Friday, June 3, 2011

An Agent Of The King In Every Home



Constitutional values cannot defend themselves. They require the people to stand firm, and to never yield. Americans today have yielded far too much already, and at some point very soon, we’re going to have to make the hard choice on what is more important; our general safety and personal comfort, or our freedoms and the freedoms of future generations. Like the American Colonials, we have a system that does not serve our best interests, but the interests of an elite few. We are quickly losing our ability to dictate the terms of our own society, and our own destinies. Sadly, we are not yet presenting the determination that the colonials held in the face of this danger. Today, we are a nation mourning its own demise before it has even occurred. We have turned to reluctant compliance and submission. We are, frankly, whiny and pathetic. This does not have to be. 
 
 
 
 

Watch Obama Explain Why Keynesianism Has Been A Failure





Watch the teleprompter advise the president on the correct choice of words at his address to workers at a Fiat, pardon Chrysler Group, Toledo supplier park, during which he will have to explain why both fiscal and monetary policy (read Keynesianism) is now a confirmed failure. But far from Austrian economics finally get the respect it so much deserves, this will merely retrench the current idiotic policies - just read any column by Krugman demand doubling down on stimulus post haste: that's what happens with junkies - it never ends, and in fact the "last" does must always be more and more and more... 
 
 
 
 

Today's Flash Crash: From $6.90 To $0.09 In Two Seconds




Thanks to Nanex we once again get a reminder that not only is the economy broken, something which becomes painfully clear each and every time the monetary and fiscal stimulus are about to get yanked, like right now, but that our stock markets continue to be the butt of all algorithmic jokes. Today's punchline: Bitauto Holdings, which traded from $6.90 to $0.09 in two seconds. And lest one thinks this was a fat finger, the total number of trades canceled subsequently by the NYSE and Nasdaq was 22,900 shares. SkyNet strikes again. 
 
 
 
 

Troica Demands Deep Public Sector Cuts, Higher Taxes As Part Of Greek Bailout #2, Or My Big Fat Greek Anschluss





So here it is:
  • EU, IMF: GREECE NEEDS TO REINVIGORATE STRUCTURAL REFORMS (so, fire more people and generate more GDP with whoever is left?)
  • EU, IMF: GREECE WILL REDUCE PUBLIC SECTOR EMPLOYMENT (so, fire even more peple)
  • EU, IMF: GREECE TO REDUCE TAX EXEMPTIONS, RAISE PROPERTY TAXES (So, generate more GDP by taxing people more?)
  • EU, IMF: `AMBITIOUS' MID-TERM PLAN, WILL MEET 2011-2015 TARGETS (If the targets are all Greek bankruptcy, yes)
  • EU, IMF: OVERALL ASSESSMENT GREEK PROGRAM `SIGNIFICANT PROGRESS (uh, where?)
  • EU, IMF: GREEK ECONOMY TO STABILISE AT TURN OF YEAR (Idiots)
And now, the people get angry. Expect live webcast from Syntagma square shortly.





It's Official: QE 2 And The Tax Cut Have Been A Failure



Well it looks like the rich have taken the tax cuts and used the money to buy 'necessities' at Tiffany's rather than hiring people. Weren't the tax cut extensions necessary for hiring? It really looks like that money went straight to little blue boxes. Does Kraft Mac'n Cheeses still come in dark blue boxes? Maybe we aren't separated into rich and poor, just which shade of blue box you can afford? It is hard to find anything encouraging about the numbers out today. For the past 4 months now, the NFP has added 752k jobs. 610k of those have been birth/death jobs. If you do year to date, it's not as bad since January saw a large negative birth/death adjustment. I am concerned about the validity of the birth/death model. We have gone through such unprecedented changes in the economy I find it hard to believe that the model is calibrated well. I still like being short IYR, SPG, VNO on the back of the move in CMBX. I am digging deeper into corporate credit, but 2 worrying signals are there. Recent new issues seem to be struggling. Even GOOG is wider. The indices are also starting to trade fairly cheap to fair value. This combination is rarely good so selling LQD (on spread basis) and HYG while collecting more details for this analysis. 
 
 
 
 
 

Guest Post: Taking Away The Punchbowl



Whenever I unleash a tirade at home about how Federal spending has leaped 40% in three years and how the government is now borrowing 42% of its spending, my wife points out that nobody cares because the deficit doesn't impact them at all. This always stops the tirade in its tracks, because it's so obviously true. As long as the Federal checks keep being issued and everyone gets their 17 "low-cost" meds paid by Medicare, the National Defense State gets unlimited billions to spy on the citizenry and indeed, the entire world, gasoline at $1,000 a gallon flows freely in Afghanistan and other distant corners of the Empire, and Wall Street writes itself billions in bonuses, then nobody cares about the deficit. The only way anyone will feel the deficit is if their share of the Federal swag is trimmed to pay the interest on the ballooning debt. But the Federal Reserve has a solution to that eventuality: keep interest rates (and thus yields on new Federal debt) super-low. At zero interest, $50 trillion in debt costs nothing. Heck, you and I could handle the interest payments on $50 trillion at zero interest. At 1%, the interest is "only" $500 billion a year--no big deal, as we can easily borrow another $500 billion a year, no problem. After all, the bond market hasn't barfed yet and we're already borrowing $1.65 trillion a year, plus hundreds of billions "off-balance sheet" in "supplemental appropriations." 
 
 
 
 
 

"It's Transitory"



Anything negative can be called “transitory.” Commodity prices are rising, I am nervous. Don’t worry, it’s transitory. Wait a minute, now the economic statistics are rolling over? Transitory! But Bernank, I don’t have a job and just joined the ranks of record food stamp participation (it is now 44 million people). Quiet sheep, let the adults deal with it. Besides, it’s…well you get it. So the brilliance of it all is that no matter how bad things get, some talking head can come out there and tell you it’s temporary. The term “soft patch” is just a another way of saying it. Not only is it a way to give a downtrodden people hope while they are being robbed, but it also allows for additional time for the Central Bankers to put the final nail in your coffin. All Americans have to do to look at our future is pay attention to what is being done to Greece and Ireland. Greece of course is furthest along the path to becoming a slave colony of the European banks and their puppets at the ECB. They are being told to sell off assets in order to protect the bond values of insolvent banks. This is simply a leveraged buyout of Greece by those that control the distribution channel of money. When EVERYONE is broke, the player that comes out on top is the one that can create the money versus the one that cannot. 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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