Sunday, September 30, 2012

Big Changes Are Coming, But The World Will Not End



Today 40 year veteran, Robert Fitzwilson, wrote the following piece exclusively for King World News. Fitzwilson, who is founder of The Portola Group, warned, “Changes are coming, but it doesn’t mean the world will come to an end. But financial regime changes do result in a massive transfer of wealth from those who own paper assets, to those that own real assets.”

“Reflecting upon the news and the current state of affairs, it is striking how events are playing out according to script, as history and strategists have predicted. In the beginning of our journey, it was focused on discovery, historical context and understanding as to what had changed about markets, governments and people. The answer is almost everything if one looks just at our lifetimes.

On the other hand, nothing has really changed if one takes a longer view. One of our favorite sayings is, “The only thing new is the history you have not read”
Robert Fitzwilson continues @ KingWorldNews.com


Prepare for titanic struggle as Draghi turns euro into lira

by David McWilliams, David McWilliams:
WELL that didn’t last long, did it? The financial market euphoria, which greeted the announcement that the ECB would buy bonds in unlimited quantities, has melted away. In its place, the realisation that Europe’s economy is weakening quickly is puncturing short-lived optimisms.
Yesterday, we had more evidence from Germany that business confidence is ebbing more quickly than anyone anticipated. The IFO index of businesspeople’s expectations about the future has now fallen for the fifth consecutive month.
The rolling recession, which started with the collapse of Lehman, initially affected highly leveraged countries like Ireland, Iceland and Greece, then mutated into a slump in Spain and Italy and it is now moving in a crashing wave to the core of Europe. Affecting France at the beginning of this year, it is now being felt in the industrial powerhouse of Europe, Germany.
Until recently, China’s demand for German exports — particularly heavy machinery, which Germany excels at — kept order books healthy. But now Chinese demand is not there any more as its exports and economy weaken. The real fear in China is that it will prove to be the mother of all property bubbles, which will burst.
Read More @ DavidMcWilliams.ie



Did you see this on the MSM?...I didn't think so...But then again... you don't see 99% of the News covered here on the MSM...

Cut & Bleeding: Austerity-bitten Spain stands up in fury – Policians VS the Populace


Protests against biting spending cuts continue throughout Europe, as people vent their anger over bailout sponsored austerity. Mass demonstrations in Madrid turned to violence earlier this week, as police were forced to fire rubber bullets to calm the fury of the public. There’ve been dozens of injuries and arrests.


Presenting The World's Biggest Hedge Fund You Have Never Heard Of

The world's largest hedge fund is not located in the top floor of some shiny, floor-to-ceiling glass clad skyscraper in New York, London, Hong Kong or Shanghai. It isn't in some sprawling mansion in Greenwich or Stamford which houses a state of the art trading desk behind a crocodile-filled moat. Instead it can be found in tiny, nondescript office in Suite 225 located on 730 Sandhill Road in Reno, Nevada.



China Bails Out World's Largest Maker Of Solar Panels

Chinese local governments are facing the prospect of major unemployment problems should the swathe of solar panel makers, that have been subsidized from birth to now-near-death, continue to suffer from US and European tariffs (as well as simple gross mis-allocation of capital amid massive over-capacity). However, as is the way of the mal-investing world today, no barrier to rational economic theory is too low for government status-quo maintenance as it would appear that local banks have been strong-armed into extending loans to keep them alive. As Reuters reports, debt-laden (NYSE-traded) SunTech Power Holdings  - which is close to removal from the exchange due to its dismal equity price - has just received new 'bailout' loans. First, it was a race to debase. Now, we have the race to bailout the world's most worthless companies (especially in channel-stuffed industries) as the New Normal trade wars continue.



The Source of High Inflation: Government Spending...

If we look at what's skyrocketed in price (healthcare, college tuition), we find they are government funded and supported. This is not a coincidence. Inflation is generally viewed as a monetary phenomenon (print money excessively and you get inflation), but let's use a very simple definition: any loss of purchasing power. If your income buys fewer goods and services, for whatever mix of reasons (geopolitical, weather, monetary, fiscal, etc.), that's inflation "on the ground." Government spending and intervention fuel inflation, and the Federal Reserve enables that spending and inflation by monetizing Federal deficits. Eventually, declining wages lead to demand destruction, as households consume fewer goods and services. But inflation that is being driven by government spending will not decrease, as the demand is being supported by a borrow-and-spend Central State supported by a monetize-Federal-debt-til-Doomsday Federal Reserve.



Exposing China's Shadow Banking System

We have in the past attempted to take on the gargantuan task of exposing the multi-trillion Chinese Shadow Banking system (not to be confused with its deposit-free, rehypothecation-full Western equivalent), most recently here. Alas, it is has consistently proven to be virtually impossible to coherently explain something as decentralized and as pervasive as an entire country's underground economy, especially when the country in question is the riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma known as China. Today, however, courtesy of AsiaFinanceNews we get a report as close as possible to the most comprehensive overview of what may soon be (especially if rumors of tumbling Chinese municipal dominoes are correct) the most talked about subject in the financial world: China's Shadow Banking empire.



Goldman's Clients Are Skeptical About The Effectiveness Of QEtc., Worried About Inflation

While it is just as perplexing that Goldman still has clients, what is most surprising in this week's David Kostin "weekly kickstart" is that Goldman's clients have shown a surprising lack of stupidity (this time around) when it comes to the impact of QEtc. Shockingly, and quite accurately, said clients appear to be far more worried about the inflationary shock that endless easing may bring (picture that), than what level the S&P closes for the year. Incidentally with Q3 now over, and just 3 months left until the end of the year, Goldman's chief equity strategist refuses to budge on his year end S&P forecast, which has been at 1250 since the beginning of the year, and remains firmly there. From Goldman: "QE has succeeded in increasing asset prices and inflation expectations but has not convinced investors to raise their US growth expectations. Instead, equity investors have expressed concern about inflation risks while both gold prices and implied inflation rates show similar shifts."



JPMorgan, Bank of America Forgive Debts that No Longer Exist; Wonderful News! But For Whom?

by Mike Shedlock, Global Economic Analysis:
In February, five of the nation’s largest banks agreed on a $25 billion settlement over widespread, systemic mortgage fraud and related issues.
The $25 Billion Deal, announced with huge fanfare, was supposed to help up to a million struggling homeowners, primarily via debt forgiveness.
Let’s flash forward a few months to see how debt forgiveness is working out in practice.
Today, the New York Times notes Banks Forgive Debt That Isn’t There.
Read More @ GlobalEconomicAnalysis.blogspot.com


When it Costs More to be Poor

Inflation has been picking up since the recession ended in 2009. The problem with the CPI increasing year over year with no rise in household incomes is that the standard of living for most Americans erodes every year that incomes do not keep up. Household incomes are back to levels last seen in the mid-1990s while the cost of necessities has gone up. This brings us to our article today that examines the nuts and bolts of what constitutes the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The CPI attempts to measure the changes in price for consumer goods and services. Overall it did a very poor job of measuring the housing bubble because of the owner’s equivalent of rent metric. Today, it is understating inflation because of the excess spending on “wants” that occurred in the 2000s has now shifted to spending on “needs” but is being dragged down by the amount of family spending on needed goods. We will dig deep into this data but suffice it to say that the Fed is creating inflation in items most Americans actually need to live their daily lives and the burden on the poor is actually increasing.
Read More @ MyBudget360.com


G. Edward Griffin on Quick Fixes, the Looming Great War and Loss of Elite Moral Authority

by Anthony Wile, The Daily Bell:
ntroduction: G. Edward Griffin is a film producer, author and political lecturer. He is the founder of Freedom Force International, a libertarian-oriented activist network focused on advancing individual freedom. First released in 1994, Mr. Griffin’s best-selling financial book, The Creature from Jekyll Island, is a no-holds-barred look into the inner workings of the Federal Reserve banking system, or cartel if you will. Mr. Griffin’s literary contributions are especially noteworthy given the validity of his vision and the exciting and troublesome nature of the times in which we live.
Daily Bell: Let’s jump right in. Are we seeing significant price inflation now?
G. Edward Griffin: It depends on how you define significant, I suppose. I think it’s significant. My personal feeling is the price index is greatly distorted. They keep fiddling with the formula to make it look as good as possible but real inflation, at least here in the States, in terms of the major components of what people buy to live day to day, such as groceries, gasoline and clothing, my feeling is that inflation is already at the double digits. I think it’s ten percent if not more. That I think is significant but then again it’s nothing compared to what I think we are going to see.
Read More @ TheDailyBell.com


Too Big To Regulate: Barron’s Gene Epstein on Dodd-Frank

“The reason there is no mention of Fannie (Mae) and Freddie (Mac) in the bill, is because it’s named after two of their puppets: Dodd and Frank.”
from ReasonTV :

Barron’s Economics Editor Gene Epstein lays into the hypocrisy of the aforementioned Dodd-Frank bill at a Freedomfest 2012 panel titled “Too Big to Regulate,” hosted by the Reason Foundation’s Director of Economic Research Anthony Randazzo. The panel focused on problems with over regulation in the financial services industry, with a specific focus on the Dodd-Frank legislation.


On the Road to Benghazi

by Clarice Feldman, American Thinker:
In retrospect, the Democratic Convention highlighted a liar, Elizabeth Warren. She was hired by Harvard law school because she lied about her ethnicity to gain affirmative action benefits, exaggerated her scholarship which was shoddy, practiced law for years in Massachusetts out of her law school office without being a member of that state’s bar — and possibly at the time a member of no bar at all. She gummed on before the crowd about working for the middle class hiding from the audience that she had made hundreds of thousands of dollars representing big corporations in disputes against steel workers and asbestos victims among others. This week, Professor William Jacobson exposed all of that.
But she was hardly the only world class mythomaniac from Harvard law school on the podium at that Convention, the theme of which was Obama the bold slayer of Bin Laden and destroyer of Al Qaeda, the experienced and aggressive counter terrorist expert. After all, his domestic policies, are so bad they were hardly anything about which to spike the ball so the brain trust picked international anti-terrorist hero theme.
Read More @ AmericanThinker.com


Democracy and Force

by Ludwig von Mises, Mises:
The champions of democracy in the eighteenth century argued that only monarchs and their ministers are morally depraved, injudicious, and evil. The people, however, are altogether good, pure, and noble, and have, besides, the intellectual gifts needed in order always to know and to do what is right. This is, of course, all nonsense, no less so than the flattery of the courtiers who ascribed all good and noble qualities to their princes. The people are the sum of all individual citizens; and if some individuals are not intelligent and noble, then neither are all together.
Since mankind entered the age of democracy with such high-flown expectations, it is not surprising that disillusionment should soon have set in. It was quickly discovered that the democracies committed at least as many errors as the monarchies and aristocracies had. The comparison that people drew between the men whom the democracies placed at the head of the government and those whom the emperors and kings, in the exercise of their absolute power, had elevated to that position, proved by no means favorable to the new wielders of power. The French are wont to speak of “killing with ridicule.” And indeed, the statesmen representative of democracy soon rendered it everywhere ridiculous. Those of the old regime had displayed a certain aristocratic dignity, at least in their outward demeanor. The new ones, who replaced them, made themselves contemptible by their behavior.
Read More @ Mises.ca


But What of Truth

by Dr. Paul Craig Roberts, PaulCraigRoberts.org:
Poetry can often achieve the same communication with
far fewer words than prose. This poem sums it up.

BUT WHAT OF TRUTH by Hal O’Leary
For now, the loss of truth’s the only known.
The truth’s become old fashioned. Could this be?
With lies, we have decided to condone,
Just what the end will be, I cannot see.
The truth is now old fashioned. Could this be,
Like chastity and people you can trust?
Just what the end will be, I cannot see,
For those believing life was somehow just …
Read More @ PaulCraigRoberts.org


John Stephenson’s Predictions for Avoiding an Economic Crash

by Zig Lambo, Gold Seek:
While the markets have been on edge for the past year or so and have left most investors bewildered as to what to do next, portfolio manager and author John Stephenson thinks that the course is set for higher gold prices. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Stephenson explains why he thinks we will avoid a worldwide economic crash and how the continuing QEs and foreign government bailouts will push more investors into the gold and mining share markets as gold moves above $2,000/ounce.

The Gold Report: Since you last spoke with The Gold Report in January, we’ve had a seemingly self-feeding cycle of expectations, plans, bailouts, lack of results and back-to-the-drawing-board. Do you see any ultimate resolution to the world’s economic dilemma, or will we somehow just muddle through, or have to go through an actual crash of some sort?

John Stephenson: I think we’ll basically muddle through from here. We’ve had several important developments over the last few weeks. The Federal Reserve’s Quantitative Easing 3 (QE3) $40 billion program targeting mainly mortgage securities has the potential to move the needle. There was a big rally to risk assets when that was announced but that has faded somewhat.
Read More @ GoldSeek.com


Israel and US Use False Flags and Race-Specific Bioweapons to Attack Iran

Zionist-patsy and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is warning the UN General Assembly that the world must stop Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon. He has become impatient with President Obama who appears to not want to join in on the Zionist endeavor to destroy the Islamic world.


CIA-Sponsored Cyber Attacks to Legitimize DHS Big Brother Control Grid

To justify the need for a cybersecurity legislation that will enable the US government to spy on every American citizen without purpose other than to create a totalitarian control grid, false flag attacks are incorrectly portrayed by the Obama administration in order to scare Congress into following tail behind this globalist puppet.


Deviant Investor – Letter to My Grandson

I hope you read and consider these thoughts and, more importantly, I hope you direct yourself in a positive and self-fulfilling manner after pondering the bits of wisdom I have to share.


Citizens Around the World Protest Austerity

Around the world, we are seeing the same story repeated again and again, as countries crumble, economies collapse, the poor become poorer, the rich become richer and the powerful gain more power. Tens of thousands of people around the world chose today to make their voices heard.

Communication Items You’ll Want Before TSHTF – Part 2

It’s not a question of “IF” TPTB will shut the internet down it’s “WHEN”? The purpose of these articles it to create awareness in becoming independent of the internet and become your own beacon of news by maintaining contact through the coming difficulties.








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Helicopter Ben Flies Again

by Alasdair Macleod, Gold Money:
Some of the dust from Ben Bernanke’s “QE3” announcement on 13 September has settled. The Federal Reserve is now committed to spending $40 billion a month on agency mortgage-backed securities – an open-ended plan. It is also extending extremely low interest rates (together zero interest rate policy and Operation Twist) until mid-2015 by buying an extra $45bn of longer-term securities (mostly government debt though this is not explicitly stated).
It appears there are two broad objectives: to support the housing market and therefore consumer confidence, and to finance the government deficit while locking in low long-term interest rates.
Experience tells us that the only increase in money supply finding its way into the economy is by welfare spending. The banks and also their credit-worthy customers are simply risk-averse. They either leave this money with the Fed in the form of excess reserves, or they speculate with it in capital markets. It is no accident that derivatives have expanded dramatically in recent years, and large amounts of QE money have been recycled into other more dynamic economies offering higher returns. Banks think they do better by not lending money to cash-strapped Americans and their businesses.
Read More @ GoldMoney.com


John Stephenson’s Predictions for Avoiding an Economic Crash

by Zig Lambo, Gold Seek:
While the markets have been on edge for the past year or so and have left most investors bewildered as to what to do next, portfolio manager and author John Stephenson thinks that the course is set for higher gold prices. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Stephenson explains why he thinks we will avoid a worldwide economic crash and how the continuing QEs and foreign government bailouts will push more investors into the gold and mining share markets as gold moves above $2,000/ounce.
The Gold Report: Since you last spoke with The Gold Report in January, we’ve had a seemingly self-feeding cycle of expectations, plans, bailouts, lack of results and back-to-the-drawing-board. Do you see any ultimate resolution to the world’s economic dilemma, or will we somehow just muddle through, or have to go through an actual crash of some sort?
John Stephenson: I think we’ll basically muddle through from here. We’ve had several important developments over the last few weeks. The Federal Reserve’s Quantitative Easing 3 (QE3) $40 billion program targeting mainly mortgage securities has the potential to move the needle. There was a big rally to risk assets when that was announced but that has faded somewhat.
Read More @ GoldSeek.com


MUST WATCH Video: Preview of Univision’s “bombshell” report on Fast & Furious





The Obama administration clearly hoped that the Department of Justice’s Inspector General report on Operation Fast and Furious would be the last word on the scandal. which has been tied to hundreds of deaths in Mexico and the murders of two American law-enforcement officials. However, a new report from Univision to be broadcast tomorrow, previewed here by ABC News, may put the issue back on the front pages. One source called Univision’s findings the “holy grail” that Congressional investigators have been seeking:
Read More @ HotAir.com


Goldman's Clients Are Skeptical About The Effectiveness Of QEtc., Worried About Inflation

While it is just as perplexing that Goldman still has clients, what is most surprising in this week's David Kostin "weekly kickstart" is that Goldman's clients have shown a surprising lack of stupidity (this time around) when it comes to the impact of QEtc. Shockingly, and quite accurately, said clients appear to be far more worried about the inflationary shock that endless easing may bring (picture that), than what level the S&P closes for the year. Incidentally with Q3 now over, and just 3 months left until the end of the year, Goldman's chief equity strategist refuses to budge on his year end S&P forecast, which has been at 1250 since the beginning of the year, and remains firmly there. From Goldman: "QE has succeeded in increasing asset prices and inflation expectations but has not convinced investors to raise their US growth expectations. Instead, equity investors have expressed concern about inflation risks while both gold prices and implied inflation rates show similar shifts."




Fill your Pantry...

Two No-Brainer Ways to Play Rising Food Prices

by Simon Black, Daily Reckoning.com.au:
Last summer, two researchers from the New England Complex Systems Institute published a short paper examining the correlation between rising food prices and civil unrest. It was a timely analysis, to say the least. A number of food riots were occurring throughout the world, not to mention waves of revolution sparked by the high cost of food.
This is nothing new; throughout history whenever people have struggled to put food on the table for their families, social unrest has been a common consequence.
The French Revolution is a classic example; after decades of unsustainable fiscal and monetary practices that wrecked the French economy, the harvest season and subsequent winter of 1788 were particularly harsh. People went hungry, and it ultimately started the revolution.
The researchers’ analysis went a step further, though; they modeled the relationship between food prices and social unrest to reach a simple conclusion whenever the UN Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO)’s global food price index climbs above 210, conditions ripen for social unrest.
Read More @ DailyReckoning.com.au


Is The Money-Laundering Driven Real Estate "Boom" Ending?

One by one all the money-laundering loopholes in a broke world are coming to an end. First it was Swiss bank accounts, which for centuries guaranteed the depositors absolute secrecy, and as a result saw money inflows from all the wealthiest savers in the world, who felt truly safe their wealth (obtained by legal means or otherwise) would not be redistributed forcefully. In the ecosystem of finance, Switzerland was the depositor bank. Then 2008 happened, and starting with the US, shortly to be followed by every other insolvent country, demands were issued for a full list of people who had used Zurich and Geneva bank vaults to avoid the risk of asset taxation, capital controls and confiscation on their own native soil. The result was the end of the Swiss banking sector as the ultimate target of all global money laundering. In the ensuing power vacuum, others have sprung up to take its place, most notably Singapore, but its days as a tax-haven are numbered by how long it takes China to fall face first into a hard landing at which point no saving on the Pacific seaboard will be safe.
Now, it is the turn of real estate.


Wealth Inequality And The Income Inequality Is Far Larger Than 20 or 30 Years Ago

Admin at Marc Faber Blog - 2 hours ago
Basically we have one thing for sure, is that today the wealth inequality and the income inequality between say the 1 percent wealthiest people and the 99 percent that are less wealthy is far larger than it was 20 or 30 years ago. And very clearly money printing historically has always benefited a few at the expense of the many. - *excerpt from a recent interview on asset bubbles * *Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.*
 

Jim Rogers On Investing in Russia, North Korea, Zimbabwe and much more

 

Robert Wenzel talks to Rogers about topics Rogers has never discussed before in the media. On the show, Rogers explains why he considers North Korea a top place to invest and the one event that would cause him to invest in Zimbabwe.

China's Great Wall Of Suds: Chemical Spill Results In 50 Foot Foam Tsunami


This is just the second time in three days that China's province of Guangdong is being discussed on Zero Hedge. On Thursday we wrote that the mega city of Dongguang, once Guangdong richest, is now on the verge of bankruptcy as China's hard landing begins to take its toll. Today, we learn that instead of the rivers running red once all hell breaks loose in China, the color will be soapy white. Specifically, following a chemical spill in Xintang, in the provine of Guandong, the result was a 50 foot tsunami of foam which was swept down a river by heavy rainfall, causing widespread panic and evacuations. It also caused the following brilliant explanation from a Chinese spokesman: "People are right to be cautious but it is harmless. It made very large bubbles when it went over a waterfall, but apart from one or two dead fish, it is harmless." We can't wait to hear Chinese justifications of mushroom clouds: "aside from one or two billion dead people, they give you a healthy green afterglow"?


Spanish bank rescue would cost almost €60-billion: audit

by Miles Johnson & Patrick Jenkins, TheGlobeAndMail.com:
Spanish banks will need close to €60-billion ($77.24-billion U.S.) in new capital, according to the results of an independently conducted stress test of the country’s 14 largest lenders that Madrid hopes will dispel investor doubts over the true extent of losses in the sector.
Seven out of the 14 Spanish banks under review failed, according to the results of the three-month so-called “bottom up” review, which involved the individual assessment of 115,000 loans making up 11 per cent of the value of the sector’s total credit assets.
While the bulk of the failing banks were institutions already nationalized or that had taken state aid, Banco Popular, Spain’s sixth biggest bank by assets, will need to raise €3.2-billion according to the test, just below its €3.58-billion market value – meaning it will probably need state aid to survive.
Madrid hopes the tests, conducted by the consultancy Oliver Wyman aided by the Big Four auditors under the supervision of the European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund, will finally restore confidence among investors that no more surprises lurk in the Spanish banking sector.
Read More @ TheGlobeAndMail.com


The Law Of Diminishing Returns

In the discipline of rational economics - and even in the “economics” which has sadly taken its place - the law of diminishing returns applies to productive processes. It states that with all other factors remaining the same, the addition of more units of one factor of production will at some  point result in a lower yield per unit. There is always an optimum combination of factors of production which yields the highest return per unit of production. Increase one of these units beyond that optimum and the yield provided starts to drop. This does not necessarily mean that the amount of output drops. It means that the output is now not being produced in the most efficient manner. Factors of production are being wasted.




United States of ALEC



Master media decoder Kathleen Hall Jamieson, director of the University of Pennsylvania’s Annenberg Public Policy Center and founder of FactCheck.org, joins Bill
to discuss a recent Annenberg Center report that reveals widespread ignorance of the presidential candidates’ major policy positions.
The two also view and assess the veracity of Obama and Romney’s recent TV ads, and talk about the potential impact of upcoming presidential and vice presidential debates.
“We’ve been studying presidential debates for a long time as a scholarly community,” Jamieson tells Bill. “And to our surprise, we consistently find that those who watch debates, regardless of the level of knowledge they come in with, come out with more accurate knowledge as a general group.”
“What we need from the candidates in the debates is not simply greater adherence to facticity about their own records and their opponents records, but also more disclosure about what they’re actually going to do in governance.”


Romney’s Neocons


Will Mitt Romney and his Neocon entourage be even worse than Obama? Eric Margolis talks to Lew Rockwell about the Middle East.
Click HERE to Listen to the Audio


US Press Still Ignoring JPMorgan’s Biggest Money Laundering Offenses

from Silver Vigilante:
The Vatican has been embroiled in conspiracy since the Vatileaks scandal of last Fall. And, currently, the trial of the butler of Pope Benedict, who is accused of leaking secret documents, is underway. Motivated by a desire to expose corruption and greed from within, the butler released the documents to journalists. In them, skulduggery and intrigue at the highest levels of the Catholic Church should have served to surprise nobody. Mr Gabriele, the defendant, said he was appalled by the “evil and corruption” of the Church, which he called “the kingdom of hypocrisy.” What is being missed by the US media, to be sure, is the closeness of the US’s biggest bank, JPMorgan, to Vatican City disregard for moral hazard and law. Sure, the press has recently covered JPMorgan failing to comply with anti-money laundering laws, but JPMorgan has been implicated (not legally) in a laundering scandal much more grave than the ones being investigated by US authorities. While currently the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency is looking into JPMorgan’s systems designed to monitor money laundering, there has been no word in the US press (except for here at Silver Vigilante) regarding JP Morgan laundering money for the Vatican.
Read More @ Silver Vigilante


Strategic pivot to nowhere

by Harlan Ullman, UPI.com:
The author says the Obama administration is making a defense and geopolitical “pivot to nowhere” and unless it is redirected, few of the consequences will be good.
When Britain and France launched pre-emptive military strikes last year that would eventually depose Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi and his regime, one of President Barack Obama’s most senior advisers described U.S. involvement as “leading from behind,” a most unfortunate descriptor that haunted the administration much as George W. Bush’s “mission accomplished” label early in the 2003 Iraq war repeatedly hounded him.
This January, in announcing a new defense strategy, the White House made another blunder. This strategy was proclaimed as “a strategic pivot to Asia.”
Almost immediately, the administration reversed gears. No one easily accepts responsibility for a major gaffe and “rebalancing” became the palliative excuse.
Read More @ UPI.com


Islamic Revolution… in Saudi Arabia?

by Marin Katusa, Casey Research:
In its later days, the Soviet Union was desperate for strong leadership. Instead the country found itself with a succession of weak leaders who kept dying on the job.
Leonid Brezhnev helmed the country for 18 years until his death in 1982. Yuri Andropov took over after Brezhnev’s passing but suffered renal failure within a few months. He continued to govern from the hospital for another year before dying just 15 months after taking office.
The next leader of the USSR did not even last that long. Konstantin Chernenko was 72 years old and in poor health when sworn in as First Secretary in early 1984. In March 1985, after only 13 months in office, Chernenko died, the third Soviet leader to die in less than three years.
When Ronald Reagan was informed of Chernenko’s passing, the US president supposedly said, “How am I supposed to get any place with the Russians if they keep dying on me?”
Read More @ CaseyResearch.com


Why Qatar wants to invade Syria

By Pepe Escobar, Asia Times.com:
Make no mistake; the Emir of Qatar is on a roll.
What an entrance at the UN General Assembly in New York; Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa al-Thani called for an Arab coalition of the willing-style invasion of Syria, no less. [1]
In the words of the Emir, “It is better for the Arab countries themselves to interfere out of their national, humanitarian, political and military duties, and to do what is necessary to stop the bloodshed in Syria.” He stressed Arab countries had a “military duty” to invade.
What he means by “Arab countries” is the petromonarchies of the Gulf Counter-Revolution Club (GCC), previously known as Gulf Cooperation Council – with implicit help from Turkey, with which the GCC has a wide-ranging strategic agreement. Every shisha house in the Middle East knows that Doha, Riyadh and Ankara have been weaponizing/financing/providing logistical help to the various strands of the armed Syrian opposition engaged in regime change.
Read More @ ATimes.com


Credit Bubble Bulletin

by Doug Noland, PrudentBear.com:
The focus of analysis this week shifts back to Europe. My thesis remains that the unfolding European debt and economic crises provide a potential catalyst for a bout of problematic global de-risking/de-leveraging. An argument can be made that the recent rally and short squeeze throughout global risk markets actually heightens market vulnerability.
I have expected that policy would have little success in halting the bad debt cancer spreading methodically from Europe’s periphery to its core. I have also posited that with core country Spain enveloped in Credit tumult, crisis momentum had passed a critical juncture. It is worth recalling that Spanish 10-yr yields reached 7.5% in late-July, as Italian yields surged to 6.6%. An important part of the thesis, as well, has been that the European crisis would expose Bubble fragilities fermenting in the “developing” economies, especially in China, Brazil and India. There has been important confirmation in the thesis, both from financial and economic perspectives.
Read More @ PrudentBear.com


Gold exports to Iran help Turkey trim trade deficit by 30%

from Bullion Street:
Significant increase in Turkey’s Gold exports, bulk of it to Iran helped country’s trade deficit to fall 30 percent in August, according to Turkish Statistics Institute.
TSI said Turkey’s trade deficit fell to $5.86 billion,compared with $7.89bn deficit in July.
Gold exports in the first eight months jumped more than four-fold to $11.2bn as Iranians turn to the precious metal to protect savings and, potentially, to trade as Western sanctions aimed at forcing the Islamic republic to curb its nuclear programme tighten.
Overall exports to the United Arab Emirates jumped eight-fold to $2.23bn, making the UAE Turkey’s biggest export destination in August.
Exports to Africa and the Middle East rose 43 percent and 63 percent respectively, while exports to Europe, Turkey’s main trading partner, fell 9 percent.
Read More @ BullionStreet.com


A Few Remarks on Elections

by Pater Tenebrarum, Acting-Man.com:
There Is No Choice
We have previously pointed out that there is actually no choice at all for the US electorate at the upcoming presidential election. This is because in terms of the policies they support, it is nigh impossible to differentiate between the two candidates. We were not just making an unsupported assertion – we offered proof, by showing a video in which they speak for themselves. If one cannot rely on their own words to represent what they stand for, what should one rely on?
Of course it has often been that way in the past too, but usually one only finds out for sure after the election, not already before it. However, the Obamney – clones are so glaringly similar that this time there can be no doubt about it from the very outset. Anyone who actually votes in this election (except if they log a protest vote for a write-in candidate) is basically wasting his time. Not only that, they are announcing that they are gullible and that they meekly support the status quo. As George Carlin once said, ‘they lose the right to complain‘.
Read More @ Acting-Man.com


SS and the Beach

by Bruce Krasting, Bruce Krasting Blog:
ther than the fact that this is an incredibly big number, there is nothing eye-opening about the payout. SS missed hitting the $65b milestone by a fraction in September. In November, it will be higher again. $70b will be hit by December 2013. The ladder to higher payouts never stops.
$65b is a very big number:
-The monthly SS payout is bigger than the market cap of some well know companies, including: Amex, 3M, US Bankcorp, Amgen, eBay and  Caterpillar. Goldman Sachs is worth a measly $54b. SS could buy the whole thing with just three-weeks worth of payout.
-The annual cost for SS is greater than the
ridiculousmonster market cap for Apple. If SS used its muscle to buy big cap stocks, it could buy up all of the shares of Microsoft, Wal-Mart and Google in less than a year.
The annual SS payout is about the same as the GDP of the Netherlands. It is well larger than the output of either Turkey, Switzerland or Saudi Arabia. In 2013 SS will spend more than the GDP of Indonesia, a country of 250m people.
Read More @ BruceKrasting.blogspot.com


Communication Items You’ll Want Before TSHTF – Part 2

It’s not a question of “IF” TPTB will shut the internet down it’s “WHEN”? The purpose of these articles it to create awareness in becoming independent of the internet and become your own beacon of news by maintaining contact through the coming difficulties.


Important Updates: Markets, Gold, Silver, Crude, U.S. Dollar

from Gregory Mannarino:







Total Donations over the last 3 1/2 years. approx $165.00 (Thank You).  
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Saturday, September 29, 2012

Continued Destruction Of Money & Its Impact On Key Markets


On the heels of Spain announcing plans to borrow $266.5 billion next year, today Michael Pento writes about how the massive money printing is impacting key markets, and what to expect going forward. Pento has been incredibly accurate regarding his predictions of central bank moves. He now warns, “… investors should never fight a central bank that has pledged to do everything in their power to prop up asset prices.”
Michael Pento writes exclusively for King World News to let readers know what to expect from central planners, and how it will impact the economy and key markets. Here is Pento’s piece: “Stock markets around the world continue to levitate, despite the fact that the fundamentals behind the global economy continue to deteriorate.
Michael Pento continues @ KingWorldNews.com


Porter Stansberry Visits With the Lovely & Informed Lauren Lyster, About Dollar Collapse & Russian Gold


Stansberry Radio welcomes its first ever female guest, RT America anchor Lauren Lyster. Lyster is the host of Capital Account – one of the most popular economic shows on the Internet. This isn’t the normal Q&A debate listeners are used to hearing… you won’t want to miss the game we played with Lauren!


Bullion Buying Public Still Groggy From Sidelined Fed in 2012, Though US Bullion Sales Move Higher in September

Jobs at the US Mint are always safest in the midst of Quantitative Easing. Especially monumental QE’s to infinity. With major industrial nations racing each other to the bottom of the ocean in a printing free-for-all, it is likely that the amount of ocean explored will quickly rise from 10%, as monetarists the world over greet themselves in a scuba diving orgy of once strong, now drowned, nations. Anyway, the US Mint posted some of its strongest sales of the year, although sales are down from a year ago. The US Mint’s American gold and silver eagle bullion coins reached their second highest monthly total for the year in September, as higher monthly totals were only reached in January, a month traditionally strong for sales. September 2012 saw 3,255,000 1 oz. American Silver Eagle bullion coins sold, up 13.41% from the prior month, making September the second consecutive month to see an increase in sales. The September 2012 total is below the September 2011 total, when 4,460,500 coins were sold. Supply shortages have not been a problem as they were in the run-up to $50 silver in spring of 2011.
Read More @ Silver Vigilante


Bill Moyers: ALEC, the Secretive Corporate-Legislative Body Writing US Laws


Why Three Kennedys Were Assassinated


Don Miller talks to Lew Rockwell about the real nature of the American regime. Who was behind the murders that changed the course of America? You can read Don’s powerful article Pursuing Truth on the Kennedy Assassinations, here.
Click HERE to Listen to the Audio


Exclusive: CNN Exposed! Caught Producing “State Sponsored News” in Bahrain

by Mike Krieger, via TheAlexJonesChannel:

The Amber Lyon story is just the latest in a series of articles that expose the total Joseph Goebbels like censorship rampant in mainstream media today. The first one I posted several weeks ago exposed how the NY Times basically just regurgitates whatever government officials tell them, while the other showcased how an NPR reporter covering D.C. had to leave and do her own thing out of frustration. This is precisely why alternative media sites are taking off. They provide the only outlets left for genuine journalism.
So back to Amber. Back in March 2011, CNN sent a four person team to Bahrain to cover the Arab Spring. Once there, the crew was the subject of extreme intimidation amongst other things, but they were able to record some fantastic footage. As Glenn Greenwald of the UK’s Guardian writes in his blockbuster article from today:
“In the segment, Lyon interviewed activists as they explicitly described their torture at the hands of government forces, while family members recounted their relatives’ abrupt disappearances. She spoke with government officials justifying the imprisonment of activists. And the segment featured harrowing video footage of regime forces shooting unarmed demonstrators, along with the mass arrests of peaceful protesters. In sum, the early 2011 CNN segment on Bahrain presented one of the starkest reports to date of the brutal repression embraced by the US-backed regime.
Despite these accolades, and despite the dangers their own journalists and their sources endured to produce it, CNN International (CNNi) never broadcast the documentary. Even in the face of numerous inquiries and complaints from their own employees inside CNN, it continued to refuse to broadcast the program or even provide any explanation for the decision. To date, this documentary has never aired on CNN International.
Having just returned from Bahrain, Lyon says she “saw first-hand that these regime claims were lies, and I couldn’t believe CNN was making me put what I knew to be government lies into my reporting.”


Iran neighbors arming-up, Bahrain a ‘good customer’ of US

from 21stCenturyWireTV:

Bahrain’s Shia opposition says a teenage protester has been killed in violent clashes with police in the capital Manama. Police fired tear-gas and stun grenades to disperse demonstrators, who were throwing stones and petrol bombs. The West will always turn a blind eye to real repression in Bahrain. They have been demanding equal rights from the Sunni monarchy for over a year now. RT talks to to Patrick Henningsen, who is a geopolitical analyst for the “UK Column”, a current affairs newspaper and website.


SOLA 2.3 Mass Mind Control

from TruthNeverTold :



Ambassador Shapiro: U.S. Made “Necessary Preparations” for Iran Attack

by Kurt Nimmo, InfoWars:

Despite engaging in a shouting match with Bibi Netanyahu before a congressional delegation in Jerusalem last month, the U.S. ambassador to Israel, Dan Shapiro, told The Times of Israel on Thursday the United States and Israel are on the same page.
“We’re totally focused on the same goal, which is preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon. We’re in the closest possible consultations at the highest levels of our government,” Shapiro said after Netanyahu made his “red line” speech at the United Nations. “We’re absolutely focused on achieving that goal together. And we’ve been very well coordinated until now and I think we will remain very well coordinated.”
During the address, Netanyahu demanded the U.S. and the international community establish a red line that if crossed by Iran would result in an attack. The Israeli prime minister said the United States and Israel will attack “before Iran completes the second stage of nuclear enrichment where it’s a few months away or a few weeks away from amassing enough enriched uranium to make a nuclear weapon.”
Read More @ InfoWars.com


Most Extensive Cyber Attack On American Banks Ever! Launched From The Middle East & Happening Now!

[Ed. Note: MSM says that Iran is cyber-attacking our big banks? What's even scarier is that 90% of people believe "news" like this from ABC...sounds like we need another war, folks!]
from MOXNEWSd0tC0M:



Determining the value of gold

from Gold Money:

When considering whether gold is a value investment, one needs to first recognise that gold does not have a balance sheet, management team, price-earnings ratio or any of the other things one needs to analyse before making an investment. Also, gold does not generate any cash flow, so it does not pay a dividend. We can therefore conclude from these observations that gold is not an investment. Indeed, it is something different, which means that normal investment analytical techniques cannot be used to determine gold’s value.
Value of course arises from an item’s usefulness, and gold is useful because it is money. Though only used as currency these days in a few places like Turkey and Vietnam, gold is still useful in economic calculation, or in other words, measuring the price of goods and services.
Read More @ GoldMoney.com


AMERICA’S NUCLEAR PLANT CRISIS

from TheSONSOFLIBERTYMC:


Four Simultaneous Monsanto Attacks on Organic Food in California and A Monsanto Hostage

by Sam Jennings, Activist Post

There are at least four major active Monsanto attacks on food in California going on right now. The last listed exposes the iron fist Monsanto tries to hide.
1. Monsanto is pouring millions into defeating Prop 37.
Prop 37 calls for the labeling of genetically engineered (GMO) ingredients in food. Monsanto lawyer and VP, Michael Taylor, was responsible when Clinton put him in at the FDA, for the first GMO in the food chain – rBGH, a GM-bovine hormone linked to a large increase in risk of breast, colon and prostate cancer, for deregulating the approval process for GMOs, and for keeping GMOs unlabeled (even coming up with a white paper for Monsanto on how to sue farmers for attempting to label their milk as not based on rBGH. It was during this time at the FDA that 40,000 documents were hidden which showed extreme toxicity of GMOs, before Taylor arranged for GMOs to begin to be planted regardless.
Read More @ Activist Post


People against NDAA Unite!

from R11110000:

Check Out LIBERTY CLASSROOM & Learn Ron Paul’s Economic Platform (Austrian Economics) w/ Tom Woods: http://www.libertyclassroom.com/dap/a/?a=1978

Get involved form: http://www.peopleagainstndaa.com/join-us
Main Site: http://www.peopleagainstndaa.com/


Communication Items You’ll Want Before TSHTF

by Dan and Sheila, TheSurvivalMom.com:

Having good radio equipment is important for many reasons.  What will you do when there is no Internet?  What will you do when there is no cellphone service?  How will you know what’s going on in other parts of the country, let alone the world?  Radio signals don’t need an intermediary, they just bounce all over the earth and are received by radios.
A 10 meter radio is very common and inexpensive, as well as their low-rent cousins, CB radios.  Many can be found on ebay for under $200 and may already have the additional frequencies installed.  Also any good SSB (single side band) CB radio can have what they call “Extra Channels Added” by  any good tech.  (Lots of mods here.) CB shops at truck stops  often times have used free band radios for sale at good prices, but check Ebay for prices on used radios before going.
What you need to know about frequencies
Any frequency on the radio can be used in various modes, the most common being AM, Single Side Band (SSB), Upper Side Band (USB) and CW. CW means constant wave mode, which is the mode used for Morse Code and RTTY.  It is possible to send several and receive multiple  pages of text files via RTTY.  The software needed can be found here. Radios with a  CW mode like the RCI 2950 (et al) and the Uniden HR2510 have the CW mode installed.  There are other models that also have CW mode, however no CB radios have CW mode.  You can send pictures and text files to others, similar to a fax. This will be an excellent way for the people to maintain contact with others during times of crisis or total collapse.
Read More @ TheSurvivalMom.com


Google Censorship: A Manufactured Affair?

by Anthony Wile, The Daily Bell:

In an article entitled, “How the Courts Are Curbing YouTube,” the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation explains to us that judicial pressure is being applied to YouTube to continually expand self-censorship. YouTube is owned by huge search engine provider, Google. We are supposed to be concerned that Google’s “guidelines are running afoul of local laws in different parts of the world” and generating these reactions. But if we look beneath the surface, we find a different scenario altogether.
We begin to see this is an elite dominant social theme, a promotion designed to bring about a certain result, one apparently designed to reduce certain kinds of information available on the Web. What we find, in fact, is a kind of orchestrated dance whereby the very forces that are supposedly anti-censorship are helping manufacture episodes that further promote it. If we understand what is at work here, it helps us comprehend the larger matrix of control that has been woven around our lives and times.
What we call the Internet Reformation – ‘Net-based debunkery of “accepted wisdom” – provides us the tools to better understand this hidden reality. The powers-that-be (those who prefer the status quo) are uncomfortable with the raucous world of the Internet and have undertaken a campaign against it that seems to stretch back a decade or more.
Read More @ TheDailyBell.com


Total Donations over the last 3 1/2 years. approx $165.00 (Thank You).  
 Donations will help defray the operational costs. Paypal, a leading provider of secure online money transfers, will handle the donations. Thank you for your contribution.


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Widening JPMorgan CIO Loss Could Be Next ‘Shock’ Event

from Silver Doctors:

The market seems to have completely forgotten the fact that JPM’s massive CIO positions have yet to be closed.  Unfortunately for Mr. Dimon, at least $90 billion in potential losses remain, and the strategy of slowing unwinding the positions will blow up in The Morgue’s face and exponentially exacerbate JPM’s losses with any further downturn in the economy.
The JP Morgan (JPM) trading blunder could result in a $100 billion loss, a contagion of its massive portfolio, and even the wipeout of its entire asset base. Even worse, these extremely risky and potentially-illegal actions on behalf of the CIO office and the “London Whale” could be the unexpected “shock” that breaks the market, derails the Fed’s huge monetary stimulus, and sends us back into a global recession.
There is one event that may ultimately solve the mystery of the global economy. This event would not only plunge the economy back into a deep recession and lose investors hundreds of billions of dollars, but it could bring about the collapse of some of the world’s largest financial institutions and even render central bank stimulus and QE completely ineffective and futile. This event is by no means a guarantee; its probability is even likely under 5 percent. But this event has all the necessary ingredients to culminate into a major panic. Together with slowing global economies and an extremely unstable financial system, this could be the next Lehman Brothers.
Read More @ Silver Doctors


Spain releases its 2013 budget showing a need of 60 billion for its banks/More public sector rioting in Spain,Italy, and Greece/ Big transporation strike in South Africa

by Harvey Organ, HarveyOrgan.Blogspot.ca:

Gold closed down by $10.70 to $1771.10. Silver also fell by 10 cents to $34.52. Generally on first day notice both silver and gold rise. However the backdrop of problems in Europe weighed in on gold and silver as the bankers continued to push the sell button. Spain introduced its 2013 budget showing that they are in need of 60 billion euros to shore up the banks. They need much more and the markets certainly threw a tantrum as European boures were deeply in the red. The public sectors in Greece, Italy and Spain are witnessing daily rioting on the streets. Finally Fitch warns that the UK is in jeopardy of losing its coveted AAA rating. We will cover these and other stories but first……………
Let us head over to the comex and assess today which happens to be first day notice.
The total gold comex OI rose an astonishing 11,585 contracts on Friday. It certainly negates the loss of 8900 contracts on Thursday. The active month of October saw its OI settle at 6344 contracts and thus at first glance, 634400 oz of gold looks to be standing or 19.7 tonnes of gold. This is very high for October as most players bypass this month and head straight to December. The open interest is an important tool for us as it is a measure of demand for gold.
Read More @ HarveyOrgan.Blogspot.ca


Iran’s Imminent Nuclear Weapon

from Azizonomics:
 
Here’s some context behind the claims that Iran will imminently possess a nuclear weapon.
It started a long time ago (but not, unfortunately, in a galaxy far, far away):
1984: Soon after West German engineers visit the unfinished Bushehr nuclear reactor, Jane’s Defence Weekly quotes West German intelligence sources saying that Iran’s production of a bomb “is entering its final stages.”US Senator Alan Cranston claims Iran is seven years away from making a weapon.
Seven years away? And did they have a bomb in 1991?
Read More @ Azizonomics.com


President Obama a ‘war criminal’ worse than Bush, says Ralph Nader

by J. D. Heyes, Natural News:

To consumer and political activist Ralph Nader, President George W. Bush – whom he ran against for president on third-party and Independent tickets in 2000 and 2004 – was a serial offender. But President Barack Obama is, in many instances, worse, he says, even going so far as to label the current White House occupant a “war criminal.”
In a recent interview with Politico, Nader – the guy responsible for a number of automobile safety standards throughout the 1960s and 1970s – said on issues of military and foreign policy, especially, Obama’s policies were far worse than his predecessor, “in the sense that he’s more aggressive, more illegal worldwide.”
“He’s gone beyond [Bush] in drones, for example,” Nader said. “He thinks the world is his plate, that national sovereignties mean nothing, drones can go anywhere. They can kill anybody that he suspects and every Tuesday he makes the call on who lives and who dies, supposed suspects in places like Yemen and Pakistan and Afghanistan, and that is a war crime and he ought to be held to account.”
Read More @ NaturalNews.com


US Press Still Ignoring JPMorgan’s Biggest Money Laundering Offenses

from Silver Vigilante:

The Vatican has been embroiled in conspiracy since the Vatileaks scandal of last Fall. And, currently, the trial of the butler of Pope Benedict, who is accused of leaking secret documents, is underway. Motivated by a desire to expose corruption and greed from within, the butler released the documents to journalists.  In them, skulduggery and intrigue at the highest levels of the Catholic Church should have served to surprise nobody. Mr Gabriele, the defendant, said he was appalled by the “evil and corruption” of the Church, which he called “the kingdom of hypocrisy.” What is being missed by the US media, to be sure, is the closeness of the US’s biggest bank, JPMorgan, to Vatican City disregard for moral hazard and law. Sure, the press has recently covered JPMorgan failing to comply with anti-money laundering laws, but JPMorgan has been implicated (not legally) in a laundering scandal much more grave than the ones being investigated by US authorities.  While currently the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency is looking into JPMorgan’s systems designed to monitor money laundering, there has been no word in the US press (except for here at Silver Vigilante) regarding JP Morgan laundering money for the Vatican.
JP Morgan Complicit in Vatican Bank Money Laundering:
Read More @ Silver Vigilante



The Law Of Diminishing Returns

In the discipline of rational economics - and even in the “economics” which has sadly taken its place - the law of diminishing returns applies to productive processes. It states that with all other factors remaining the same, the addition of more units of one factor of production will at some  point result in a lower yield per unit. There is always an optimum combination of factors of production which yields the highest return per unit of production. Increase one of these units beyond that optimum and the yield provided starts to drop. This does not necessarily mean that the amount of output drops. It means that the output is now not being produced in the most efficient manner. Factors of production are being wasted.



How Bad Was The Great Depression?

To properly understand the events of the time (and to put them in today's context), we believe, like the FEE, that it is factually appropriate to view the Great Depression as not one, but four consecutive downturns rolled into one. These four “phases” are: I. Monetary Policy and the Business Cycle; II. The Disintegration of the World Economy; III. The New Deal; IV. The Wagner Act. The first phase covers why the crash of 1929 happened in the first place; the other three show how government intervention worsened it and kept the economy in a stupor for over a decade. The following brief clip and article shine a light on how bad things were and what was done in the name of 'helping' - there are many shocking analogies for current government-inspired acts from taxation to protectionism to money-supply 'tricks'. Everyone has heard the sage observation of philosopher George Santayana: “Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” It’s a warning we should not fail to heed.




Royal Gold – What Now?


Jim,

You told the community about Royal Gold and we got involved. That was in 2004 in the $14-$15 region. It hit triple digits today for the first time.
Thank you!
Regards,
CIGA Dave

Dear Dave,
The royalty companies who are truly gold banks, such as RGLD, have done extremely well. What has supported their success beyond the qualified people running them is that we have been in a world of progressively lower interest rates and progressively more entities seeking investment in gold that is not responsible for actually mining.
It is important to remember no stock is forever. Everything right now is positive for RGLD seeking higher prices. Should interest rates begin to rise, an important part of the RGLD formula will be challenged.
Since I anticipate much higher prices for gold, gold will continue to support RGLD’s business formula. I advised my readers to own RGLD when Barrons did a hatchet job article on RGLD saying its value was no more than $5-$6. There was a significant short interest at that time in RGLD. It traded I believe on that horribly inaccurate article down to near $11.
At that time I told you RGLD had a $80 number on it. I was wrong, and we now are in triple digits.
You know I have a very deep respect for Monty Guild. Monty does not focus all his managed funds on super gains. What makes me love Monty’s management is that he can’t stand losing either profits gained or otherwise. I would take his disciplines and apply them to RGLD. Monty’s stop loss limits change with time and entity, but average, I recall, about 7.5%. Since RGLD is a leader you might select a number between 8% and 11% keeping in mind it is sensitive to the cost of money.
A trailing sell stop order is adjusted as to price daily. Define the percentage you will accept in reaction or by back testing. Back testing is looking at what RGLD has reacted percentage wise while holding its uptrend and adopting something a tad larger in percentage terms as the trailing stop loss and enter it. You adjust the price as the stock rises, but you do no touch your stop limit if RGLD starts to come down.
You have made a killing and your job now is to keep it while allowing the stock to rise to wherever it wishes. This tactic is not fool proof but used when you hit the jackpot in order to help you keep it.
Now that we got a great buy we need to keep what we got. By the way, whenever the short dresses down MUX, McEwen’s company, buy it. It could be that MUX and trucks are in a race.
Regards,
Jim






Jim Sinclair’s Commentary

All high speed trading, bar none, are tools to front run legitimate buy and sell orders, and to manipulate. Both illegal, but who cares.
We really have gone to hell in finance. This is the darkest time in human history in that field.
There was movie "The Firm" where the boss was the devil himself. The financial mafia of the Western world is "The Firm."

SEC Says New York Firm Allowed High-Speed Stock Manipulation By Whitney Kisling on September 25, 2012
A New York-based brokerage allowed overseas clients to run a scheme aimed at distorting stock prices by rapidly canceling orders, according to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Clients of Hold Brothers On-Line Investment Services were “repeatedly manipulating publicly traded stocks” by placing and erasing orders in an illegal strategy designed to trick others into buying or selling, the SEC said today in a release. Hold Brothers, its owners, and the foreign firms Trade Alpha Corporate Ltd. and Demonstrate LLC agreed to settle allegations that the New York broker failed to supervise customers and pay $4 million in total SEC fines.
The SEC complaint targeted practices that abused high-speed computer trading on American equity venues. As high-frequency activity has grown in recent years, the agency’s efforts to stop fraudulent practices such as “layering” or “spoofing” have extended to the automated trading tactics.
“Direct access firms like these are the gatekeeper to our markets,” Sang Lee, managing partner at research firm Aite Group LLC in Boston, said today in a phone interview. “That’s why the SEC is doing this. This is certainly the area that they need to focus on, and on a larger scale.”
Steve Hold
Along with Hold Brothers, the SEC charged its co-founder and president, Steve Hold, who created and partially owned Trade Alpha and Demonstrate, according to today’s release. Robert Vallone, a former chief compliance officer and chief financial officer, and William Tobias, another executive, were also charged and agreed to the penalties.
A phone call to the Hold Brothers main number and an e-mail to the general media address weren’t immediately returned.
More…




Jim Sinclair’s Commentary

Chump change in a bailout world.

Spain’s banks ‘need 59.3bn euros of eurozone loans’ 28 September 2012 Last updated at 15:00 ET
Spain’s banks will need an injection of 59.3bn euros ($76.3bn; £47.3bn) to survive a serious downturn, an independent audit has calculated.
The amount is broadly in line with market expectations of 60bn euros, and follows so-called stress tests of 14 Spanish lenders.
Much of the money is expected to come from the eurozone rescue funds, the current EFSF and the future ESM.
Spain said in July that it would request eurozone support for its banks.
The Spanish banking sector has been in difficulty since the global financial crisis of 2008, and the subsequent bursting of the country’s property bubble and deep recession.
‘Transparent’
The European Commission welcomed the announcement, saying in a statement that it "is a major step in implementing the financial-assistance programme and towards strengthening the viability of, and confidence in, the Spanish banking sector".
More…




Jim Sinclair’s Commentary

Government by edict. Sounds something like the Egyptian Pharaohs’ famous rule by edict " So it is said. So it is written. So it is done."
The Pharaohs had no need for a legislative branch, Rule by Edict has no need for a legislative branch or a Cabinet.
The next administration could be the last. I am not kidding.

EXECUTIVE ORDERS ISSUED…
Teddy Roosevelt 3
FDR 11 in 16 years
Truman 5 in 7 years
Ike 2 in 8 years
Kennedy 4 in 3 years
LBJ 4 in 5 years
Nixon 1 in 6 years
Ford 3 in 2 years
Carter 3 in 4 years
Reagan 5 in 8 years
Bush 3 in 4 years
Clinton 15 in 8 years
George W. Bush 62 in 8 years
Obama 923 in 3 1/2 years !



Total Donations over the last 3 1/2 years. approx $165.00 (Thank You).  
 Donations will help defray the operational costs. Paypal, a leading provider of secure online money transfers, will handle the donations. Thank you for your contribution.


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