Monday, August 31, 2015

Preparing For A Potential Economic Collapse In October

There’s no question that the world economy has been shaky at best since the crash of 2008. Yet, politicians, central banks, et al., have, since then, regularly announced that “things are picking up.” One year, we hear an announcement of “green shoots.” The next year, we hear an announcement of “shovel-ready jobs.” And yet, year after year, we witness the continued economic slump. Few dare call it a depression, but, if a depression can be defined as “a period of time in which most people’s standard of living drops significantly,” a depression it is.


by Andy Hoffman, Miles Franklin:
This morning, the Financial Times – the UK’s more straight-laced (read: boring) version of America’s relentlessly pro-Central bank, propaganda-spewing Wall Street Journal – claimed China’s government has “abandoned large scale purposes” as a means of supporting its collapsing stock market.  To which, I ask the same ‘pink elephant in the room’ question; i.e., how the hell would they know what the Chinese government is doing?  I mean, it’s not like they tell us.  And moreover, whatever they do report – as in the UK, the U.S., and everywhere – is a flat out lie these days.  Like China, for example, in still reporting a 6.8% GDP growth, when in fact it’smassively declining.  Not to mention, the fact that Central banks such as the PBOC – as a rule – execute far more “monetary policy” covertly than overtly; such as, for example, the Fed opaque overseas “swap agreements” and plain old covert Treasury and mortgage-backed bond buying.
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“Something” Just Happened!

The leverage in all markets suggests a “holiday” will occur because the unwinding cannot be orderly
by Bill Holter, SGT Report:
“Something” happened three weeks ago. While we cannot be sure “what” exactly happened, we can speculate. We have many dots and lots of data points to help us but first it needs to be pointed out, even if wrong in conclusion …just the knowledge alone that “something changed” is enough. If you know something has changed, you can take clues and look at various markets for inflection points. Currently, most markets are stretched to various limits. Whether it be zero bound credit markets, equities, real estate, commodities or gold and silver, all values had reached extreme highs or lows.
Something changed three weeks ago and a series of events began. It all started with China announcing 600 additional tons of gold. This was followed by the IMF rebuff of China, the three yuan devaluations and three “coincidental” explosions. Then equity markets around the world (which were already weak) began to violently unravel and finally spilled over to the U.S.. This tested the PPT’s limits (which were apparently $23 billion last week).
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Russian Military Forces Arrive In Syria, Set Forward Operating Base Near Damascus

According to Western diplomats, a Russian expeditionary force has already arrived in Syria and set up camp in an Assad-controlled airbase. The base is said to be in area surrounding Damascus, and will serve, for all intents and purposes, as a Russian forward operating base. In the coming weeks thousands of Russian military personnel are set to touch down in Syria, including advisors, instructors, logistics personnel, technical personnel, members of the aerial protection division, and the pilots who will operate the aircraft.

China Strengthens Yuan Most Since Nov 2014 After PMI Hits 3-Year Low, PBOC Offers "Hope" As A Strategy For Stocks

Having exposed the culprit for all of its economic and market woes, China is likely going to have problems explaining why its economic plague is still spreading (with South Korean exports collapsing and Japanese Capex growth slowing) and China's official manufacturing PMI slipped into contraction for the first time in 6 months (to 3 year lows). Amid the face-saving clean-air of Parade Week, the appearance of awesomeness must prevail and following the worst quarter since Lehman, stocks are indicated lower despite having received some 'help' into last night's close. PBOC proxies push 'hope' as a strategy for stock stability (even as US markets and oil are re-collapsing) as margin debt drops to an 8-month low - still double YoY though. PBOC fixes Yuan 0.22% stronger- the biggest jump since Nov 2014 - as it injects another CNY150bn via 7-day rev.repo.

Gold, Oktoberfest And The Great Illusion

from KingWorldNews:
The exchange value of gold and FIAT-money is not stable. It would change over time, depending on the growth in the supply of gold, the change in the demand to hold cash balances, and the growth in goods and services on the market. However, given its much lower as well as easily foreseeable annual supply growth rate, it would be far more stable than paper currencies.
Ludwig von Mises always argued that money is a good like any other. It differentiates itself by one important characteristic: Money is the generally accepted medium of exchange, because it is the most marketable good. According to Mises, money’s function as a medium of exchange is thus the central one, while its store of value and unit of account functions are merely subordinate functions (they are derived from, or implied by the central function). This also implies that a rising money supply must lower the exchange value of money.1
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Is This Man Responsible For China's Stock Market Crash?

Meet Wang Xiaolu, the journalist detained by Chinese authorities is being held responsible for the “chaos” in China’s stock market.

"It's The Gun's Fault!!"

Presented with no comment...

The Age Of Voodoo Finance

The Jackson Hole gathering may end up providing at least some clarification, but not even close to the manner in which everyone seems intent on inferring. With Janet Yellen’s notable absence, there isn’t the same sort of celebrity about what would have been the media hanging upon every word; that is, after all, what the Federal Reserve has become, not an organ of stability or even expertise but a public relations effort aimed squarely at trying to convince everyone possible that it is. Given the unique circumstances at the moment, the real issue is not whether they might raise rates but just how much systemic misdirection has already been revealed even to the least attentive of people.

Exposed: The New American Way Of Life

 It's enough to make you cry... or scream.

Dow Futures Plunge 200 Points As Oil Drops 4% Ahead Of China PMI

Just when you thought it was safe to listen to the stability-preaching talking heads, crude futures are sliding and US equity futures are tumbling as Asia opens. Worse still XIV (VIX inverse ETF) has tumbled to fresh lows with a 24 handle in the after-hours market, suggesting more downside for stocks. With all eyes on China PMIs - though, there is little need for a weak PMI to be present for China to unleash moar measures, and a strong PMI will be scoffed at - it seems, the end-of-month rip-fest is fading fast...

Brazil Throws In Towel On Budget; Citi Compares Fiscal Outlook To "Bloody Terror Film"

"In the meantime, in our (un)beloved country, there is something scarier than Freddy Krueger: our growth / fiscal outlook."

Children Exposed to GMO Soy Pesticides Suffer ‘Serious Genetic Damage’

by Christina Sarich, Natural Society:
A 2015 study has shown that children exposed to pesticides used to grow GM soy suffer serious genetic damage. Does this mean that our children will suffer the same fate as those unfortunate enough to live near GM soy fields in Argentina?
Researchers from the National University of Río Cuarto, Cordoba (UNRC) compared children who lived close to a GM-soy growing area in Argentina to children who lived in another city in Cordoba that was not adjacent to GM soy fields.
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Unusually Massive Protests Erupt in Japan Against Forthcoming "War Legislation"

In case you aren’t up to speed on your Japanese history, the nation’s post WWII Constitution prohibits military action unless it’s in self-defense. Clearly a sensible approach, which is why the current Japanese government, led by the demonstrably insane and incompetent Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, wants to get rid of it. Not only will this action increase the likelihood of World War III in the Far East, but it’s another important example of a government acting against the will of the people. Democracy is dead. Globally. If we fail to bring it back, history will see us as one of the most inept and spineless generations in history.

How China Cornered The Fed With Its "Worst Case" Capital Outflow Countdown

China has just cornered the Fed: not just diplomatically, as observed when China's PBOC clearly demanded that Yellen's Fed not start a rate hiking cycle, but also mechanistically, as can be seen by the acute and sudden selloff across all asset classes in the past 3 weeks. Now Yellen has about 365 days or so to find a solution, one which works not only for the US, but also does not leave China a smoldering rubble of three concurrently burst bubbles. Good luck.

China Rocked By Another Massive Chemical Explosion

Seriously, what the f##k is going on over there?
This is the second explosion in Shandong, which both follow the huge and deadly explosion in Tianjin.



Monday Humor: Go 'West' Young Men

First Trump, now this...!?

Stocks Suffer Biggest Monthly Drop In Five Years As Oil Spikes Most Since 1990

Recession Odds Surge To 47%, Highest Since 2011

Assuming that after being wrong for 7 years about everything, economists are actually right about the market still having some discounting abilities left, what then is the market telegraphing? The answer, according to the Bank of America: the biggest surge in recessionary odds since 2011, which over the past few days have nearly hit a 50% probability of an economic slowdown.

If The Fed Is Always Wrong, How Can Its Policies Ever Be Right?

One of the most curiously persistent surrealisms of Washington, DC is the reflexive deference given the Federal Reserve System. The Washington elite tends to accord more infallibility to the Fed than do Catholics the Pope.

When Every Option In The Financial System Is Grounded In Absurdity, It's Time To Look Elsewhere

The fundamentals for the US dollar are terrible, but people keep dumping money into it like trained monkeys simply because nothing else in financial markets makes any sense. This perception of 'safety' is based on a complete myth - every credible fundamental suggests that the dollar is dangerously overvalued; but if not the US dollar, then which currency is the safe haven? The euro is garbage, the Chinese are fighting a depression, Japan is a disaster. And that’s precisely the point. When every option in the financial system is grounded in absurdity, the only solution is to start looking for safety outside of it.

Economics 102: WalMart Cuts Worker Hours After Hiking Minimum Wages

Don’t look now, but undergrad economics is rearing its ugly again at Wal-Mart as the retailer cuts workers’ hours in a desperate attempt to offset more than a billion in wage hikes.

Guest Post: Stanley Fischer Speaks - More Drivel From A Dangerous Academic Fool

With every passing week that money markets rates remain pinned to the zero bound by the Fed, the magnitude of the financial catastrophe hurtling toward main street America intensifies. When the next financial bubble crashes it can only be hoped that this time the people will grab their torches and pitchforks. Stanley Fischer ought to be among the first tarred and feathered for the calamity that he has so arrogantly helped enable.

Citi Slams Today's Historic Oil Surge: "Another False Start, Time To Fade The Rally"

Moments ago Citi's Edward Morse who, together with Goldman, has been bearish on oil for a good part of the past year, just slammed today's crude breakout and doubled down on his double-dead cat skepticism, when he released a report titled "Another False Start…Time to Fade the Rally" whose punchline is that "Citi foresees that WTI and Brent prices should post another fresh leg lower—perhaps making new 2015 lows—before year-end."

Modern Greek Drama Plot Twist And Financial Crisis Update

from The News Doctors:
To be able to follow the twists and turns in the Greek drama, we need to remember that after the 2008 crisis, the Troika of creditors (the ECB, the IMF and the European Commission) imposed external economic governance on Greece, calling it “assistance” and “escape from default”. The Troika was not saving Greece, but the money of Greek government bond holders – German, French and American banks – by cutting social expenditure and selling state-owned property (first and foremost to Germans).
Under these conditions, the victory of the Coalition of the Radical Left (Syriza) in the early parliamentary elections in January 2015 was greeted by the majority of Greek society as deliverance and its young leader, Alexis Tsipras, was all but regarded as the Messiah. His statements matched those of a saviour as well: “Greece has turned a page. The Greek people have written history. The Troika is in the past and we have put an end to austerity forever… We will change the EU from within.” So said Tsipras seven months ago. On that night, 25 January 2015, it felt to the Greeks as if anything was possible…
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Grassroots Movement to Descend on Arizona This Week in Operation Detain McCain

by Tim Brown, Freedom Outpost:

Senator John McCain (R-AZ) not only got his nickname “Songbird” for alleged treasonous activity while in Vietnam (though he has been hailed by many as a hero), but has taken completely unconstitutional stand and has engaged in treasonous activities in recent years with America’s Islamic enemies, even going so far as to say he helped to fund and arm the now infamous Islamic State. Now, a grassroots movement has formed and will descend on Arizona this week to demand the Arizona senator be held accountable for his actions.
The launch date for Operation Detain McCain will begin on September 1. Click here to read the full itinerary.
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from The Burning Platform:
Last week ended with the cackling hens on CNBC and the spokesmodels on Bloomberg bloviating about the temporary pothole on the road to riches. They assured their few thousand remaining viewers the 11% plunge in the stock market was caused by China and the communist government’s direct intervention in their stock market, arrest of a brokerage CEO, and threat to prosecute sellers surely cured what ails their market. The Fed and their Plunge Protection Team co-conspirators reversed the free fall, manipulating derivatives and creating a short seller covering rally back to previous week levels. The moneyed interests are desperate to retain the appearance of normality and stability, as their debt saturated system teeters on the verge of collapse.
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The Dying Institutions Of Western Civilization

from Paul Craig Roberts:
IJudiciary Branch Has Self-Abolished
The US no longer has a judiciary. This former branch of government has transitioned into an enabler of executive branch fascism.
Privacy is a civil liberty protected by the US Constitution. The Constitution relies on courts to enforce its prohibitions against intrusive government, but if the executive branch claims (no proof required) “national security,” courts kiss the Constitution good-bye.
Federal judges are chosen by the executive branch. The senate can refuse to confirm, but that is rare. The executive branch chooses judges who are friendly to executive power.
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Monsanto Wants to Replace the Bees They Are Killing with Genetically Engineered Flying Ants

from DAHBOO77:

Syrian War-Islamic State (ISIS) Creation Timeline

from Global Research:
This document is meant for all those interested in the lead up and current events surrounding the war in Syria and the creation of the Islamic State (ISIS).
Below is a timeline ranging from 1992-2015 with related articles to the war in Syria, ISIS and geopolitical events that tie them all together. Purposely the author of this document provides No commentary.
You will notice that each citation is met with origin of the article, date published and key quotations. Also, the author attempted to find sources that many “Westerners” would consider “mainstream”, with the exception of a few. Lastly, at the end of the timeline, one can find longer articles and videos that the reader can dive into if interested.
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The Shadowsphere – The Unconscious Collective

from Truth Never Told:

Bernie Sanders Interview: ‘The Business Model of Wall Street Is Fraud’

from Jesse’s Café Américain:
< Most people are sick and tired of the system as it is now. And they are once again attempting to reject the status quo, having been badly disappointed by Obama and the Congress. And this gives rise to popular movements and even third parties.
The biggest problem with popular movements is that they either tend to be co-opted by the most powerful in the status quo and used badly, misdirected and deceived, as in the case of the Tea Party, or diffused by too many factions and lack of prioritization resulting in a lack of effective cohesion, as in the case of the Occupy Movement.
And so we have the ascendancy of the Wall Street wing of the Democratic Party, and the Koch Brothers wing of the Republicans.
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Social Security supports 1 out of every 5 Americans

Most retirees heavily depend on Social Security for their retirement income.

It is great that people overall are living longer but adding years to your life can get costly.  Retirement can be a long time.  For some, retirement can last as long as their working career. With a pension people didn’t have to worry about longevity as if this was a bad thing.  Yet pensions are rare in our current low wage environment.  Social Security has become the backbone of income for millions of retirees.  Numbers can be daunting but as I dug deep into the Social Security figures, we now have more than 64 million Americans receiving some form of Social Security.  In other words, 1 out of 5 Americans is receiving funds from a system that heavily relies on those actually working.  The challenge is now emerging where many young Americans are being pushed into low wage jobs while older Americans scrimp by on their monthly benefit payment.  Things work until they don’t and math eventually catches up.
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