Monday, June 20, 2011

China Conducts Emergency Reverse Repos To Calm Money Market Liquidity, Fails, As 2 Week SHIBOR Hits Record 8.6% 





Yesterday, when we pointed out the surge in the overnight SHIBOR, many were quick to dismiss this dramatic contraction in liquidity, because it happened to be a replica of a comparable such move before the Lunar New Year which did not end result in an end of the world type event. And while many ignored this very disturbing interbank lending lock up sign, there was someone who did not: the PBoC. According to Market News, "The People's Bank of China has conducted reserve bond repurchase agreements with at least one bank in a bid to ease liquidity conditions, local media reports said Tuesday. The National Business Daily cited an interbank market trader as saying the central bank injected at least CNY50 billion into the China Construction Bank on Monday via a 14-day reverse repo at 7.5%." Which incidentally is how it should be done: want to get emergency funding from your central bank? Sure. But it will cost you a whopping 7.5%. Now the question of whether CNY50 billion is enough (and in related news, the USDCNY parity just dropped to a fresh all time record low of 6.4690) is a different matter altogether: we expect to get today's updated SHIBOR fixing any second, and have a feeling more reverse repos will have to be injected before this is over. 
 
 
 
 
 

Indian Gold And Silver Imports Surge By Stunning 500% In May 



India's heretofore "insatiable" appetite for precious metals will need to find a new adjective to describe it, after it surged by an absolutely unprecedented 500% in May MoM, and 222% compared to May of 2010, touching on a massive $8.96 billion in imports in the past month. Putting this number in perspective the yearly average Indian imports are about $22 billion: in one month the country will have imported about half its average quota for the year! And while inflation may have much to do with it, events like the Sensex flash crash from last night certainly are not helping matters: "The gold story is puzzling" added financial analyst A S Kirolar. "Consumers are shying away from stocks and bonds and heading to safe assets like gold and real estate, but one cannot understand this given the meagre 12% growth in imports of petroleum and oil products." Granted demand is not just at the retail level as ever more institutions are buying up gold: "Analysts maintained that India's central bank, the Reserve Bank of India's decision to grant licenses to seven more banks to import bullion has helped push up demand. Karur Vysya Bank, State Bank of Bikaner and Jaipur, State Bank of Hyderabad, Punjab and Sind Bank, South Indian Bank, State Bank of Mysore and State Bank of Travancore were added to the list. As of the start of 2011, some 30 banks in India have been granted permission to import gold and silver. Jewellers are getting easy supplies which is also helping push up demand. Moreover, the flow of scrap is also expected to fall from a yearly average of 200 tonnes, which could again boost imports, underlining the insatiable appetite of the Indian consumer." Add ongoing Chinese demand for PMs, and one can see why calls for an imminent gold crash absent a global deflationary vortex are largely overblown.
 
 
 
 

Global Tactical Asset Allocation Q3 Update: Fixed Income 


Following the release of its quarterly equity market update, Global Tactical Asset Allocation has released the must read Q3 debt update, which covers virtually every aspect of the fixed income space with more granularity than can be found in the best sellside research report. Since the imminent global insolvency is not about equities, and all about coupon and variable rate instruments, this could we be the most important update piece from Damien Cleusix this quarter. Your all in one compendium on fundamentals, technicals, and everything inbetween can be found inside. 
 
 
 
 

Presenting Obama's Latest $50,000 Non-Recourse, Interest-Free Gift To "Troubled" Homeowners 



Today the Obama administration launched its latest $1 billion "stimulus" in the form of the Emergency Homeowner's Loan Program (EHLP), certainly not to be confused with Homeowner Emergency something something, which would be abbreviated HELP (and would be way too cute). The formal reason for the program is to provide emergency loans to 'homeowners' facing foreclosure, or basically all of them, to help tide them over "a temporary financial crisis", the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) has announced. The informal reason is to provide thousands of Americans with a $50,000 recourse and interest-free loan for up to two years (money which will go down to paying down equity an underwater mortgage, and will thus never be repaid), so that earned income, instead of being used to make mortgage payments, will be rerouted into such far more critical capital needs as the latest iPad or buying share ot LNKD at $122. But don't think for a moment that everyone will be able to access this money: "the program is available to homeowners who have seen their incomes fall and who could lose their homes to foreclosure due to circumstances beyond their control, including involuntary unemployment, underemployment, economic conditions or an illness" which, actually in retrospect, is all of them. Well, the effort of getting off one's couch and actually picking up the forms may be unavoidable. Of course, that process in itself may well limit 80% of the eligible participants.





Confidence in currencies collapsing, Turk tells King World News

 

 

Ron Paul: Federal Reserve's Addiction.

Greek Default Would Spell ‘Havoc’ for Banks.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Martin W. Armstrong: Greece: Its Time to Default Before Civil War Breaks Out




Gold And Silver Still Great Investments in Inflation, Stagflation, And Deflation




The Systematic Financial Pillaging of the Middle Class




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