Tuesday, September 27, 2011

Gold and Silver advance/Cannot get any physical gold or silver from Bank of Nova Scotia

Good evening Ladies and Gentlemen: As I promised you last night, gold and silver would advance as the shorters who try and cover their non backed supply of paper come in contact with the huge number of buyers wishing to buy metals.  When you have an absence of sellers and a plethora of buyers, the price rises.  Gold rose by $58.10 to $1650.60 by comex closing time.  The price of silver rose by





Scotia Macotta - out of 1 oz/5 oz bars and 1oz Gold coins

silvergoldsilver at silvergoldsilver - 1 hour ago
Weren't people supposed to SELL their Gold in the liquidation Gartman Bubble selloff? Blythe, you are in Barney Rubble soon! Click here for Scotia Macotta... 
 
 
 
 

Position Limits Oct 18th. Delayed again. Most likely will be delayed on Oct 13, for another 34 years or until JPM has covered.

silvergoldsilver at silvergoldsilver - 1 hour ago
I'm with Pete on this one LOL. I have given up on this. Federal rules set to rein in speculative commodities trading face further delays, as regulators struggle to finalize the controversial proposal amid threats of legal challenges. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission decided on Tuesday to push back an Oct. 4 meeting during which the agency had been scheduled to vote on the rules. The commission’s chairman, Gary Gensler, *is expected to notify his fellow commissioners that the agency is likely to take up the proposal on Oct. 18*. Bart Chilton, a Democratic member of the agency... more »
 
 
 
 

Jon Stewart's Extended Interview With Ron Paul

About a month ago, after everyone in the wholly conflicted media (just ask one question: who pays all that advertising money - nuf said), on both the left and the right, was ignoring the most promising presidential candidate this country has had in decades, Jon Stewart decided to take Ron Paul under his wing, and made it clear that while those who don't matter can pretend to ignore Ron, the one man who does, and who reaches more than most of the legacy "serious media" combined, has certainly noticed Paul. Naturally Stewart could have left it there, especially given his own personal political view. To his great credit, he did not. Instead last night in an extended exclusive interview, he presented Ron Paul in a way that he should have been presented from the beginning: no tricks, no gotchas, no gimmicks, no commercial breaks every 45 seconds. Hopefully this is the beginning of the transition of the Paul campaign to one where he has enough critical mass to be taken seriously by everyone - something "everyone" should be doing regardless.
  more »




Guest Post: Euro Tarp - Why It Will Be A Screaming Failure

eurozone_crisisIs Dick Fuld running this show? The Eurozone bailout, now being referred to as Euro TARP, is doomed to fail.  While nothing has been officially announced the markets are rallying broadly on the back of a news article published by CNBC on Monday.  The details are lacking as to the actual structure but speculation is already running rampant across the financial markets as to what it might look like.  What is presumed is that Euro TARP will follow the proposal originally proffered by Tim Geithner on his European trip recently.  That proposal had been widely dismissed by the G20 as they couldn't come to terms on any type of structure.   The current idea outlined by CNBC will bypass the G20 entirely and allow the European Investment Bank (EIB), a bank owned by the member states of the European Union, to take money from the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) and capitalize a special purpose vehicle (SPV) that it will create. The SPV will then issue bonds to investors and use the proceeds to purchase sovereign debt of distressed European states, which will hopefully alleviate the pressure on the distressed states (PIIGS) and the European banks that already own their sovereign debt. If alarm bells aren't already going off they will be in just moment as you get the gist of the rest of this disastrous plan.





"The Carnage...The Carnage..." - Presenting The Complete September And YTD Hedge Fund Bloodbath

HSBC has just released their latest weekly hedge fund return compilation report. There is no sugarcoating this: it is a complete bloodbath. It is no surprise why hedge funds are desperate to pull off any sort of month end rally. Without it we fear the hedge fund space, which at last check was approaching $2 trillion in AUM, will collapse by 25% after the new year when the full carnage of the redemption requests is made public. And while we know that Paulson is a, well, liquidator is such a harsh word, but if the word fits (unless of course he makes whole all of his more "senior" investors with his personal cash, something which has been vaguely rumored), we certainly had no idea just how pervasive the decimation within the hedge funds ranks was until we saw the mid-September results. We really, really hope the collusive short squeeze-cum-month end rally works out for the hedge fund community, becuase it really will be "or else."





Doug Casey: How To Prepare For When Money Dies

I'd say the world's biggest bubble is real estate in China, but real estate bubbles are just starting to deflate elsewhere, too—in Australia and Canada, for example. It's relatively hard to short real estate, of course. Shorting bank stocks is an indirect way to play it. I'd say bonds are the short sale of the century. They're going to be destroyed. Bonds pose a triple threat to capital because:
  1. Interest rates are artificially low, and as interest rates rise—which they must—bonds will fall.
  2. Bonds are denominated in currencies, and most currencies, let's say dollars, are going to lose a lot of value.
  3. The credit risk of most bonds, certainly those issued by governments, is high.
On the long side, mining stocks are very cheap relative to the price of gold right now. I'd say there's an excellent chance of a bubble being ignited in gold mining stocks, especially the small ones; in fact, I'd put my finger on that as likely being the easiest way to make a killing.




Weimar hyperinflation "When Money Dies" PDF file





In The News Today


Jim Sinclair’s Commentary

International cooperation seems lacking.

Germany slams ‘stupid’ US plans to boost EU rescue fund
Germany and America were on a collision course on Tuesday night over the handling of Europe’s debt crisis after Berlin savaged plans to boost the EU rescue fund as a "stupid idea" and told the White House to sort out its own mess before giving gratuitous advice to others.
By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
8:51PM BST 27 Sep 2011

German finance minister Wolfgang Schauble said it would be a folly to boost the EU’s bail-out machinery (EFSF) beyond its €440bn lending limit by deploying leverage to up to €2 trillion, perhaps by raising funds from the European Central Bank.
"I don’t understand how anyone in the European Commission can have such a stupid idea. The result would be to endanger the AAA sovereign debt ratings of other member states. It makes no sense," he said.
Mr Schauble told Washington to mind its own businesss after President Barack Obama rebuked EU leaders for failing to recapitalise banks and allowing the debt crisis to escalate to the point where it is "scaring the world".
"It’s always much easier to give advice to others than to decide for yourself. I am well prepared to give advice to the US government," he said.
The comments risk irritating the White House. US Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner has been a key driver of plans to give the EFSF enough firepower to shore up Italy and Spain, fearing a drift into "cascading default, bank runs and catastrophic risk" without dramatic action.
The danger for Germany is that America will lose patience, with unpredictable consequences. The US Federal Reserve is currently propping up the European banking system in a variety of ways, including dollar swaps.

More…




Jim Sinclair’s Commentary

Gold is a lot more than simply the paper exchanges.

Asia Gold: Buyers rush in after price slump; premiums up
SINGAPORE/MUMBAI – Asia’s gold bugs have raced to snatch up physical material after the sharp correction in prices, just as the world’s biggest gold consumer India prepares for its festival season.
The surge in buying interest boosted gold premiums in the region. In Tokyo, the spread between local and global prices returned to the positive territory for the first time since March.
A strong rally in the dollar and margin calls triggered a 10-per cent tumble over just four sessions in spot gold.
Prices fell to a 7-1/2-month low of US$1,534.49 (S$1,971.97) on Monday, 20 per cent below the record of US$1,920.30 hit in early September, and rebounded to about US$1,650.
"We’ve seen a lot of buy-on-dip type on the physical market," said Dick Poon, manager of precious metals at Heraeus in Hong Kong. "While speculators were busy liquidating their positions on the futures market, we didn’t see any selling of physical material."
Poon said the strong investment interest in gold from the region is likely to support the bullish sentiment in bullion.
More…




December Contract Gold Notes With Kenny


Jim Sinclair’s Commentary

The following note is from our good friend Kenny:

Dear CIGAs,

Today’s hard overrun of MAJOR support at $1584/$1675 and down to a low of $1535 (in spite of Friday’s punch down into that major support on a low of $1631.70), produced a 105 point rally action back up to $1640, and a close of $1630.   We did not expect an overrun of 1584 at worst, but today’s rally back and close into the core of the support bracket itself indicates the beginning of a bottom action has begun.
We now expect a bottom action to occur at or above today’s low of $1535. Today’s extreme sell off and hard rally action does make the possibility of a narrow bottom quite possible.
The drop from $1923.70 to $1535 has generated an impressive wall of resistance, but which could be overcome in relatively short order if gold generates a narrow V bottom followed by hard rally action.   Even so, the bottom should be visibly resolved here within another 14 to 15 days at most ff we are to have a moderately fast or a fast return to a test of the recent high ($1923.70), and thereafter, higher highs.
Our internal figures remain long term bullish…






Phoenix Capital...
09/27/2011 - 16:07
The reality is that Europe in its current form is over. No German backstop means no success for the EFSF no matter who big it becomes. Germany IS the backstop for the EU. Take it out of the equation...





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