Saturday, January 2, 2016

From $500,000 To $170 Million In A Few Months: The Next "Subprime Trade" Emerges

Ever since it started making complicated bets against some leveraged ETFs, Miller’s Catalyst Macro Strategies Funds has since grown from $500,000 in assets at the start of the year to about $170 million. It achieved a more than 50 percent return this year, placing it far ahead of its competitors.

2016 Outlook for Precious Metals

from The Daily Gold:

The precious metals sector will close 2015 entrenched in a seemingly forever bear market. Most of the sector has been in a bear market for over four and a half years. Gold’s bear market will reach four and a half years in a few months. Meanwhile the US Dollar’s bull market remains strong and is likely to continue. In this article we discuss our 2016 big picture outlook for the US Dollar, Gold and gold stocks.
The US Dollar index will be a major focus of 2016. The greenback is currently consolidating and correcting below important resistance at 100. A strong break above 100 could trigger a sharp move higher. Note that the other two bull markets in the US Dollar gained strength as they neared their end. A sharp move higher in 2016 may not sustain itself into 2017.
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Protesters Storm, Set Fire To Saudi Embassy In Iran

Google Is Collecting Information On Public School Students – Here's How

Today, Google and many other tech companies are increasingly part of students’ daily classroom lives under the “school official” designation. And that leaves parents in the dark about who has access to an increasingly large cache of information about their children and may compromise their privacy down the line, experts say. Google says it has “always been firmly committed to keeping student information private and secure.” Private and secure, ok, but they are still collecting this data aren’t they?

The Truth About Obama

from Economic Noise:

Few people are willing or able to speak objectively about President Obama. The truth about Obama is too often obscured by emotion ranging from adulation to hatred. An objective discussion of the man and his effect on the country is almost impossible. Obama polarizes in a manner no former president or political leader ever did. That is scary.
There are many unanswered questions regarding the man and his presidency. Some of more threatening ones include the following:
  • How could such a man be elected twice?
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The known total expense to the American taxpayers thus far for all Obama travel is now $70,880,035.78.
by Geoffrey Grider, Now The End Begins:
Washington, DC – Judicial Watch announced today that it recently received expense records from the Department of Homeland Security revealing that Secret Service expenses for the Obama family vacation to Honolulu during December 2013-January 2014 cost taxpayers at least $316,698.03.  These new expenses bring the total for the Hawaii Christmas vacation trip to $8,098,060.33.  The Secret Service waited nearly two years to produce the requested numbers to Judicial Watch.
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State Lawmakers Prep Gun Control Policies For 2016

from Spiro:

State lawmakers are scheduled to consider stricter firearms policies when they return to their respective capitol buildings in January.

What Does The Future Hold For Negative Rates In Europe? Goldman Answers

While the market might have been disappointed by the ECB’s “underdelivery in December, it came as a relief for the Riksbank, the SNB, the Norges Bank, and the Nationalbank who are effectively forced to cut each time the ECB eases or risk seeing upward pressure on their respective currencies. That dynamic has led to a veritable race to the Keynesian bottom with Norway as the last man standing in terms of conducting monetary policy with rates above zero. As we enter the new year, a number of questions remain regarding Europe's headlong plunge into NIRP-dom.

2015 Year In Review: "Terminal Phase" Excess & Peak Cognitive Dissonance

Important pillars of the bull case evaporated throughout 2015. Global price pressures weakened, the global Credit backdrop deteriorated and the global economy decelerated. The huge bets on central bank policies left markets at high risk for abrupt reversals and trade unwinds – 2015 The Year of the Erratic Crowded Trade. Indeed, a global bear market commenced yet most remain bullish. Serious and objective analysts would view this ominously.

Earnings Revisions Tumble To Weakest In 9 Months, BofAML Warns "More To Come"

Until recently healthcare had been the only sector offering any optimism from an earnings perspective but even that has collapsed now. The three-month earnings revision ratio (ERR) fell for the fifth month in a row to 0.53 from 0.55 - its lowest level in nine months, indicating twice as many cuts as increases. As BofAML notes, this is well below the long-term average of 0.84, and given S&P 500 sales revisions have collapsed to April 2009 lows, they forecast more cuts are likely to come... and a muted January effect looms.

"Tread Lightly" - 2016 Technical Outlook

Wall Street forecasts for 2015 were largely wrong across the board. Now we have no problem with anybody being wrong, but wwhat we do take issue with is that Wall Street largely insisted on staying wrong even though the facts were changing in 2015. The only thing that really changed was the narrative, i.e. “well if earnings are down so what then markets go up because fund managers have to chase performance”. And hence you end up with overly optimistic forecasts not based on reality. But Wall Street is in the business of selling supply to the public. If there was one key trading lesson to draw from 2015 it is this: Ignore the noise and focus on the technicals.

Trump Muslim Ban Comments Featured In Al-Qaeda Propaganda Video

A new propaganda video from al-Qaeda's Somali affiliate al-Shabaab features clips of Donald Trump alongside the following warning from the late Anwar al-Awlaki: "There are ominous clouds gathering in your horizon. Yesterday, America was a land of slavery, segregation, lynching, and Ku Klux Klan. And tomorrow it will be a land of religious discrimination and concentration camps."

The Silent Hunter: 3 Badass Reasons To Own a Crossbow

from Ready Nutrition:

Hey there, ReadyNutrition Readers! Now it’s time to get back into some good instruction and topics for the New Year. I want to cover the Crossbow and some of its advantages in the arenas of hunting, survival, and as an all-around great tool to practice marksmanship.
The crossbow has been around a long time, and it saw widespread use in Medieval times as a means of utilizing a bolt to penetrate armor. In the olden days, they made powerful bows backed by horsehair and sinew. I’m sure there’s someone out there with knowledge about ancient crossbows and their uses. We’d be happy to hear from you, and your comments are most welcome. Nowadays the makes and models of crossbows are as numerous as you can imagine. So, you may be wondering, what are the advantages to having a crossbow? There are many, so let’s cover them.
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Three Proven Strategies for Building and Protecting Your Personal Financial Empire

by Brian Hunt, Casey Research:

In today’s essay, you’ll learn three strategies for growing and protecting your money no matter what governments and financial markets throw at you.
This essay is part of the “field guide” we send to every new reader of our flagship research service, The Casey Report.
Principle #1: Our money has a passport and no allegiance to a single country or asset class. We’ll go anywhere and buy anything that presents a great opportunity.
If you owned a retail clothing business, would you sell only blue dresses? Probably not. If your goal was profit, you’d probably offer a much broader product line.
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Army Not Prepping For Battle; Training For Riot Control And Martial Law

from The Sleuth Journal:

In my first video below, I break down some very disturbing events going on around the country again where federal agents are squaring off directly across from citizen militias. I am SHOCKED it has taken this long to see these types of events starting to spring up again. Why? Because knowing how intent Obama is on gun confiscation, and knowing how intense those situations can get (as you’ll see in the heart pounding second video below), all it’s going to take is one itchy trigger finger before a few hundred are dead, and we’re either under Martial Law, or civil war has broken out. How many standoffs do you think before a shot will be fired? Personally, I’m of the belief that Obama is such trash, he’d put a plant in with the patriots to fire the first shot… but that’s just my opinion.
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