Thank You Swiss National Bank For $2000+ Gold

Confirming that this is a market for idiots, by idiots, was the 4 am response in the price of gold, which following the SNB's Swiss Franc peg announcement did not surge, as it should have considering that the SNB just singularly changed the role of the CHF from a "flight to safety" to a carry currency, making gold the only island of stability in a world of fiat insanity, but instead plunged by over $50. Subsequent attempts to regain the $1900+ level were met with constant program selling for no other reason, than just because someone 'else' was selling. Of course, the logic is completely and totally the opposite. But don't take our word for it: here is Reuters: "Switzerland's decision to peg the erstwhile safe-haven franc to the euro may finally give gold bugs the chance to see prices hit the once-unimaginable $2,000 an ounce mark, as the metal holds on track for its strongest annual rally in three decades. By buying euros in unlimited amounts to weaken the franc, the SNB is in effect putting more of its own currency into circulation, which threatens to trigger inflation. It has also impacted the Swiss currency's status as a haven in its own right. While gold prices initially dipped as the move sparked a rush to liquidity in the form of other currencies such as the dollar, the SNB move is likely to lend firm support to gold in the medium term, analysts said." Precisely. And it is not only Reuters: Bank of America's MacNeill Curry said that Gold will probably rise to $2,050 this year. The rationale - identical to the above: SNB decision to peg franc to euro should also support gold. "They have taken out one of the big safe-haven assets, which is the Swissie." As for the amount of time the idiots will need to realize that QE3 coupled with the SNB action means that gold is now valued somewhere well over $2000: at least a few days...Which everyone who looks for even the smallest golden pullback will be happy to take advantage of.

Asian exchange will kill London shorts, Andrew Maguire tells King World News

 

 

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Charting SOMA Twist: Here Is What The $55 Billion In Monthly POMO Purchases Will Look Like Starting Shortly

For anyone still confused what Operation Twist is (covered here first about 4 months ago), here is SocGen's Aneta Markovska, charting just what the flawed duration extension will look like (as a reminder, unless the 2s10s is steepened, and at that substantially, we may as well bury the banks: nobody is taking on new mortgages now regardless of where the 10 year is, just look at weekly MBA numbers. However, to make sure the US banking system expires, just flatten the curve completely, and it is game over for NIM). In a nutshell, SocGen believes that the Fed will dump $420 billion worth of 1.5-4 year USTs and use them to purchase bonds with a maturity longer than 4 years - ideally, this would be 20 Years (yes, they would need to be reinstated, and this is our view, not SocGen's) and 30 Years, and sell the 10 years. But since the Fed has zero practical world experience, one can only hope, knowing full well the end result will be yet another TARP to bail out the banks. From SocGen: "The next step from the Fed will almost certainly be for more easing and it will almost certainly be duration extension. The only question is September or November? Prior to the August employment report, the market was split 50/50 on the timing of the announcement. The report pushed the odds in favour of September which is our central scenario.We estimate that at the upper limit, the extension could amount to as much as $420bn in duration purchases, which would make it comparable in size to QE2. However, the Fed may not announce the full amount up front but instead give a monthly run rate and reevaluate at each meeting. Matching the previous run rate, we would expect the Fed to do roughly $55bn per month. This could take the Fed as far as April 2012, at which point inflation should have receded enough to put QE3 back on the table." We are not too sure just who will buy the 1.5-4 year bonds at current yields, but certainly some greater fool than us does and always will exist. What is important, is that dry powder for about $55 billion in POMO recycling will suddenly allow the banks to flip assets to greater fools yet again. As to whether this will work, like last year, we very much doubt it, especially since everyone will be buying gold and crude.

Alfred Little Strikes At Latest "Brazen Fraud" - Harbin Electric (NASDAQ:HRBN)

Harbin Electric is no stranger to controversy, and its stockholders over the past two years can be forgiven if they believe that jumping on a Six Flags rollercoaster may have been a little more fun, and potentially far more profitable. Well, to keep it interesting, here comes famed Chinese fraudcap hunter Alfred Little with its latest piece, this time alleging that not only long-time target DEER, but also HRBN, "committed multi-million dollar land fraud." Specifically, "In the case of HRBN, management claims they paid $23 million cash as of June 30th, 2011 as a deposit on $38 million of land use rights priced at 500,000 RMB per Mu, double the government’s offering price." Little continues: "Our report today provides concrete evidence consisting of multiple recorded phone calls, on site visits and emails with government officials proving beyond any doubt that HRBN and DEER are both guilty of conducting very similar fraudulent land use rights purchase schemes to steal money from their shareholders. HRBN’s auditor, Frazer Frost, failed to respond to our attempt to share our findings last week." And now is the time for the porn addicts to finally stand up and do something proactive instead of letting to blogosphere do their work for them: "This morning we handed over all our evidence to officials at NASDAQ and the SEC prior to publishing this report. We are hopeful regulators will halt HRBN and DEER until their financials are restated to reflect reality, in the same manner as PUDA and CTE were immediately halted after we published our findings (here) and (here)." The final nail: "In this report we prove that HRBN and DEER’s land frauds are just as brazen as the fraud conducted by PUDA and CTE and thus deserve the same fate." Longs have been warned.





Graham Summers Weekly Market Forecast (Euro Bloodbath Edition)

Posted by: Phoenix Capital...

Post date: 09/06/2011 - 12:34

We have now wiped out almost all of the gains of the last week and a half and it looks as though we are heading rapidly into the 2008-type Collapse I've been warning about for weeks. 

 

 

 

 

 

On the Swiss move

Posted by: Bruce Krasting

Post date: 09/06/2011 - 09:36

This will end badly. All manipulation ends the same way. 

 

 

 

 

 

When the Time Comes Will We Be Able to Forgive?

Posted by : Cognitive Dissonance

Post date: 09/06/2011 - 13:43

Either we dismiss them from our mind with an open and honest heart or we will be owned by them lock, stock and barrel. 

 

 

 

 

 

I Said QE 3 Isn’t Coming… And the Fed Agrees With Me

Posted by: Phoenix Capital...

Post date: 09/06/2011 - 13:48

I’ve said many times before that QE 3 won’t be coming any time soon unless the market Crashes or a major bank goes under. The reason is that QE (and Ben Bernanke for that matter) have been...