Monday, August 1, 2011

Breaking News...

It's not Jefferson County, yet, but it could certainly be seen as the precursor to the first domino. "The state-appointed receiver overseeing the cash-strapped Rhode Island town of Central Falls has filed for bankruptcy on the city's behalf in an effort to help it get back on its feet. Receiver Robert G. Flanders and Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee announced the step - which Flanders has described as a last resort - at a news conference at City Hall. Flanders filed the legal paperwork seeking bankruptcy protection Monday. "From the ashes of bankruptcy Central Falls will rise again," Flanders said." The biggest losers: unions. "With the city now seeking bankruptcy protection, Flanders said he plans to reduce pension benefits beginning in late August. He has asked the federal court to immediately reject collective bargaining agreements. He said the next set of pension payments will reflect at least the cuts he outlined to city retirees. In addition, he said city workers will face layoffs. Flanders called the step unavoidable, as taxes have already been raised and city services have been cut "to the bone." Expect Barack Obama to thaw Steve Rattner from carbonite explain to creditors, using a variety of four letter words, that they will be last in line of payment after every single union claim has been satisfied, with the resultant husk of a town reverse merged with GM.

 

 

Long-Time Congressman John Conyers Calls for Protest Against the Debt Deal: “Thousands of People [Should Mass] In Front Of The W

George Washington
08/01/2011 - 12:29
Kicking the can down the road ... while they trample on the Constitution ... 

JPMorgan Warns Of An Even More Disappointing Non Farm Payroll Number This Friday

First it was Zero Hedge two hours ago, now it is the turn of JP Morgan's Michael Ferolli. "The employment index plunged a huge 6.4 points to 53.5, a print which adds a little downside risk to our already-below-consensus outlook for only 45,000 job growth in this Friday's July employment report." As a reminder, consensus is 90,000 or thereabouts. A negative print this Friday will bring QE3 within weeks. Which, of course, is the plan to go alongside the $2.5 trillion in debt coming to the market.





The Bank Of Japan Is Coming!!! (Or, Most Likely, Not)

Headline flashing now openly warning that the BOJ is preparing to intervene:
  • JAPAN PREPARES FOR CURRENCY INTERVENTION, NIKKEI SAYS
  • COORDINATED INTERVENTION MAY FOLLOW JAPAN ACTION: NIKKEI
We call complete bullshit on this. Never do central banks preanounce when they intervene. Never. This is merely more posturing by the toothless and completely powerless BOJ which now has resorted to spreading rumors in order to get the USDJPY higher. Ref: Philipp Hildebrand who has been crouched in a fetal position for the past 6 months in a continuous PTSD daze.





Goldman On The Dax Flash Crash

Everyone appears to be confounded by the Dax futures flash crash as noted previously. Here is Goldman's Mark Bellak responding to client inquiries, confirming that even GS has no clue what just happened.

 

URGENT: Call Your Congressman RIGHT NOW to Oppose Debt Ceiling Deal

With the House and Senate trying to force a vote on the new debt-ceiling deal right now before anyone has a chance to fully review it, we must take action RIGHT NOW to oppose this bill.  This bill cuts $900 billion around the edges and has no Balanced Budget Amendment requirement.  In addition, it creates a "Super Committee" that may very well push through tax increases.

We cannot allow weak-kneed Republicans to steal defeat from the jaws of victory.  Call your Congressman and Senators right now to oppose this bill, and demand that they Cut, Cap, and Balance instead.  Click here to get your representatives' telephone numbers.





Ron Paul Exposes The Deficit "Plan" Lies: "Cuts Are Illusory, Not From Current Amounts Spent But From Projected Spending Increases...


"No plan under serious consideration cuts spending in the way you and I think about it.  Instead, the "cuts" being discussed are illusory, and are not cuts from current amounts being spent, but cuts in projected spending increases.  This is akin to a family "saving" $100,000 in expenses by deciding not to buy a Lamborghini, and instead getting a fully loaded Mercedes, when really their budget dictates that they need to stick with their perfectly serviceable Honda.  But this is the type of math Washington uses to mask the incriminating truth about their unrepentant plundering of the American people.  The truth is that frightening rhetoric about default and full faith and credit of the United States is being carelessly thrown around to ram through a bigger budget than ever, in spite of stagnant revenues.  If your family's income did not change year over year, would it be wise financial management to accelerate spending so you would feel richer?  That is what our government is doing, with one side merely suggesting a different list of purchases than the other."






Hoarding Of Physical Gold, Voracious Global Demand To Produce Undeliverable Gold Futures, Parabolic Move to $2700-3000/oz





Robo-signed | Bondi’s Director of Economic Crimes Division, Richard Lawson, Victim of Multiple LPS/DOCX Robosigned Satisfactions
4closureFraud
08/01/2011 - 11:27
It's too bad the two top investigators of the robo-signing scandal were fired from his office. They may have been able to help him out in all this... 

RANsquawk US Afternoon Briefing - Stocks, Bonds, FX etc. – 01/08/11

ETC RANSquawk A snapshot of the US Afternoon Briefing covering Stocks, Bonds, FX, etc.





Highest Radiation Ever Detected At Fukushima: 10+ Sieverts An Hour

Remember all those idiots who claimed that Fukushima is contained, or better yet, the drama is exaggerated? Perhaps it is time to exile them all, starting with that moron from MIT, to Fukushima where the radiation measured at the base of the main ventilation stack just hit an all time high 10 sieverts/hour. The truth likely is much uglier: this is simply the highest reading the devices are able to record. In other words, there does not exist a device that can capture the true extent of the catastrophe at Fukushima! 


In The News Today

‘Drop in the Ocean’ Cuts Mean 2-Notch Downgrade: Strategist Published: Monday, 1 Aug 2011 | 4:28 AM ET
By: Patrick Allen


Following the last-minute debt deal agreed by President Barack Obama and congressional leaders, one strategist is predicting the rating agencies should downgrade US debt by two notches.
The “US debt deal" package cannot disguise that the proposed cuts are a drop in the ocean relative to the current US budget deficit, said Marc Ostwald, a strategist at Monument Securities in London in a research note.
The deal also does nothing to hide the weakness in the US economy as highlighted by a second quarter growth figure of just 1.3 percent, according to Ostwald, who believes quantitative easing has been a failure.
“The failure of QE1 (a first round of quantitative easing) and QE2 to stimulate the US economy, in effect because trying to use monetary policy to cure structural weaknesses in the financial and housing sectors and politics, and colossal imbalances in the economy, was always doomed to failure” said Ostwald.
“A US ratings cut should be delivered this week (and should properly be a 2-notch cut to AA with negative outlook), but whether it will or not is another question,” he said.
More…





A Deal Everybody Hates


By Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com

Dear CIGAs,

Everybody is thinking the debt ceiling deal is a done deal.  To that I say, not so fast.  First of all, this is a deal everybody hates including the President.  That doesn’t mean he won’t sign the legislation when it comes across his desk—he will.  The leaders in Congress have agreed to a plan, but the trick is going to be getting it through the House and Senate.  The far left hates it for the spending cuts and no upfront tax increases.  The far right hates it because the cuts are not deep enough.  There is less resistance to the deal in the Senate, but the House of Representatives is another story altogether.   There are probably at least 160 “NO” votes between Democrats and Republicans.  (The Senate is not a done deal either, but it is probably more likely to pass it than the House.)  The Black Caucus hates the debt deal so much it has asked the President to bypass Congress and raise the ceiling on his own by using the 14th Amendment.  That is not going to happen before the August 2nd deadline.  If the bill fails to get the votes, who knows what will happen.
There are some big sticking points.  The debt bill is supposed to be a two stage plan.  Basically, the first stage of the deal promises immediate cuts of a little less than a $1 trillion now along with raising the debt limit by around $2.4 trillion in total.  (The debt limit is also raised in 2 stages.)  This puts the debt limit high enough to make it past the 2012 election.  In the second stage of the deal, there is $1.4 trillion in more cuts.  According to the President, tax increases will also be on the table.  This will have to be done no later than December 2011.  The deficit reduction is supposed to be decided by a Special Congressional Committee.  Otherwise, big automatic cuts will kick in (they call this the trigger). This includes military spending and Medicare.  So, that alone is a big sticking point and has some in Congress shying away from this deal already.  Tax increases in stage two of the deal is also another big problem that could derail passage, especially in the House of Representatives.
Yesterday, David Plouffe, Senior WH Advisor, was on “Meet The Press” and was insisting the second stage should be “balanced,” which means tax increases (confiscation).  So, if this plan does win approval, Congress will be right back to chasing its tail in a spending and tax debate in the not too distant future.   $2.4 trillion in cuts may sound like a lot, but not when you consider the cuts happen over ten years.  That’s just $240 billion a year, and that hardly dents annual deficits of $1.5 trillion ($1,500 billion.)  This bill does not really cut spending, but merely slows it down.  Senator Lindsey Graham said today on ABC’s “This Week,” “. . . we’re no longer running toward oblivion. We’re walking toward it, and now we need to stop and turn around, go back the other way.  What do I tell people at home who say, what did you do about getting us out of debt?  I slowed down how much debt you add?  Instead of adding $10 trillion, we’re going to add $7 trillion
More...




Jim’s Mailbox

Obvious Passed As Headline News 

CIGA Eric

Any trader shocked by this news probably shouldn’t be trading. The gold and silver will resume its rally after the short-term emotional releases dissipates into the reality that nothing has changed. How many times has “nothing has changed” been written here? A few, I think.
Silver’s linear up trends have been broken. A monthly average close above $38.26 will reaccelerate the trend. Headline hype, largely fear-inducing, will attempt to convince as many people as possible that this technical setup does not exist.
Silver, London P.M. Fixed (Silver) and Z Scores of Secular Trend clip_image001
Headline: Gold Declines as President Says U.S. Lawmakers Reach Deal on Debt Ceiling
Gold declined from a record as President Barack Obama said that U.S. lawmakers reached a deal to increase the nation’s debt limit and cut the federal deficit, averting a default tomorrow and eroding demand for haven assets.
Gold for immediate delivery lost as much as 1.3 percent to $1,607.45 an ounce, and traded at $1,613.65 at 2:36 p.m. in Singapore. Spot gold, which reached an all-time high of $1,632.80 on July 29, advanced 8.5 percent last month on concern that sovereign-debt crises in the U.S. and Europe may derail the global economic recovery.
“Gold reached a record because U.S. politicians didn’t seem to be getting anywhere with their negotiations and now that they have an agreement, gold will be knocked back a little,” said Steven Zhu, operations manager at Yinjian Futures Co.
Republicans and Democrats may vote today on the measure, which would raise the debt ceiling by at least $2.1 trillion, and slash government spending by $2.4 trillion or more. Lawmakers should “do the right thing,” Obama said from the White House late yesterday.
Source: finance.yahoo.com
More…






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