Monday, June 6, 2011

Weiner Is Leaking On Live TV As Congressman Admits Tearfully He Got Caught





Watch the pathetic confession from the congressman live here. Nonetheless, a very "regretful" Wiener refuses to step down.
 
 
 
 
Marc Faber Blog - 2 hours ago
He is by far one of the worst Presidents the US has had. I’m very upset that none of what he said he would do, mainly change, has actually occurred. So I think he’s certainly intellectually dishonest. And ...
 
 
 
 

Tim Geithner's Remarks To The International Monetary Conference On Systemic Risk




Amid the usual meandering propaganda, Tim Geithner finally catches up to Zero Hedge from February 2010: "The three largest U.S. banks account for 32 percent of total banking assets in the United States, in comparison to 46 percent for the three largest in Japan, 58 percent in Canada, 63 percent in the UK, 65 percent in France, 70 percent in Germany, 71 percent in Italy, and 76 percent in Switzerland. And total banking assets are 461 percent of GDP in the UK, 178 percent in Germany, and 820 percent in Switzerland." Supposedly this is intended to indicate just how much less concentrated the US banking system is compared to other nations: "Some argue that the U.S. financial system is too concentrated, which could promote systemic risks.  But the U.S. banking system today is less concentrated than that of any other major economy.  And total banking assets in the United States today are only about the size of U.S. GDP – much lower than in other developed economies." So just because the entire system is broken beyond repair, it makes sense to tout that the US is broken just a little bit less than everyone else? Also, where is the mention of the fact that the bulk of these balance sheets are chock full of toxic US securitized detritus and that without the US selling its worthless crap around the world, we would not be in the predicament we are in now. In the meantime, here is what Zero Hedge presented in February of last year...





With A 3 Week Delay, Deutsche Bank Discovers That Q2 GDP Will Collapse Following Plunge In Car Production



Nearly three weeks ago, on May 17, Zero Hedge, when analyzing the complete collapse in car and thus Industrial production made the following observations: "The immediate impact: the drop in the industrial production already seen, but the bulk of it due to delayed aftereffects will likely impact the May number, as the follow through from the Japanese supply chain halt starts ringing a loud alarm bell across Wall Street. Of course, this is another thing that all those calling for a 4% H2 GDP could have absolutely not foreseen (and in fact it was originally supposed to be positive for the economy, eh Deutsche Bank?). Expect to see drastic downward cuts to May Industrial Production and next, to Q2 GDP." Fast forward to today, when, in an example of poetic irony, none other than Deutsche Bank's grossly overpaid economists also known as Shaman witchdoctors in less than polite circles, have just come out with a note titled: "Quantifying the impact of autos on Q2 real GDP" in which they, gasp, discover that "a near 30% decline in motor vehicle production is consistent with roughly a two full percentage point drag on Q2 real GDP. In our forecast, we are assuming a decline of around 1.5% because we think that we might see a small bounce in June production that will push the quarterly decline in motor vehicle production to something closer to -20%." Well, better late and always cluelessly wrong, than never... and still cluelessly wrong.





Google Trends: "QE3"




Presented without commentary (well, we'll say one thing: for QE3 to work, it would have to be a surprise... so much for that). 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Juncker Says Euro Overvalued, As G-Pap Willing To Consider Referendum On Bailout Measures



It appears Jean-Claude Jun(c)ker has been sniffing hallucinogenic Spanish cucumbers again:
  • JUNCKER SAYS EURO OVERVALUED VS OTHER MAJOR CURRENCIES
  • JUNCKER SAYS EURO AREA SHOULD HAVE EXCHANGE-RATE POLICY
The tautological question of whether he is lying we leave to the logicians. What is apparent is that Europe is finally getting pissed they are dead last in the FX race to the bottom. Cue Tim Geithner's strong dollar policy.
And in far more important news, Greece's G-Pap says that he is willing to consider a referendum on the Greek bailout measures. If so, it's goodbye EUR: a referendum has a snowball's chance in a Comcast business channel in passing.





 

S&P Technicals Update: Next Support At 1241



Now that both the early April swing support of 1283.75, which also happens to be the 150 DMA, have been taken out, the next support in the market is the 200 DMA, which is also the post-Fukushima March lows. A breach of that level would mean the market goes negative for the year. As a reminder: the next 30 minutes are NYSE circuit breaker coffee break time. 
 
 
 
 
 

ES Substantially Underperforms Broader Risk As Scramble Into Defensives Returns 4% in 3 Weeks For "QE Unwind" Basket



Comparing ES to the broader RISK basket discussed extensively previously, it appears that following several days of decoupling of the S&P contract to broader risk, today we saw the opposite, when around 1 pm the two series diverged and never looked back. The selling pressure was certainly focused on stocks, led by financials and energy stocks. The shift to defensives is becoming palpable: following our pair trade advice to retrench into consumer staples and utilities while shorting discretionary and industrials (better known as the QE Unwind trade) would have returned almost 4% since inception on May 16. 
 
 
 
 

Handelsblatt Reports Second Greek Bailout Package To Be Delayed



It seems that Europe once again shot its last bullet a few days too early (to use a more polite phrasing than the alternative) with the announcement from last week that the Greek bailout was a done deal. As we speculated, various complications will soon emerge for anyone who cares to read the fine print in the bond indentures which preclude the imposition of Collective Action Clauses, thereby making an enforcement of a "voluntary" maturity extension problematic if anything. Below we present an article that appeared in Handelsblatt in the last hour, which indicates that opposition to the rescue has emerged not only from Slovakia, but from the UK as well. The English is about as garbled as possible thanks to Google translate, but oddly enough far more understandable than the periodic soundbites of outright lies from the pathological troica of Rehn-Junker-Trichet. 
 
 
 
 
 




 
 

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