13 TRILLION DOLLAR NATIONAL DEBT and counting

Jim Sinclair,
In the words of your father’s trading partner, the late legendary trader Jesse Livermore…
"It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It always was my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight!"
CIGA "The Gordon"



Reality Check
Roger Wiegand





More Debt-Strapped US Cities Could Be Facing Bankruptcy
The possibility of a bankruptcy filing by Harrisburg, Pa., the state capital, looms large these days—and it could be the first in a series, say some Wall Street traders.





Dollar Primed for Collapse by End June: Charts





Gold at $36,000 Not as Ridiculous as It Sounds?


Dear Comrades In Golden Arms,
Whatever OTC derivatives do not do to the investment banks, litigation will. Litigation is both civil and criminal. No civil suit based on derivatives can ever go to judgment by jury because it will be a stone cold loser. Even a bench trial would present significant risk to the defendant. OTC derivatives are the basic problem about which nothing has been done and nothing will be done. That secures the final end which is gold as the only standard, measure and storehouse of value functioning as a medium exchange. By definition that is what money is. Gold is the only money that can be trusted as debt is being added to debt in a ridiculous plan to cure a problem. The fiat system is cooked, and there is simply no good paper currency. The face of this world is about to change. Sir Richard Russell is correct. Please protect yourselves because you must. I can point you in the right direction. It is you who must take action.

Lehman Sues JPMorgan to Recover Billions of Dollars (Update1)By Linda Sandler and David McLaughlin May 26 (Bloomberg) --

Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. sued JPMorgan Chase & Co. to recover tens of billions of dollars in "lost value," accusing the bank of precipitating its downfall and preventing it from winding down in an orderly fashion. JPMorgan, which was Lehman's main short-term lender before its September 2008 bankruptcy, helped cause the failure by demanding more collateral as credit markets tightened during the financial crisis, Lehman said in a complaint filed today in U.S. Bankruptcy Court in New York. The lawsuit follows a report by Lehman examiner Anton Valukas, who said in March that Lehman might have grounds for suing JPMorgan and other banks. "On the brink of LBHI's bankruptcy, JPMorgan leveraged its life and death power as the brokerage firm's primary clearing bank to force LBHI into a series of one-sided agreements and to siphon billions of dollars in critically needed assets," Lehman said in the complaint. Lehman didn't specify in the complaint an amount for the losses it is claiming as a result of JPMorgan's actions. "The lawsuit is ill conceived and the costly litigation will cause a further drain on the limited resources available to the Lehman bankruptcy estate," Joe Evangelisti, a JPMorgan spokesman said. More...





Is Gold the Next Bubble?- Wall Street Journal





US Home Prices Drop for 6th Straight Month- Washington Post





How US Banks Hide Their Risk Exposure- Wall Street Journal





Study: Western Banks May Need $1.5T in Fresh Capital- Bloomberg





Europe Mobilizes against Deficits- Sydney Morning Herald





Moody's Reiterates US Gov't Risks Downgrade- Bloomberg





What Debt? Pols on Spending Spree
As national debt crosses $13T mark, Congress is looking for a way to spend about $300B more before Memorial Day





Don't Doubt Bernanke's Ability to Create Inflation

With the Dow Jones now down 11% nominally from its high last month, NIA has been getting hundreds of emails and phone calls asking if there is any way we could be wrong about the threat of hyperinflation in the U.S. and if indeed deflation is the real problem we need to be worried about. The names Nouriel Roubini, Robert Prechter, and Harry Dent get mentioned to us a lot, with many NIA members asking why these so-called "experts" believe deflation is in our future.

Roubini, Prechter and Dent have been wrong about the overwhelming majority of their economic forecasts over the past decade. When it comes to their latest predictions about deflation, they will actually be right to some extent. We will see deflation in some assets like stocks and Real Estate, but only when priced in terms of real money - gold and silver. In terms of dollars, prices for pretty much all goods and services are guaranteed to rise dramatically over the next few years. Creating inflation is the only thing in the world Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke knows how to do and is good at.

During the past week, the mainstream media has shifted from saying we are experiencing an "economy recovery" to now saying we are at risk of a "double dip recession". Nothing fundamentally has changed in our economy. The fact is, the U.S. economy has been in a recession since mid-2000. All government reported positive GDP growth since mid-2000 has been due to nothing but inflation. Our economy should have experienced a depression in 2001 and an even greater one in 2008, but the depression has been temporarily avoided at the expense of an inevitable Hyperinflationary Great Depression down the road.

NIA believes it is impossible for the U.S. to experience price deflation when the Federal Reserve has held interest rates at 0% for the past 17 months. Sure, there will probably be a second wave of mortgage defaults that could cause another round of forced liquidations on Wall Street, but during any future period of forced liquidations, we doubt the U.S. dollar will still be looked at as the "safe haven" it was in 2008/2009. Gold and silver will soon be looked at as the only real safe havens because they are the only assets that provide protection from both a deteriorating economy and massive inflation. Precious metals will decouple from the Dow Jones and we will begin to see gold and silver rise at the same time as the stock market falls.

Bernanke was questioned yesterday following a speech at the Bank of Japan about whether a 4% inflation target would be better than the Fed's current inflation target of 2%. Bernanke responded that "it would be a very risky transition" if the Fed changed their inflation target, claiming that U.S. inflation expectations are currently "very stable". (NIA estimates the real rate of U.S. price inflation is already north of 5%.)

Unfortunately, no policymaker in the world is smart enough to accurately control the rate of price inflation through the manipulation of interest rates, and certainly not Bernanke. It's mind-boggling to us how the mainstream media could believe anything Bernanke says about inflation after how wrong he has been about everything else. Maybe the press has already forgotten that it was Bernanke who in July of 2005 said, "it's a pretty unlikely possibility" that home prices will decline across the country, "house prices will slow, maybe stabilize but I don't think it's going to drive the economy too far from its full employment path". We are 100% sure that Bernanke will be proven wrong again when it comes to inflation.

The U.S. Dollar Index has rallied from 75 to 87 since December and is approaching its high from March of 2009 of 89. This has given Bernanke the cover to keep interest rates at a record low 0%, but NIA believes Bernanke is misreading these economic signals. When the U.S. Dollar Index reached its high last year of 89, gold was only $900 per ounce. Today, gold is approximately $1,200 per ounce. The fact that gold has held up so strong despite a rapidly rising U.S. Dollar Index, proves that our financial system is getting ready to overdose on excess liquidity. The U.S. Dollar Index has rallied only because it is heavily weighted against the Euro. The Euro is now overdue for a huge bounce, which we believe will send the U.S. dollar crashing while sending gold to new record highs.

It's not good for us to pay too much attention to short-term volatility in the financial markets. Short-term "noise" often causes investors to second guess what they know is true. In our new documentary 'Meltup' (which has now surpassed 441,000 views in 10 days) we said, "If stocks were to see a nominal decline one last time, we will likely see Bernanke shoot up his largest ever dose of quantitative easing, which could turn the current Meltup into hyperinflation."

We are seeing signs of this coming true already. Washington is now calling for another stimulus. Larry Summers, senior economic adviser to President Obama, has asked Congress to begin drafting a new stimulus bill in an attempt to prevent a "double dip recession". The proposed size of this new stimulus is so far only $200 billion, much smaller than the last $787 billion stimulus bill. However, we are sure Congress will increase the size of it, especially if stocks continue their nominal decline. The new stimulus bill will likely coincide with trillions of dollars in additional quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve.

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