Tuesday, January 3, 2012

World's Biggest Hedge Fund Is Bearish For 2012 Through 2028, And Is Long Gold

That Ray Dalio, famed head of the world's largest (and not one hit wonder unlike certain others) hedge fund has long been quite bearishly inclined has been no secret. For anyone who missed Dalio's must see interview (and transcript) with Charlie Rose we urge you to read this: "Dalio: "There Are No More Tools In The Tool Kit." For everyone who is too lazy to watch the whole thing, or read the transcript, the WSJ reminds us once again that going into 2012 Dalio's Bridgewater, which may as well rename itself Bearwater, has not changed its tune. In fact the CT hedge fund continues to see what we noted back in September is the greatest threat to the modern financial system: a debt overhang so large, at roughly $21 trillion, that one of 3 things will have to happen: a global debt restructuring/repudiation; global hyperinflation to inflate away this debt, or a one-time financial tax on all individuals amounting to roughly 30% of all wealth. That's pretty much it, at least according to mathematics. And according to Bridgewater. From the WSJ: "Bridgewater Associates has made big money for investors in recent years by staying bearish on much of the global economy. As the new year rings in, the hedge fund firm has no plans to change that gloomy view...What you have is a picture of broken economic systems that are operating on life support," Mr. Prince says. "We're in a secular deleveraging that will probably take 15 to 20 years to work through and we're just four years in." So basically scratch everything between 2012 and 2028? But, but, it was that paragon of investment insight Jim "Bloody Ridiculous Investment Concept" O'Neill keeps telling us stocks will go up by 20%... stocks will go up by 20%....stocks will go up by 20%...




Michael Pento: Gold is The Last Reserve Shoot to Be Deployed

from King World News:
With trading commencing for 2012, today Michael Pento, of Pento Portfolio Strategies, writes for King World News to explain that as currencies continue to crash, the only reserve shoot left will be gold: “With gold selling off about 20 percent in the last few weeks, there appears to be much confusion as to what, if anything, has changed for the bullish scenario. But the truth is not much. Gold is now and always has been a hedge against a falling dollar, which is the result of an inflationary monetary policy.”
Michael Pento continues: Read More @ KingWorldNews.com




Presenting 2011's Top 10 Most Corrupt American Politicians

When it comes to corruption, cronyism and general muppetry in Washington D.C., the only real question is 'where does one start?' Yet one has to start somewhere to conclude with a list of the ten most corrupt and despicable marionettes in D.C. Which is precisely what JudicialWatch has done in its annual compilation of the "Top 10 Most Corrupt Politicians in Washington D.C." for 2011. And confirming what everyone knows, that both the left and right are merely irrelevant names for the same general social affliction, or should we call it by its true name - wealth pillage - the split is even between democrats and republicans. In no particular order, the winners of 2011 are...




The World is Endorsing Ron Paul For President 2012







Guest Post: The Circling Black Swans Of 2012

If we had to summarize the Status Quo's confidence that no black swans will threaten its control in 2012, we might begin with its faith that the system's self-regulation will resolve all systemic challenges. Just as the Status Quo has placed all its chips on a single bet--that "growth" from debt-based consumption can be resumed with vast public borrowing and saving the predatory financial sector--it also bases its confidence on the system's self-regulation. If the banking sector is riddled with fraud and embezzlement, then some minor tweaking of regulation will solve all issues. If demand for debt has collapsed, then the solution is for the Federal Government to borrow 10% of GDP every year to compensate for the decline of private debt and spending. The faith is that extending and pretending will magically restore the "growth" the Status Quo needs to support its ballooning debt. Extending and pretending offers up the compelling illusion that the system's broken self-regulation is up to the task of fixing systemic problems. In the darkness overhead, we can hear the beating of unseen wings that promise to make a mockery of the Status Quo's supreme Imperial hubris.




Presenting Six Views Of The EUR

  As EURUSD leaks very gently lower into the new year (but stocks popped excitedly across quiet European markets that lacked a bond market supervisor to keep them honest), we thought it might be interesting to look at the relative strength of the Euro against six different measures. From FX option risk-reversals to ECB's European Bank Lending statistics, QE and sovereign risk relationships to Fed/ECB balance sheet dynamics, and finally from futures commitment of traders data to EUR-USD swap spread frameworks, the results are unsurprisingly mixed with a bias towards EUR weakness. Between the European auctions (and redemptions) of the next two weeks, and the FOMC meeting on the 24-25th January, we face quite a rude awakening from the low volume holiday week malaise.




Listen to Ron Hera Explain What You’re Facing in 2012 – 01-02-2012

from The Financial Survival Network:
Ron Hera, the well respected and highly regarded proprietor of HeraResearch.com explains what 2012 will look like. And it ain’t pretty. The governments of the world seem hell bent into leading us all into a financial dark ages. Ever expanding debt and currency units cannot end well. It never has and never will. Until policy makers are willing to face the facts that the financial system is not facing a liquidity crisis, but rather a insolvency crash, nothing can change. It’s as if you went to the Doctor and he treated you for a common cold, when you were really suffering from pneumonia. You might feel better for a little while, but the disease could wind up killing you.
We are witnessing the death throws of the current financial system. A new system will be born from the ashes of the old one, but there will be much suffering and pain until it happens. You need to prepare for 2012, because while the world might not end on December 21, 2012 (It better not because that’s my wife’s birthday), we could be facing a new financial world order in 2013.
Click Here to Listen to the Interview






2012 Will Be More Difficult Than 2011

from The Economic Collapse Blog:
Do you believe that 2012 will be more difficult for the global economy than 2011 was?  Well, that is what German Chancellor Angela Merkel believes.  The woman that has become the most important politician in Europe recently declared that 2012 “will no doubt be more difficult than 2011″.  The funny thing is that she has generally been one of the most optimistic public figures in Europe throughout this debt crisis.  But now even Merkel is openly admitting that 2012 is going to be a really, really bad year.  Sadly, most Americans simply do not understand how important Europe is or how interconnected the global financial system has become.  The United States actually has a smaller population and a smaller economy than the EU does.  In fact, the EU has an economy that is nearly as large as the economies of the United States and China combined.  The EU also is home to more Fortune 500 companies that the U.S. is, and the European banking system is far larger than the U.S. banking system.  Anyone that does not believe that a financial collapse in Europe will have a devastating impact on the U.S. economy is living in a fantasy world.  Americans better start paying attention to what is going on over there, because we are about to be broadsided by a massive financial tsunami originating out of Europe.
Read More @ TheEconomicCollapseBlog.com





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