Sunday, April 22, 2012

Chris Martenson And Harvey Organ: Get Physical Gold & Silver

Harvey Organ has been analyzing the bullion markets closely for decades. The quality and accuracy of his work is respected enough to have earned him an invitation to testify before the CFTC on position limits for precious metals back in 2010. And he minces no words: gold and silver prices are suppressed. With extreme prejudice. In this detailed interview, Harvey explains to Chris the mechanics how of he sees this manipulation occurring, why he predicts this fraudulent pricing scheme will collapse soon, and why it's critical to be holding physical (vs paper) bullion when it does.





Things That Make You Go Hmmm - Such As A Power Struggle (To The Death) Within China's Power Elite

For those who have not been following the Bo Xilai drama unfolding with furious pace over the past month, we have some advice: you should be, as the fate of China will be defined by who is left standing at the end, which in turn will have momentous consequences for the entire Developed World. But where does one start? Luckily, Grant Williams' latest TTMYGH has one simple plot line: presenting the past, present and future of the epic power struggle between Wen Jiabao and Bo Xilai which has already claimed at least on death, and within China's top power echelon, the Politburo Standing Committee.  "This week’s edition of Things That Make You Go Hmmm..... is a little different to those that have come before it in that it is more of a murder mystery/whodunnit and focuses on the machinations behind a very significant power struggle currently raging in the shadowy world of China’s ruling party. For those amongst you who like tales of drunken British businessmen, unexplained deaths, cyanide poisoning, swift autopsies, mysterious political figures, Lady Macbeth-type wives and police chiefs fleeing for their lives - read on. For those of you who prefer less sensationalist tales..... well read on anyway - this one’s a doozy!"





Krugman Rebutts (sic) Spitznagel, Says Bankers Are "The True Victims Of QE", Princeton-Grade Hilarity Ensues

At first we were going to comment on this "response" by the high priest of Keynesian shamanic tautology to Mark Spitznagel's latest WSJ opinion piece, but then we just started laughing, and kept on laughing, and kept on laughing...





The Cost Of Twisting (And The "Housing Recovery"): $100 Billion In Foregone NIM To The Primary Dealers

When Operation Twist began in late September 2011, Primary Dealers reported that their net position in bonds with a maturity between 1 and 3 years was ($23) billion or the biggest short since January 2010, while reporting holdings of bonds between 11 and 30 years of $12.4 billion, for a net carry position (Short minus Long) of $(35) billion. What a difference just over 6 months makes: courtesy of Treasury Primary Dealer data, we now know that in the preceding weeks, with the Fed selling paper maturing in under 3 years, the Primary Dealers have loaded up to the gills on short-dated maturities, and in the week ended April 11, they reported $54 billion in 1-3 Year Holdings. At the same time 11-30 Year Maturities declined from othe $12.4 billion at the start of Twist to just $7 billion: don't forget - this is the only type of bonds sold by the Fed (if also including short maturities than the explicit long-end that the Fed is buying). What is interesting is that with nearly 80% of Twist over, the 10 Year was at just under 2.00% the day Twist started, and was....just shy of 2.00% on Friday. In other words in order to "sterilize" the Fed's duration extension, keep rates, and the price of gold, low and promote a "housing recovery" Dealers have been "forced" to part ways with about $100 billion in Net Interest Margin generating units, as the Short minus Long position has risen from -$35 billion to +$54 billion, hitting over $60 billion a few weeks ago.





The Most Surprising Chart Of Q1 Earnings Season So Far

22% of the Q1 earnings season (by market cap) is over, and anyone listening merely to soundbites and reading media headlines would likely think that stocks have soared as a result of a relentless parade of beats. One would be mistaken. In fact, as the chart below shows, there is something very wrong with this earnings season...





Using Fear-Induced Churn To Build Tommorrow's Profits

Eric De Groot at Eric De Groot - 1 hour ago
Pessimism and fear reign as the gold stocks test previous resistance as support. Previous resistance was massive resistance zone of the 30-year consolidation broken in 2010. What do I think? I think long-term capital recognizes the importance of this breakout. 2012 retest, a period in which gold and gold stocks will have been pronounced dead numerous times, will be viewed... [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]] 
 
 
 
 

The French Presidential Election Is Underway

Update: according to Belgian Le Soir, first exit polls show that Hollande is not surprisingly ahead, with 27% of the vote, 25.5% for Sarkozy, 16% for Marine Le Pen, and 13% for Jean-Luc Melenchon. More or less just as expected, and setting the stage for the runoff round which will be Hollande's to lose. French speakers demanding a minute by minute liveblog, can find a great one over at Le Figaro.
As of 8 am CET, polls are open in the first round of the French presidential elections where voters are expected to trim the playing field of ten to just two candidates, incumbent Nicholas Sarkozy and his socialist challenger Francois Hollande, who will then face off in a May 6 runoff, where as of now Hollande is expected to have a comfortable lead and take over the presidency as the disgruntled French take their revenge for an economy that is contracting, an unemployment rate that keeps rising (see enclosed) despite promises to the contrary, and as their to "express a distaste for a president who has come to be seen as flashy following his highly publicized marriage to supermodel Carla Bruni early in his term, occasional rude outbursts in public and his chumminess with rich executives.....France is struggling with feeble economic growth, a gaping trade deficit, 10 percent unemployment and strained public finances that prompted ratings agency Standard & Poor's to cut the country's triple-A credit rating in January." In a major shift for the country, Hollande would become France's first left-wing president since Francois Mitterand, who beat incumbent Valery Giscard-d'Estaing in 1981. As Reuters reports, "Hollande, 57, promises less drastic spending cuts than Sarkozy and wants higher taxes on the wealthy to fund state-aided job creation, in particular a 75 percent upper tax rate on income above 1 million euros ($1.32 million)." The Buffett Rule may have failed in the US but La Loi de Buffett is alive and well in soon to be uber-socialist France. Yet it is not so much Hollande's domestic policies, as his international ones, especially vis-a-vis the European Fiscal Treaty, Germany, and most importantly the ECB, that roiled markets last week, causing French CDS to spike to the widest since January. In other news, goodbye Merkozy, hello Horkel as the power center shifts yet again to a new source of uncertainty and potential contagion.
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Trained to identify resistors

noreply@blogger.com (Patrice Lewis) at Rural Revolution - 20 hours ago
If anyone -- anyone! -- has ever questioned the public school system, you must watch this video clip. This clip features an interview with Charlotte Iserbyt, who served as senior policy adviser in the Office of Educational Research and Improvement (U.S. Dept of Ed) in the first Reagan administration. What she saw there caused her to become a whistleblower and ultimately to write the book The Deliberate Dumbing Down of America [full disclosure: haven't read it]. During interview, she relates how she had access to all the documents for the "restructuring" of not only American educati... more »

 

Gold Is Not Dead

Eric De Groot at Eric De Groot - 23 hours ago
Market experts continue to pronounced gold as "dead" and primed for another sharp, elevator-shaft style decline. These declines, highly coordinated and professionally executed during the D-wave cycle, tend to be preceded by sharp contractions in the relative (real) lease spreads. That's the dead give away a paper attack is coming; The dotted read lines in the chart below shows the sharp... [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]] more »

 

Money Flowing Into Gold and Silver on Weakness

Eric De Groot at Eric De Groot - 1 day ago
Money has been flowing into silver and gold as they bounce along the bottom. Chart 1: Silver London P.M Fixed and the Silver Diffusion Index (DI) A gold DI reading > 60% suggests statistical concentrated (again). Chart 2: Gold London P.M Fixed and Gold Diffusion Index (DI) Normal 0 MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 /* Style Definitions */ ... [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]] more »

 

French elections tomorrow/Spanish and Italian 10 yr yields again rise/gold and silver hold

Good morning Ladies and Gentlemen: Gold closed today up $1.50 to $1642.10.  Silver also rose by 13 cents to $31.64. Europe was enthralled with German confidence higher together with a higher PMI number.  This lit a match under the Euro and all of Europe's bourses which in turn spilled over to the NYSE,  However on the other side of the coin, the Spanish 10 yr bond yield hit 6% early in the more »

 

 

Trader Dan on KWN Weekly Metals Wrap

Trader Dan at Trader Dan's Market Views - 1 day ago
Please click on the following link to listen in to my regular weekly radio interview with Eric King on the KWN Weekly Metals Wrap. *http://tinyurl.com/6oxs2dh* more »

 

 

Currency Wars: Rickards On Gold, QE, and the Economy

 

 

Where Do We Go From Here?

We present our favorite chart of 2012 (now freshly updated and with that new, NINJA subprime-loan subsidized, car smell) without any further commentary.







The Truth About Excess Reserves

Throughout the postwar period, banks have almost always lent out all the way up to the reserve requirement. So, does the accumulation of excess reserves lead to inflation? Only so much as the frequentation of brothels leads to chlamydia and syphilis. Excess reserves are only non-inflationary so long as the banks — the people holding the reserves — play along with the Fed-Treasury game of monetising debt and trying to hide the inflation . The banks don’t have to lend these reserves out, just as having sex with hookers doesn’t have to lead to an infection. But eventually — so long as you do it enough — the condom will break. As soon as banks start to lend beyond the economy’s inherent productivity (which lest we forget is around the same level as ten years ago) there will be inflation.

 

 

Live From Athens: "You've Got To Pick A Pocket Or Two"

The focus has shifted. The all seeing orb is now focused on Spain but it may well turn back to Greece soon. The loan money is exhausted again and the Greeks have elections lined up on Sunday, May 6 which is coincidentally the same day of the French run-off elections. To answer the question of at what point Greece might leave the Eurozone and return to the Drachma is relatively simple; it will be the day when the European loan spigot is shut off. Greece will pander, promise and proclaim until that point and then they will say, “have a nice day and thanks for all the fish.”


 

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