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When
dealing with the daily barrage of headlines from Europe, it is easy to
get lost in the trees and forget what the forest looks like. That's
perfectly understandable - after all, it is
precisely the
intention of the Eurocrats to confound everyone with noise, so any
track of the fact that the big picture is unfixable is if not lost then
promptly forgotten, with reactionary newsflow dominating the flawed
decision-making process. Luckily, the fact remains that no matter what,
no matter the scale of lies out of Europe, the problem still remains:
the math just does not make any sense. Conveniently reminding us
precisely of this, we present to our readers the
must read presentation by Swiss private bank Pictet titled "
Decision time for monetary union"
which puts the forest right back into focus, and explains why all
attempts to kick the can down the street will be met with a prompt and
furious response by the bond vigilante crowd, which has now officially
been thawed out of cryogenic stasis. Because, all noise aside, the
Eurozone has two options - continue the current course which is
catastrophic: "
Current response to the crisis has created conditions leading the euro area towards depression" or accept the reality and do something about it, yet "
things are going to get worse before European authorities decide to wheel out their heavy artillery." Said otherwise: lose-lose. So without further ado, let's dig in...
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Given
the extent of our discussions both today and over the last two weeks of
the EFSF, Moody's confirmation of all that we have said should come as
no surprise. In their Weekly Credit Outlook the rating agency, that
hasn't accidentally downgraded FrAAAnce recently, cites weak demand and
investor's cold reception of proposals as betraying the limits of
EFSF's powers. This development
calls into question the ability of the EFSF to fund itself in the markets at low cost. The
success
of the EFSF as a tool to stabilize sovereign debt prices and the
success of the current euro area-wide support mechanism comes into doubt
if that ability is compromised. Clearly traders are also starting to wake up to this reality as EURUSD drops below Friday's close.
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Back in May we penned, "
Why A Hedge Fund Comprised Of Junior Congressional Democrats Should Outperform The Market By 9%"
in which the simple conclusion was that insider trading is not only
rampant in Congress, but completely unregulated, as it is perfectly
legal for Congressional staffers to trade at their leisure on inside
information: an exemption which the beta chasing 2 and 20 crowd on Wall
Street would sell their first through fifth born to be granted, now
that their glaring inability to generate alpha is laid out for all to
see. Tonight we were happy to see that 60 Minutes has finally brought
this gross and criminal injustice to the general public, and we expect
that Congress will promptly legislate itself into actually complying
with laws meant for the mere mortals out there. That said, we fully
commiserate with the pathological excrement that makes up House of
Representative these days: it is indeed a sad day when a Congressional
member has to rely on honest work to make their millions as opposed to
perfectly legal trading on inside information predicated upon laws that
these very congress men and women legislate.
Something tells us all the world's banana republics are just staring at
the US with sheer and utter amazement as layer after layer of the
unprecedented depravity of American society is exposed for all to see.
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The last time Whitney Tilson
presented his "investing thesis"
case in public, he got promptly anihilated as was to be expected -
there is a reason why real hedge funds keep their positions secret. This
time, "
it will be different." Incidentally, it is not a hedge
fund manager's job, no matter how tiny said hedge fund is, to plea to
the broad investing public: it makes one appear like a petulant child.
Their job is to
outperform the S&P since inception: a task T2 still seems to find daunting...
This from Bix Weir:
Everyday more and more tidbits come out about the MF Global "missing assets". Here's the latest from Forbes:
MF Global Assets Have Left The Building: How, When, Where
http://www.forbes.com/sites/francinemckenna/2011/11/09/mf-global-assets-have-left-the-building-how-when-where/
What started as a little "brush fire" is quickly turning into a RAGING INFERNO!
It
is estimate that over 50,000 accounts have been frozen and the $600M
amount being thrown around as "missing money" is only a small fraction
of the problem. The REAL problem is the $TRILLIONS in phantom
transactions that flow through the corrupt brokerage system itself! It
is the fundamental problem with every bank and brokerage house...
ALL BROKERAGES RUN ON A FRACTIONAL RESERVE SYSTEM!
Meaning
quite simply that when you "buy" a stock, bond, commodity contract,
etc. that brokerage company does NOT go out and conduct the exchange for
you but rather USES your money to make more money! Sure they debit your
account with an electronic entry and send you a crisp, clean statement
every month BUT THEY DON'T FOLLOW THROUGH AND SECURE THE ASSET YOU
PURCHASED! Not on a ONE-for-ONE basis at least.
Instead they
lump it all into their "pool" of assets that is always ebbing and
flowing along with billions of High Frequency Trades that are also never
really "settled". That is the nature of our markets, banks and
brokerage houses and the DTCC are knee deep in the scam.
So
here we have a situation at MF Global where the MUSIC HAS STOPPED and
everyone with an electronic statement is wondering "WHERE IS MY ASSET?"
It's not there my friends...and it NEVER WAS!
This
little problem will continue to build until it is revealed that the
"fractional reserve" system has BROKEN and the last SUCKERS to get their
assets out of the system before the MUSIC STOPS will be left without a
chair.
This is true with every brokerage house, 401k, mutual fund, bank, credit union...
ALL OF IT IS A FRACTIONAL FRAUD!
A
few months back Clif High's reports kick out an odd reference to the
coming "RICH RIOTS" where rich folks will be storming precious metal
warehouses demanding their physical metal only to find that the
warehouses are EMPTY!
Why Wall Street Can't Handle the Truth
The link is here.
Merkel warns against eurozone split
The link is here.
It's not the break-up of the euro that will bring Armageddon, Vince, it's carrying on as now
the link is here.
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