Saturday, June 16, 2012

Deutsche Bank: "The Spanish Recapitalization Is Not Working" - A Market Shock Is Required

This weekend, everyone's attention will be on the Greek elections, however it is Spain that has now become the "fulcrum security" of Europe. As such, events in Greece are merely a catalyst that will set off a chain of events that will have an impact not only on Spain, but on all of Europe, and thus, the world. As we pointed out last week after the Spanish bailout announcement, based on a preliminary analysis which had been compiled by Deutsche Bank's europhiles hours before the formal announcement, and one which just happened to be a carbon-copy of what was proposed as the 'final (and failed) Spanish solution', it appears that the events in Europe are if not orchestrated by the largest German bank, then certainly receiving part-time advice. Which brings us to the present, where we find that even Deutsche Bank has given up hope for interim solutions, having realized that the market will no longer accept transitory, feeble arrangements. Instead DB is now formally calling for a big bang resolution, one coming from the ECB. Here is the punchline: "ECB has room for manoeuvre, but needs political cover for a ‘big’ policy" or said otherwise, "A shock is required to get a liquidity response." In other words: Europe's only real hope for even a stop gap solution... is a wholesale market crash, not surprisingly the very same conclusion that Citi reached on May 19 when they warned that only Crossover (XO) at 1000 bps or wider could push Europe into acting... Basically stated, anything less than a controlled market crash, one that finally gets the ECB involved with Germany's persmission of course, merely pushes the market higher on nothing but hope of an intervention that said market lift makes even more improbable, as now both Citi and DB admit, which can and will lead to an uncontrolled market collapse, one from which not even the ECB will be able to extricate Europe.


Debt crisis: Tensions mount as Angela Merkel attacks French economy

Deepening splits between Angela Merkel and François Hollande erupted into the open on Friday as the German chancellor attacked Paris for allowing the French economy to stall.
By Bruno Waterfield, The Telegraph:
Mrs Merkel warned the policies of the new Socialist president could destroy the eurozone by bringing the sovereign debt crisis to France itself.
The bleak assessment came on the eve of an important weekend that will see elections in Greece and France and a key G20 meeting of world leaders in Mexico.
“Europe must discuss the growing differences in economic strength between France and Germany,” she said.
Tensions are running so high that Jean-Marc Ayrault, the French prime minister, was forced to deny that Paris had broken off the Franco-German partnership, following Berlin anger at a Franco-Italian summit in Rome on Thursday.
There was a growing sense of crisis in European capitals after David Cameron, the Prime Minister, took part in a tense conference call with Mrs Merkel, Mr Hollande and Mario Monti, the Italian prime minister.
Read More @ Telegraph.co.uk



Europe's Dilemma: "Probability Vs Impact"


When it comes to the future of Europe, one simply has to look at the foundations or the so called "euro-architecture" which as the past two years have shown us, are in dire need of strengthening lest everything topples over. Mere talk will no longer cut it. Simplifying things further, one can distribute the potential outcomes facing Europe along two axes: Impact, or an event's likelihood of actually doing something to change the current "sinking ship" status quo, and Probability, i.e., how much resistance, mostly political, will a given plan face, primarily from Germany which over the past year has fallen into its rightful place - that of Europe's fiscal, and monetary - because even the ECB will not move without German approval - paymaster. Obviously the two are inversely correlated. Whether or not the European crises ends, will depend on precisely which of the 9 listed outcomes below Europe decides upon (or all). However, as is well-noted on the chart, There are "No obvious game changers." Which is why anyone hoping for a Deus Ex, before much more pain is first experienced, as Deutsche Bank explained earlier, will be bitterly disappointed.

 

Global addiction of central banking stimulus: Contagion spreads to Spain as 10-year edges to 7 percent

Life in a perpetual quantitative easing world
from MyBudget360.com
Financial markets around the world are now desperately dependent on central bank stimulus. The US recovery is largely dependent on the Federal Reserve funneling loans into the system via the quantitative easing process and other archaic forms of money development. It is interesting how the Greek stock market rallied this week merely on the notion that pro-bailout parties will be elected and thus allows even more debt to be injected into the system. Yet this does not solve the core problem that too much debt is swimming in the system. Central banks do not create any real tangible product in the economy. They have the incredible power to inject resources into banks and thus create “money” in the real economy. Yet this only happens if banks lend this out to consumers instead of using the funds to speculate in complicated global money making schemes. The whipsaw behavior of the market highlights the massive addiction to central banking stimulus we are in.
Read More @ MyBudget360.com




Saudi Arabia's Prince Nayef, Next In Line To Throne, Dies; Saudi Shares Plunge

Coming into the weekend, most were focusing on key events coming out of Greece and France, possibly Egypt, but nobody expected that Saudi Arabia would be thrown into the fray. That just happened, however, following news that Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Nayef bin Abdulaziz al-Saud has died in Geneva, according to Saudi state television, citing a royal court statement. The news has sent Saudi shares sliding, because now 89-year-old King Abdullah must nominate a new heir for the second time in nine months. And the last thing the middle-east region needs, not to mention the world's biggest oil producer, needs is more geopolitical uncertainty.


dutch banks downgraded/Holland;s retail sales contract badly/poor usa Empire number/ Poor Michigan consumer confidence number/

Good morning Ladies and Gentlemen; Before I commence with my commentary, it saddens me to report that we have 3 new entrants who on Friday took their last breath as they succumbed to the wishes of the FDIC and entered our hallowed morgue. 1. Farmers Bank of Lynchburg Tennessee 2.  Security Exchange Bank of Marietta Georgia 3. Putnam State Bank from the great metropolis Palatka Florida. Gold


Let Spain, Greece Go Bankrupt

Eric De Groot at Eric De Groot - 3 hours ago
Rising debt burdens created this economic mess, so bailouts funded by additional debt only augment the problem. Intermarket analysis suggests risk-off money flows. Negative divergences and weakening trend increases the probability of a sharp decline if confidence breaks. If confidence breaks, oil will head lower. I expect the invisible hand to accumulate any sharp decline (see chart).... [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]] 


Ebb Will Turn To Flow In Commodity Markets Eventually

Eric De Groot at Eric De Groot - 3 hours ago
Beef won't be the only expensive thing for dinner when ebb turns to flow in the commodity markets. Chart: CRBFoodstuffs And Year-over-Year (YOY) Change Headline: Beef: It’s What’s (Expensive) for Dinner Throwing a few steaks and burgers on the grill, you might have noticed, has gotten more expensive as the cost of beef has climbed over the past year. And it's only going higher, say... [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]]


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Energy Prices & Natural Gas

Admin at Jim Rogers Blog - 4 hours ago
If I had to buy energy today it would be natural gas. - *in a recent video interview * * * *Related: United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG);* *Jim Rogers is an author, financial commentator and successful international investor. He has been frequently featured in Time, The New York Times, Barron’s, Forbes, Fortune, The Wall Street Journal, The Financial Times and is a regular guest on Bloomberg and CNBC.* 


Oil Can Go Down For A While, But...

Admin at Jim Rogers Blog - 4 hours ago
Jim Rogers gives his oil price outlook on the floor of the NYSE. Related: Jim Rogers is an author, financial commentator and successful international investor. He has been frequently featured in Time, The New York Times, Barron’s, Forbes, Fortune, The Wall Street Journal, The Financial Times and is a regular guest on Bloomberg and CNBC.



What Peak Oil?

I’m not lying awake at night worrying about imminent peak oil. There’s plenty of extractable oil, and renewable energy will eventually supplement and replace it. But will politics get in the way of energy extraction? The United States has huge hydrocarbon reserves, yet regulation is preventing drilling and shipment, leaving America dependent on foreign oil. And the oil companies themselves are largely to blame — after Deepwater Horizon, should anyone be surprised that politicians and the public want to strangle the oil industry? If there’s an imminent energy crisis, it will be man-made. It will come out of the United States’ dependency on foreign oil. Or out of an environmental catastrophe caused by mismanagement and graft (protected cartels like the energy industry always lead to mismanagement). Or out of excessive red tape. Or war.


Break Up the Euro?














How is Marc Faber, the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, playing the euro now? Faber, the biggest bear of all, talks to CNBC’s Melissa Lee and the Money In Motion traders.



Outrageous: Newsweek editor promotes drone strikes (This Passes for “Journalism”?)

from RTAmerica:

Daniel Klaidman, a former editor for Newsweek, has produced a short video promoting the use of drones. The video hints that Muslims in Pakistan are grateful for US drone strikes even if it means the death of innocent people. Abby Martin has more.



Palin Assails “cocaine snorting” Obama – Praises ‘New Media’ Bloggers for Speaking Truth

by Lois Romano, Politico:
Sarah Palin ridiculed President Barack Obama at a conservative bloggers conference Friday for his “cocaine snorting” and eating dog as a child.
“That cocaine snorting, and what he ate — Fido? Rufus?” the former Alaska governor said, alluding to Obama’s memoir, “Dreams From My Father,” in which he admits both to cocaine use and being served dog by his stepfather in Indonesia. “I think it’s funny that the cocktail circuit gives me a hard time for eating elk and moose. Anybody here have a pet moose? There’s a difference.”
It was part of a 30-minute speech at the RightOnline conference, in which she criticized the “permanent political class” and the “lamestream media” while applauding conservative bloggers for doing “what too many people in the old media won’t do, can’t do, and that’s tell the truth.”
Read More @ Politico



Obama Seeks US Congressional Ratification of UN Global Gun Control Treaty

by Susanne Posel, Info Wars:

Hillary Clinton, US Secretary of State has announced that the Obama administration is working with the United Nations (UN) to approve, through the US Congress, the Small Arms Treaty (SAT).
Clinton affirmed that the US would facilitate talks with the UN in the Conference on the Arms Trade Treaty, as long as it “operates under the rules of consensus decision-making. Consensus is needed to ensure the widest possible support for the Treaty and to avoid loopholes in the Treaty that can be exploited by those wishing to export arms irresponsibly.”
This global gun control scheme, concocted by the UN, is called the International Arms Control Treaty (IACT). Disguised as a way to combat terrorism, insurgents and international criminals, this document endeavors to secure the world’s citizens cannot defend themselves.
Read More @ InfoWars.com



Relying on Fake German Strength

from Testosterone Pit.com:

While we’re sitting on the edge of our chairs, waiting breathlessly for the Greek election, or for Fate to swallow Greece and send financial Armageddon over the Eurozone, stock markets rallied. Not because of a sudden plethora of good economic news, but in anticipation of how central banks might react to the Greek vote—that’s how far this farce has come! As if sheer artificial liquidity could wash away the putrid odor of decomposing debt.
They lined up on Friday to give their spiel. ECB President Mario Draghi would “continue to supply liquidity to solvent banks where needed.” Bank of Japan governor Masaaki Shirakawa was “prepared to take all possible measures” but denied rumors that central banks around the globe would take coordinated action. The Bank of England spoke up. The Swiss National Bank confirmed its iron determination to keep the flood of euros at bay, with capital controls, if it had to; its currency peg would hold, come hell or high water.
Read More @ TestosteronePit.com



LISTEN NOW – KWN Markets & Metals Wrap

from KingWorldNews:
The KWN Weekly Metals Wrap – We have added new segments to the KWN Weekly Metals Wrap covering gold, silver, trading and a plethora of other factors affecting the precious metals markets. I am giving King World News listeners globally access to what has long been my secret weapons in researching where gold and silver are headed directionally along with the COT Report. We Cover the Commitment of Traders Report in detail as well as a number of other factors which can influence the gold and silver market price action.
LISTEN NOW @ KingWorldNews.com



USA is a Kleptocracy – Greg Hunter

from FinancialSurvivalNetwork.com:
Greg Hunter of www.USAWatchDog.com joined FSN for the first time yesterday. Greg is a former mainstream media news reporter who woke up one day and realized the USA was quickly becoming a kleptocracy. When he started interviewing truth tellers like John Williams (ShadowStats.com) and Jim Sinclair, his contract wasn’t renewed, in spite of his high ratings and popularity. So Greg Hunter did what so many of us are doing now; he started a blog and transferred his vast media experience to the Internet. Now he’s got thousands of viewers around the world. As that old show used to say, “The truth is out there.” Greg’s getting it out, the best he can, and so is the Financial Survival Network.
Click here to listen 



LISTEN NOW – A Tidal Wave Entrance into Gold, Global Financial Collapse & More – Gerald Celente

from KingWorldNews:
Gerald Celente: Founder & Director of the Trends Research Institute – Gerald discussed gold at length and predicted, “a tidal wave entrance into gold,” as well as other important global trends with KWN. Many consider Gerald to be the top trends forecaster in the world. Gerald has been quoted and interviewed in media throughout the world such as, CNBC, Fox, CBS, ABC, NBC, BBC, Time Magazine, New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Business Week, FT, U.S. News, World Report, The Economist and more.
LISTEN NOW @ KingWorldNews.com



It’s Official: Presidency Now a Dictatorship

by Kurt Nimmo, Info Wars:
Obama’s latest outrageous violation of the laws of the United States demonstrate that the nation has arrived at its destination: a dictatorship lorded over by an imperial ruler.
On Friday, Obama instructed the government to ignore an influx of illegal aliens streaming over the border. The move was implemented to sway Latino voters into the Obama camp in preparation for the upcoming election against fellow establishment candidate Mitt Romney.
Obama’s violations of law and the Constitution make his predecessor look like a piker by way of comparison. Since he was voted into office by deluded citizens who believed he would pay for their rent and food, Obama has enacted by fiat or worked with Congress to pass a number of bills that have increased the power of the executive and the unconstitutional authority of the federal government.
Read More @ InfoWars.com


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