SYSTEMIC RISK IS ON RED ALERT
Phoenix Capital Research
06/15/2011 - 13:54
Lehman Deja Vu: There Goes Market Liquidity
European liquidity just went into Defcon 1.
Some Intraday Hilarity From The Federal Reserve
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 06/15/2011 13:00 -0400Presented without commentary:
- FED'S PARKINSON SAYS FED'S JOB IS TO COUNTER OVER-OPTIMISM' BY BANKS
- FED'S PARKINSON CITES `SHORTSIGHTEDNESS' BY BANKS PRE-CRISIS
- FED'S PARKINSON URGES HIGH-QUALITY CAPITAL ON SIFI SURCHARGE
- PARKINSON: FED TO PAY CAREFUL ATTENTION TO DIVIDENDS, BUYBACKS
"Odious Debt" - A Definition
Perhaps it is time to look at some basic defintions for a term that will soon be quite prevalent...
Guest Post: “Only Thing We Have to Fear Is A Lack of Fear Itself”
Why is there no fear? I think it all comes down to 3 letter words. Mom, Dad, Fed, IMF, and ECB. Children know that their parents are there for them, to take care of them, and to make them safe. At the first sound of thunder, a child will look for their parent and take comfort in their arms. Little children don?t necessarily know why, they just know that mom and dad will be there for them and will make them feel better. The market must have that same faith in the Fed, IMF, and ECB. Whenever the data gets bad, the market ?knows? that one of these entities will be there for them. Maybe it is QE3 instead of warm milk, but these entities will be there to support them. I don?t know how long these entities can support every blip in the stock market. The real economy is different than the stock market, and all the cures and comforts of these entities have done a great deal for the stock market in the short term, but relatively little for the economy, and the long term consequences of their actions are yet to be felt. I certainly don?t want a 30 year old kid living in my basement because I made it so easy for him that he was never able to go out and do it on his own. At some point the Fed is going to have to kick some birds out of the nest and see if they can fly on their own. In the meantime, the market clinging to hopes that its parents can take care of them runs the risk that the problems are just too big to be dealt with easily and quickly. Then we might get some real fear in this market.Charting Key Breakdown Levels In The EURUSD, The S&P, The VIX And The Spanish 10 Year
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 06/15/2011 14:30 -0400Looks like John Noyce's prediction, who among the Goldmanites, has long been bearish on the EUR, is about to be proven right. Below we present his latest technical observations not only on the key FX pair, but on the VIX, The S&P, and, perhaps most importantly, the Spanish 10 Year. In brief: if today's weakness is not contained, there could be a very signficant downside risk breakdown in numerous market indicators.
Papandreou Issues Pre-Recorded Announcement: Will Stay, Reshuffle Cabinet, Seek Vote Of Confidence; Long Weiner/Short G-Pap Pair Trade Started
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 06/15/2011 14:47 -0400From Bloomberg:
PAPANDREOU SAYS THAT HE WILL CONTINUE, RESHUFFLE CABINET, SEEK VOTE OF CONFIDENCE
He also says that he has been struggling to save the country and is attempting to reach a national consensus. More importantly, it appears he bluffed when saying he would leave, a decision likely halted as nobody wanted to pick up the live grenade of responsibility.
Kiss bailout #2 goodbye.
PAPANDREOU SAYS THAT HE WILL CONTINUE, RESHUFFLE CABINET, SEEK VOTE OF CONFIDENCE
He also says that he has been struggling to save the country and is attempting to reach a national consensus. More importantly, it appears he bluffed when saying he would leave, a decision likely halted as nobody wanted to pick up the live grenade of responsibility.
Kiss bailout #2 goodbye.
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