program this week. Frank sees gold stocks poised for a strong advance and the dollar ready to roll over and move significantly lower. In addition, Ryan Puplava joins John with his market update, and Rob Bernard joins Jim for the Fixed Income Report.
Click Here to Listen to the Interview




Governments and Statists are an Anachronism

from DollarVigilante.com:

I listened to a debate today between Yaron Brook of the Ayn Rand Institute and Doug Casey on Kerry Lutz’ fine Financial Survival Network that frankly shocked me. I’ll tell you why in a moment. But first, some background.
I’m fairly new to the intellectual discussion of liberty. While I’ve been anarchist minded since my early adulthood I was only officially beknighted an anarchist by Doug Casey himself somewhere around 2004. Before then I thought what most of the brainwashed public thought, that the word anarchy meant violence and chaos. I hadn’t even heard the word libertarian until that same evening.
Read More @ DollarVigilante.com





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Friday, February 17, 2012

Iran To Be Dropped From Swift System in Belgium

by Jim Sinclair, JSMineset.com:

My Dear Friends,
Iran is to be dropped out of the Swift system in Belgium. That means Iran could neither send or receive bank money wires.
That would slam Iran’s economy.
This is economic war at the highest level of conflict. This could start a greater move of central banks with fears of the West to increase and retrieve their gold positions. It certainly puts cash reserves held by central banks (which are computer entries anyway) into serious question as to security.
This is as serious as it gets in nuclear and economic terms. The only weapon that can be effective against Iran’s nuclear industry is Western nuclear deep penetration bunker busters.
Hold tight to your insurance investment positions.
Regards,
Jim
Original Source @ JSMineset.com

 

 

12 Scary Debt Facts for 2012

by Jill Schlesinger, Finance.Yahoo.com:
As President Obama unveiled the 2013 fiscal year budget, the nation’s financial situation came back into sharp focus. Experts say partisan gridlock in Washington means the budget will probably go nowhere.
Considering this is an election year, however, expect politicians to harp on facts, figures and terms that most Americans weren’t taught in high school. To help out, it’s time to dredge up lots of scary facts to make you pay attention.
Before we get going, a quick primer on the number TRILLION:
Read More @ Finance.Yahoo.com

 

 

Gold: 1980 vs Today

When gold was undergoing its latest (and certainly not greatest) near-parabolic move last year, there were those pundits consistently calling for comparisons to 1980, and the subsequent gold crash. Yet even a simplistic analysis indicates that while in the 1980s gold was a hedge to runaway inflation, in the current deflationary regime, it is a hedge to central planner stupidity that will result as a response to runaway deflation. In other words, it is a hedge to what happens when the trillions in central bank reserves (at last check approaching 30% of world GDP). There is much more, and we have explained the nuances extensively previously, but for those who are only now contemplating the topic of gold for the first time, the following brief summary from futuremoneytrends.com captures the salient points. Far more importantly, it also focuses on a topic that so far has not seen much media focus: the quiet and pervasive expansion in bilateral currency agreements which are nothing short of a precursor to dropping the dollar entirely once enough backup linkages are in place: a situation which will likely crescendo soon courtesy of upcoming developments in Iran, discussed here previously.





MUST WATCH: Ron Paul – Vancouver Washington – Supporters Overflowing – 2/16/2012







Another FBI-Assisted Patsy With FBI-Provided “Explosives”

by SGT:
Please read this AP news headline as posted by the Star Tribune: Terror suspect accused of planning to detonate explosives arrested near Capitol in FBI sting
Now, please look at the picture attached to the article. Can you say “Police State”?

The original caption under that picture included a statement declaring that the FBI provided the suspect, Amine El Khalifi of Alexandria, Va (Ed. Note: conveniently located near CIA headquarters), with what he believed to be a vest wired with explosives.
I wish I had screen grabbed that caption, because the caption under the picture has since been changed to read: “Capitol Police officer Angel Morales, stands on guard on the West side of the Capitol in Washington Friday, Feb. 17, 2012. A 29-year-old Moroccan man was arrested Friday in an FBI sting operation near the U.S. Capitol while planning to detonate what police say he thought were live explosives.”
But once again we see the FBI doing what they do so well. They provide the means and the patsy in order to create a “real terror threat”, which is then eagerly publicized by a far too accommodating mainstream media, to be absorbed by a zombified American public who will remember only the headline. Read More…




Whistleblower: U.S. Army Colonel Says Pentagon Lies About ALL Progress In Afghanistan




How Could Silver Short Sellers Cover Their Positions?

by Patrick A. Heller, CoinWeek.com:

In my previous column, I discussed how the COMEX Commercial traders in the silver market increased their net short position by more than 71 million ounces from January 17 through February 7. Let me explain in more depth how the COMEX operates, just what it means for the Commercial traders to establish a net short position, and how they could protect themselves from a high risk of loss when holding a large short position.
In general, the COMEX is a platform to trade physical metals without the bother of having to take or make delivery of a bulky asset. First off, a seller cannot sell a short contract unless there is another party to buy it to take an offsetting long position. Therefore, all long and short positions in the COMEX silver market should net to zero. At the extreme, the outstanding long contracts would be covered 100% by physical silver in the COMEX bonded warehouses. However, since most traders of COMEX contracts do not intend to take possession of the underlying physical commodity, there is only a fraction of physical silver in COMEX warehouses to fulfill delivery of contracts. COMEX silver contracts are for 5,000 ounces of pure silver made up of five 1,000 ounce bars.
Read More @ CoinWeek.com





As I have Been Telling You for 3 years...BTFD...(Buy The F i n g  Dips...) 

Key Players Buying More Gold Now

Investor appetite for gold is heating up, in part because of signals from hedge fund guru John Paulson, the guy who saw the real estate meltdown coming in 2007 and became a billionaire as a result.
The Paulson & Co. founder “told investors it’s time to buy the metal as protection against inflation caused by government spending, ” Bloomberg reported today.
“By the time inflation becomes evident, gold will probably have moved, which implies that now is the time to build a position in gold,” New-York based Paulson said in a letter to investors obtained by Bloomberg. Armel Leslie, a spokesman for Paulson, declined to comment.
Bloomberg reported that 12 of 22 companies surveyed had a buy on gold, with five surveyed neutral.
Read More @ WealthCycles.com




Eric Sprott - Central Banks Don't Have Enough Gold






FEMA Solicits Firms to Monitor Media Coverage of Their Activities

[Ed. Note: I should apply... I'm always scanning for news on these dirt-bags, anyways... Why not get paid?]
from ActivistPost.com:

FEMA still seems to be smarting from the media accurately reporting their disastrous response to Hurricane Katrina, and the increased exposure of their intended use for so-called “FEMA Camps.”
This week they announced that they are seeking public relations and media monitoring help from private contractors.
The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) opened bidding for “commercial media broadcast monitoring service” on a February 15th post on the government’s Federal Business Opportunities website.
FEMA is seeking media monitoring firms who will be responsible for rapidly monitoring, archiving, and measuring all news and transcripts related to their activities 24/7. They are expected to be able to evaluate the “publicity value” of media coverage and possess “editing capabilities.”
Read More @ ActivistPost.com




Exclusive: Why Judge Andrew Napolitano Was Fired!










America’s Slide Into Greece

by Andy Hecht, Sovereign-Investor.com:

President Obama, in a scandalous show of bad faith and dereliction of his sworn duty, proposed a phony FY 2013 budget plan this week that increases spending from $3.8 trillion in 2013 to $5.8 trillion in 2022.
True to his New Deal socialist antecedents, the Obama budget will add to the bloated size and scope of the federal government and the national debt. Each American’s share of this debt is now $49, 211.27.
Here is a right-on comment about the Obama budget by Washington Post columnist Charles Krauthammer: “The president knows that we are headed over a cliff. He just wants to get past Election Day as he does on everything. But this is a budget worthy of Greece and for the president of the United States to offer it knowing how dire our situation is, is truly scandalous.”
Read More @ Sovereign-Investor.com




Silver Strengthens on Greece’s Austerity Measures: $52 by 2013

by Brittany Stepniak, WealthWire.com:

As the weekend draws near, silver investors are happy with the way silver reacted to the Greek government’s austerity measures.
Silver prices are staying steady with moderate moves upward while most other markets are responding in a flustered-like, chaotic manner.
According to a metals analysts with INTL FCStone, Edward Meir, “Most markets are still overextended and may be entering a ‘buy the rumor, sell the news’ type of mode now that the Greek issue is entering its final stages.”
On the other hand, Australian media sources are saying that money managers holding silver, gold, and copper futures and options had raised their “net long options” last week.
Read More @ WealthWire.com




I know I posted this twice...now read it this time...

Iran To Be Dropped From Swift System in Belgium



My Dear Friends,

Iran is to be dropped out of the Swift system in Belgium. That means Iran could neither send or receive bank money wires.
That would slam Iran’s economy.
This is economic war at the highest level of conflict. This could start a greater move of central banks with fears of the West to increase and retrieve their gold positions. It certainly puts cash reserves held by central banks (which are computer entries anyway) into serious question as to security.
This is as serious as it gets in nuclear and economic terms. The only weapon that can be effective against Iran’s nuclear industry is Western nuclear deep penetration bunker busters.
Hold tight to your insurance investment positions.
Regards,
Jim

 

 

US Dollar Index Chart



Dear CIGAs,
Click the chart to enlarge in PDF format

chart jes 21720120001

 

 

In The News Today



Dear Friends,

As the dollar intraday reached for the .80 plus level yesterday it ran directly into what I will call cash selling or dollar diversification.
That .80 to .82 level is a fundamental level the dollar is unlikely to penetrate. Don’t get too bearish on the euro as selling into a Chinese basket can be bad for your financial health. Selling into the China basket in copper from $1 up has not been too wise.
Regards,
Jim





Jim Sinclair’s Commentary

Today’s update from John Williams’ www.ShadowStats.com.

- Annual “Core” Inflation Rose for 15th Straight Month
 

- Year-to-Year January Consumer Inflation: 2.9% (CPI-U), 3.1% (CPI-W), 10.5% (SGS)
 

- Headline CPI and PPI Inflation Rates Understated Due to Unstable Seasonal Factors

"No. 419: January CPI, PPI, Real Retail Sales and Housing Starts "
 

http://www.shadowstats.com





Jim Sinclair’s Commentary

It is time to reconsider the impact of Greece on the Euro.
May I suggest you listen to the Ellis Martin interview as we are nearing some action on Greek debt where it is discussed.



Germany Sees Greek Deal Within Days By Tony Czuczka and James G. Neuger – Feb 17, 2012 10:42 AM ET
Angela Merkel at the chancellory building in Berlin on Feb. 17, 2012. Photographer: Michele Tantussi/Bloomberg
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Feb. 17 (Bloomberg) — Riccardo Barbieri, an economist at Mizuho International Plc, discusses the possible consequences of restructuring Greece’s debt. He speaks with Owen Thomas and Linzie Janis on Bloomberg Television’s "Countdown." (Source: Bloomberg)
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Feb. 17 (Bloomberg) — Germany wants euro-area finance chiefs to avoid splitting consideration of a 130 billion-euro ($171 billion) Greek rescue and a bond swap to cut the nation’s debt load at a meeting next week, coalition lawmakers were told by German government officials in a briefing. David Tweed reports on Bloomberg Television’s "First Look" with Caroline Hyde. (Source: Bloomberg)
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Jim Sinclair’s Commentary


Somebody will go to Hell for this!
Vatican told to pay taxes as Italy tackles budget crisis


End of controversial property tax breaks leaves the Pope facing €600m-a-year bill Michael Day
Friday 17 February 2012

After several years of scandal in which the Catholic Church has faced allegations of financial impropriety, paedophile priests and rumours of plots to kill the Pope, the Vatican is now facing a new €600m-a-year tax bill as Rome seeks to head off European Commission censure over controversial property tax breaks enjoyed by the Church.
As the EC heads closer to officially condemning the fiscal perks enjoyed by the Catholic Church and introduced by the Berlusconi administration, Prime Minister Mario Monti has written to the Competition Commissioner, Joaquin Almunia, saying that the Vatican will resume property tax, or Ici, payments.
Mr Almunia said in 2010 that the exemption amounted to state aid that might breach EU competition law. A parliamentary proposal by the Italian Radicals party last August to repeal the exemption, with a successful petition on Facebook, upped the pressure. A spokesman for Mr Almunia appeared to give the thumbs-up yesterday: "It is a proposal that constitutes a significant progress on the issue and I hope will be implemented," he said.
"This is a victory for public pressure," said Mario Staderini, the leader of the Italian Radicals party. "We’ve managed to break down – a little bit – the wall protecting the Church."
The Vatican avoids Ici tax on about 100,000 properties, classed as non-commercial, including 8,779 schools, 26,300 ecclesiastical structures and 4,714 hospitals and clinics.
Estimates of its annual saving from avoiding the levy range widely from €600m to €2.2bn. The Church, however, says the tax exemption is worth only €100m a year. Neither is it clear from Mr Monti’s comments how much Ici tax the Church will now have to pay.
More…





Sinclair36



Congress Acts to Extend Aid to Jobless and Payroll Tax Cut By JOHN H. CUSHMAN JR. and ROBERT PEAR
Published: February 17, 2012

WASHINGTON — With members of both parties expressing distaste at some of the particulars, Congress on Friday voted to extend payroll tax cuts and unemployment benefits and sent the legislation to President Obama, ending a contentious political and policy fight.
The vote in the House was 293 to 132 with Democrats, who are in the minority, carrying the proposal over the top with the acquiescence of almost as many Republicans. The Senate followed within minutes and approved the measure on a vote of 60 to 36.
“One hundred sixty million Americans,” said Senator Max Baucus, the Montana Democrat who, as chairman of the Finance Committee, led negotiations over the measure with the House. “That’s the number of Americans who are helped by this bill.”
President Obama has said he will sign the bill as soon as Congress passed it, with lawmakers seeking to wrap up the legislation before leaving on the President’s Day break.
More…





Jim Sinclair’s Commentary

Here is news that will not have legs in Main Street media.


CBO: Longest Period of High Unemployment Since Great Depression
CBO: U.S. enduring the longest period of high unemployment since the Great Depression
By Alex M. Parker
February 16, 2012

After three years with unemployment topping 8 percent, the U.S. has seen the longest period of high unemployment since the Great Depression, the Congressional Budget Office noted in a report issued today.
And, despite some recent good news on the economic front, the CBO is still predicting that unemployment will remain above 8 percent until 2014. The report also notes that, including those who haven’t sought work in the past four weeks and those who are working part-time but seeking full-time employment, the unemployment rate would be 15 percent.
The CBO made its comments in a report examining the long-term effects of joblessness, and possible policy options to boost employment, including unemployment insurance reforms and job training programs. The report came at the request of Democratic Michigan Rep. Sander Levin, but Republicans quickly jumped on the chance to bash President Obama’s stimulus program, which is also reaching its three-year anniversary today.
More…





Jim Sinclair’s Commentary

Looks like Wall Street has influenced the Mob to think big when it comes to liquidity.


Record $6 Trillion of Fake U.S. Bonds Seized By Elisa Martinuzzi – Feb 17, 2012 7:18 AM ET
Italian anti-mafia prosecutors said they seized a record $6 trillion of allegedly fake U.S. Treasury bonds, an amount that’s almost half of theU.S.’s public debt.
The bonds were found hidden in makeshift compartments of three safety deposit boxes in Zurich, the prosecutors from the southern city of Potenza said in an e-mailed statement. The Italian authorities arrested eight people in connection with the probe, dubbed “Operation Vulcanica,” the prosecutors said.
The U.S. embassy in Rome has examined the securities dated 1934, which had a nominal value of $1 billion apiece, they said in the statement. Officials for the embassy didn’t have an immediate comment.
The financial fraud uncovered by the Italian prosecutors in Potenza includes two checks issued through HSBC Holdings Plc (HSBA) in London for 205,000 pounds ($325,000), checks that weren’t backed by available funds, the prosecutors said. As part of the probe, fake bonds for $2 billion were also seized in Rome. The individuals involved were planning to buy plutonium from Nigerian sources, according to phone conversations monitored by the police.
The fraud posed “severe threats” to international financial stability, the prosecutors said in the statement.
More…





Jim Sinclair’s Commentary

When since 2001 have they not been buyers?
Our long time readers will recall our comments on Chung Phat.


China central bank in gold-buying push By Jack Farchy in London
February 16, 2012 8:37 pm

The World Gold Council believes China’s central bank made significant gold purchases in the final months of 2011, contributing to a surge in the country’s imports.
Marcus Grubb, managing director for investment at the WGC, a lobby group for the gold mining industry, told the Financial Times that buying by the People’s Bank of China could explain a large discrepancy between Chinese imports and the WGC’s estimates of consumer demand in the country
“There is absolutely a discrepancy in the import figures,” said Marcus Grubb. “The obvious inference is that the central bank is buying.”
His comments mark the first public statement from a senior gold industry executive pointing to purchases by the Chinese central bank, a trend that many others have highlighted privately. The PBOC did not respond to questions on Thursday.
China’s imports from Hong Kong, which account for the majority of its overseas buying, soared to 227 tonnes in the last three months of 2011, according to data published by Hong Kong. Mine production in the country, the largest gold producer, stood at about 100 tonnes in the quarter, implying total supply of at least 330 tonnes.
More…





Jim Sinclair’s Commentary

When Lehman was flushed the OTC derivative problem lost any chance of a solution.
There was a solution before the flush.
Should a default occur in Greece, confirmed by the ISDA, (International Swaps and Derivatives Association) the CDS (credit default swaps) pile of crap is finished.


Lehman Crisis Veterans Warn Europe Leaders Against Provoking Greek Default By Sandrine Rastello and Simon Kennedy – Feb 17, 2012 7:23 AM ET
Neel Kashkari, who was on the policy frontlines when Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. crumpled in 2008, warns European governments against pushing Greece too far as they impose conditions for aid.
“It can be very politically satisfying to be tough, but if an uncontrolled default were to lead to contagion around the euro zone, that could be very damaging for all of Europe and for the global economy,” said Kashkari, who four years ago was an aide to then-U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and now is head of global equities at Pacific Investment Management Co.
Kashkari is not alone among the Treasury veterans who fought the worst financial turmoil since the Great Depression and now say the euro area should be careful of taking too hard a line with Greece. Their battle-seasoned advice: Avoid encouraging a default unless first acting to ensure foreign economies and banks are protected from the aftershocks.
“This seems like brinkmanship on the part of the European leaders,” said Phillip Swagel, the Treasury’s former chief economist, who now teaches at the University of Maryland in College Park. “The better approach is to prepare for a future failure so they have a more credible threat to allow Greece to default and possibly leave the euro zone.”
More…

 

 

Ellis Martin Report – Liquidity for Everything but Main Street and More

Dear CIGAs,
In the following weekly interview with Ellis Martin of www.EllisMartinReport.com I discuss the possibility of Greece leaving the euro dollar community as well as how the strength of the Euro really effects the US dollar and Gold.
Also discussed this week is how gold fits into this picture and the value of buying stocks versus value shopping for real estate.
We continue on with the ongoing ISDA issue of non-declared defaults discussed in earlier interviews.
The interview is wrapped up by discussing China’s contribution and welcoming to the IMF and how they are helping ease the debt crisis in Europe and how this leads to stimulus money landing in the hands of the banks, not on Mainstreet.
Please listen!






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